Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio St.
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#38
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#56
Pace64.5#292
Improvement+0.6#149

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#35
First Shot+4.5#61
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#54
Layup/Dunks-1.8#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#64
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement-2.1#296

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#48
First Shot+2.3#104
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#32
Layups/Dunks+6.5#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows+1.8#56
Improvement+2.7#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four15.6% n/a n/a
First Round8.4% n/a n/a
Second Round4.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 33 - 7
Quad 23 - 46 - 11
Quad 39 - 215 - 13
Quad 45 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 142   Oakland W 79-73 88%     1 - 0 +4.9 +9.4 -4.2
  Nov 10, 2023 42   Texas A&M L 66-73 60%     1 - 1 +1.7 +1.4 -0.3
  Nov 15, 2023 237   Merrimack W 76-52 94%     2 - 1 +17.6 +8.3 +10.3
  Nov 19, 2023 301   Western Michigan W 73-56 97%     3 - 1 +6.7 +0.1 +7.7
  Nov 24, 2023 13   Alabama W 92-81 32%     4 - 1 +27.1 +18.9 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2023 107   Santa Clara W 86-56 74%     5 - 1 +34.6 +25.7 +12.5
  Nov 29, 2023 271   Central Michigan W 88-61 96%     6 - 1 +18.7 +15.9 +3.1
  Dec 03, 2023 69   Minnesota W 84-74 73%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +15.1 +12.8 +2.5
  Dec 06, 2023 256   Miami (OH) W 84-64 95%     8 - 1 +12.4 +13.8 -0.4
  Dec 09, 2023 68   @ Penn St. L 80-83 54%     8 - 2 1 - 1 +7.4 +11.6 -4.2
  Dec 16, 2023 93   UCLA W 67-60 69%     9 - 2 +13.2 -1.2 +14.3
  Dec 21, 2023 343   New Orleans W 78-36 99%     10 - 2 +26.2 -0.6 +28.4
  Dec 30, 2023 129   West Virginia W 78-75 OT 80%     11 - 2 +5.5 -2.2 +7.4
  Jan 03, 2024 96   Rutgers W 76-72 78%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +7.3 +11.0 -3.7
  Jan 06, 2024 82   @ Indiana L 65-71 58%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +3.4 +3.9 -1.0
  Jan 10, 2024 19   Wisconsin L 60-71 50%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +0.4 +1.2 -2.8
  Jan 15, 2024 117   @ Michigan L 65-73 70%     12 - 5 2 - 4 -2.1 -2.9 +0.3
  Jan 20, 2024 68   Penn St. W 79-67 72%     13 - 5 3 - 4 +17.2 +10.4 +7.0
  Jan 23, 2024 27   @ Nebraska L 69-83 34%     13 - 6 3 - 5 +1.6 +9.7 -9.4
  Jan 27, 2024 40   @ Northwestern L 58-83 40%     13 - 7 3 - 6 -11.1 -1.4 -13.2
  Jan 30, 2024 10   Illinois L 75-87 39%     13 - 8 3 - 7 +2.3 +9.5 -8.2
  Feb 02, 2024 49   @ Iowa L 77-79 44%     13 - 9 3 - 8 +11.0 +12.6 -1.7
  Feb 06, 2024 82   Indiana L 73-76 75%     13 - 10 3 - 9 +1.2 +2.8 -1.6
  Feb 10, 2024 60   Maryland W 79-75 2OT 68%     14 - 10 4 - 9 +10.7 +5.1 +5.2
  Feb 13, 2024 19   @ Wisconsin L 54-62 31%     14 - 11 4 - 10 +8.6 -1.3 +8.2
  Feb 18, 2024 4   Purdue W 73-69 27%     15 - 11 5 - 10 +21.7 +15.0 +7.2
  Feb 22, 2024 69   @ Minnesota L 79-88 54%     15 - 12 5 - 11 +1.3 +12.4 -11.5
  Feb 25, 2024 18   @ Michigan St. W 60-57 29%     16 - 12 6 - 11 +20.1 +4.9 +15.6
  Feb 29, 2024 27   Nebraska W 78-69 54%     17 - 12 7 - 11 +19.4 +8.7 +10.5
  Mar 03, 2024 117   Michigan W 84-61 84%     18 - 12 8 - 11 +23.7 +6.8 +15.9
  Mar 10, 2024 96   @ Rutgers W 73-51 61%     19 - 12 9 - 11 +30.5 +15.5 +16.1
  Mar 14, 2024 49   Iowa W 90-78 54%     20 - 12 +22.4 +14.8 +7.2
  Mar 15, 2024 10   Illinois L 74-77 30%     20 - 13 +13.9 +4.7 +9.2
Projected Record 20 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 16.0% 16.0% 10.9 0.1 1.8 14.0 0.1 84.0 16.0%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 16.0% 0.0% 16.0% 10.9 0.1 1.8 14.0 0.1 84.0 16.0%