Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#238
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#97
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 15.7
.500 or above 33.0% 36.1% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.4% 18.9% 8.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.6% 27.6% 41.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Home) - 86.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 48 - 412 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 350   Stonehill W 80-68 86%    
  Nov 11, 2023 302   William & Mary W 76-69 73%    
  Nov 14, 2023 112   Hofstra L 73-78 34%    
  Nov 18, 2023 288   New Hampshire W 73-67 70%    
  Nov 24, 2023 127   Ohio L 75-81 29%    
  Dec 01, 2023 89   @ South Carolina L 65-78 13%    
  Dec 05, 2023 277   Navy W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 09, 2023 357   Coppin St. W 87-74 86%    
  Dec 21, 2023 281   Alcorn St. W 78-72 69%    
  Dec 30, 2023 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-67 82%    
  Jan 03, 2024 162   Fordham L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 06, 2024 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-80 13%    
  Jan 13, 2024 149   Davidson L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 15, 2024 139   George Mason L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 20, 2024 192   @ Massachusetts L 76-82 31%    
  Jan 24, 2024 129   @ Richmond L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 27, 2024 199   La Salle W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 30, 2024 72   @ Dayton L 61-75 12%    
  Feb 06, 2024 190   Rhode Island L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 10, 2024 96   Loyola Chicago L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 13, 2024 139   @ George Mason L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 17, 2024 129   Richmond L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 21, 2024 136   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-82 23%    
  Feb 24, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 73-84 18%    
  Feb 27, 2024 192   Massachusetts W 80-79 51%    
  Mar 02, 2024 199   @ La Salle L 73-79 32%    
  Mar 06, 2024 78   St. Bonaventure L 68-76 26%    
  Mar 09, 2024 94   @ Duquesne L 71-83 16%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.3 0.9 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.4 2.6 1.9 0.2 5.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 3.1 0.6 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.0 1.7 0.1 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.6 1.0 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 3.9 5.0 1.9 0.1 11.8 13th
14th 0.2 1.7 4.7 5.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 15.4 14th
15th 1.6 4.6 6.3 5.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 20.4 15th
Total 1.6 4.9 8.1 11.1 12.5 12.7 12.5 10.7 8.6 6.2 4.5 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 88.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 73.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 36.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 72.6% 40.3% 32.3% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.1%
16-2 0.1% 16.8% 16.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 26.7% 20.7% 6.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.5%
14-4 0.5% 7.3% 7.2% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1%
13-5 1.0% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.1%
12-6 1.7% 5.2% 5.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-7 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
10-8 4.5% 2.7% 2.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
9-9 6.2% 1.2% 1.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
8-10 8.6% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-11 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
3-15 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
2-16 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
1-17 4.9% 4.9
0-18 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 99.2 0.0%