Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#287
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#297
Pace59.5#355
Improvement+0.0#184

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#229
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#201
Layup/Dunks-1.3#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#39
Freethrows-2.2#322
Improvement-3.0#321

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#325
First Shot-4.6#325
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#313
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+3.0#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 30 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 1015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 35   @ Villanova L 63-90 4%     0 - 1 -12.6 +2.6 -16.5
  Nov 09, 2023 313   @ William & Mary L 56-75 49%     0 - 2 -25.3 -18.4 -7.6
  Nov 13, 2023 354   Siena W 78-58 85%     1 - 2 +2.3 +6.0 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2023 335   NJIT W 87-73 77%     2 - 2 -0.3 +7.4 -7.7
  Nov 19, 2023 176   @ Georgetown L 83-88 OT 21%     2 - 3 -3.2 +2.4 -5.3
  Nov 22, 2023 251   Mount St. Mary's W 68-65 52%     3 - 3 -4.2 -2.7 -1.2
  Nov 29, 2023 235   @ Harvard L 75-80 30%     3 - 4 -6.1 +5.9 -12.2
  Dec 02, 2023 355   St. Francis (PA) L 73-75 85%     3 - 5 -20.0 -3.7 -16.4
  Dec 06, 2023 105   @ Saint Joseph's L 53-69 10%     3 - 6 -8.6 -3.0 -9.8
  Dec 09, 2023 359   @ VMI W 77-69 76%     4 - 6 -6.2 +8.1 -13.6
  Dec 21, 2023 61   @ Virginia Tech L 55-77 5%     4 - 7 -10.4 -4.3 -10.2
  Dec 29, 2023 268   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-85 36%     5 - 7 -1.0 +8.6 -9.6
  Jan 03, 2024 255   Lehigh W 75-66 54%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +1.4 +0.8 +0.7
  Jan 06, 2024 269   @ Bucknell W 71-63 36%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +5.0 +12.9 -6.2
  Jan 10, 2024 296   @ Boston University L 68-72 42%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -8.7 +1.6 -10.7
  Jan 13, 2024 336   Army W 79-60 77%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +4.5 +10.2 -4.0
  Jan 15, 2024 344   @ Loyola Maryland W 66-52 65%     9 - 8 4 - 1 +3.3 -3.5 +8.3
  Jan 20, 2024 255   @ Lehigh L 68-70 34%     9 - 9 4 - 2 -4.4 -1.9 -2.6
  Jan 24, 2024 341   Holy Cross W 84-65 80%     10 - 9 5 - 2 +3.4 +2.6 +1.3
  Jan 27, 2024 146   Colgate L 54-73 30%     10 - 10 5 - 3 -20.3 -7.7 -16.2
  Jan 31, 2024 314   @ Lafayette W 69-66 49%     11 - 10 6 - 3 -3.3 +6.5 -9.4
  Feb 03, 2024 269   Bucknell W 75-66 OT 56%     12 - 10 7 - 3 +0.8 +1.2 -0.2
  Feb 07, 2024 344   Loyola Maryland L 43-44 81%     12 - 11 7 - 4 -16.9 -25.8 +8.7
  Feb 10, 2024 341   @ Holy Cross L 56-58 64%     12 - 12 7 - 5 -12.4 -13.5 +0.7
  Feb 14, 2024 319   @ Navy W 59-42 50%     13 - 12 8 - 5 +10.3 -3.7 +17.5
  Feb 17, 2024 314   Lafayette L 62-68 68%     13 - 13 8 - 6 -17.5 -3.8 -14.6
  Feb 21, 2024 296   Boston University L 52-67 62%     13 - 14 8 - 7 -24.9 -10.7 -18.0
  Feb 25, 2024 146   @ Colgate W 66-64 16%     14 - 14 9 - 7 +5.9 +2.0 +4.0
  Feb 28, 2024 336   @ Army W 73-51 60%     15 - 14 10 - 7 +12.7 +16.8 +1.1
  Mar 02, 2024 319   Navy L 65-71 69%     15 - 15 10 - 8 -17.9 -3.2 -15.5
  Mar 07, 2024 269   Bucknell L 57-80 56%     15 - 16 -31.2 -8.6 -26.7
Projected Record 15 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%