Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#68
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#91
Pace73.0#60
Improvement+3.5#50

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#83
First Shot+1.1#152
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#29
Layup/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#253
Freethrows+2.7#35
Improvement+0.0#184

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#71
First Shot+2.9#85
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#83
Layups/Dunks-1.5#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#59
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement+3.5#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 8
Quad 24 - 66 - 14
Quad 35 - 211 - 16
Quad 45 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 295   Delaware St. W 79-45 94%     1 - 0 +24.2 -0.7 +22.4
  Nov 10, 2023 255   Lehigh W 74-65 92%     2 - 0 +1.4 -6.3 +7.0
  Nov 14, 2023 355   St. Francis (PA) W 83-53 98%     3 - 0 +12.0 +3.4 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2023 128   Morehead St. W 74-51 77%     4 - 0 +23.0 -5.2 +26.2
  Nov 23, 2023 42   Texas A&M L 77-89 37%     4 - 1 -0.7 +14.3 -15.9
  Nov 24, 2023 63   Butler L 78-88 45%     4 - 2 -1.0 +8.3 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2023 81   Virginia Commonwealth L 74-86 54%     4 - 3 -5.2 +2.8 -7.5
  Dec 02, 2023 269   Bucknell L 67-76 92%     4 - 4 -17.2 -3.9 -13.9
  Dec 06, 2023 60   @ Maryland L 75-81 OT 35%     4 - 5 0 - 1 +5.9 +5.0 +1.3
  Dec 09, 2023 38   Ohio St. W 83-80 46%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +11.8 +12.7 -0.9
  Dec 16, 2023 115   Georgia Tech L 81-82 OT 67%     5 - 6 +2.3 +3.2 -0.8
  Dec 21, 2023 308   Le Moyne W 72-55 95%     6 - 6 +6.1 -3.3 +10.0
  Dec 29, 2023 221   Rider W 90-63 89%     7 - 6 +21.4 +6.0 +12.7
  Jan 04, 2024 18   @ Michigan St. L 61-92 19%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -13.9 -4.6 -7.7
  Jan 07, 2024 117   Michigan W 79-73 75%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +6.7 +3.2 +3.3
  Jan 10, 2024 40   Northwestern L 72-76 46%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +4.7 +2.2 +2.6
  Jan 13, 2024 4   @ Purdue L 78-95 9%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +5.8 +9.0 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2024 19   Wisconsin W 87-83 36%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +15.4 +16.2 -0.8
  Jan 20, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. L 67-79 28%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +2.0 +1.5 +0.3
  Jan 27, 2024 69   Minnesota L 74-83 60%     9 - 11 3 - 6 -3.9 +3.7 -7.9
  Jan 31, 2024 96   @ Rutgers W 61-46 47%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +23.5 +1.4 +22.5
  Feb 03, 2024 82   @ Indiana W 85-71 44%     11 - 11 5 - 6 +23.4 +29.0 -3.7
  Feb 08, 2024 49   Iowa W 89-79 50%     12 - 11 6 - 6 +17.8 +14.1 +3.5
  Feb 11, 2024 40   @ Northwestern L 63-68 28%     12 - 12 6 - 7 +8.9 -1.9 +10.6
  Feb 14, 2024 18   Michigan St. L 72-80 35%     12 - 13 6 - 8 +3.9 +10.0 -6.4
  Feb 17, 2024 27   @ Nebraska L 49-68 23%     12 - 14 6 - 9 -3.4 -15.0 +11.0
  Feb 21, 2024 10   Illinois W 90-89 27%     13 - 14 7 - 9 +15.3 +11.8 +3.5
  Feb 24, 2024 82   Indiana W 83-74 64%     14 - 14 8 - 9 +13.2 +13.0 +0.2
  Feb 27, 2024 49   @ Iowa L 81-90 31%     14 - 15 8 - 10 +4.0 +1.3 +3.8
  Mar 02, 2024 69   @ Minnesota L 70-75 40%     14 - 16 8 - 11 +5.3 +1.6 +3.6
  Mar 10, 2024 60   Maryland W 85-69 54%     15 - 16 9 - 11 +22.7 +18.2 +4.3
  Mar 13, 2024 117   Michigan W 66-57 67%     16 - 16 +12.3 -1.5 +14.4
  Mar 14, 2024 82   Indiana L 59-61 54%     16 - 17 +4.8 -6.5 +11.2
Projected Record 16 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%