Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#327
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#96
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#323
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#305
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 3.0% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 20.3% 36.2% 14.7%
.500 or above in Conference 32.5% 44.0% 28.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 22.5% 14.2% 25.4%
First Four0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round1.4% 2.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 26.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 1111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 266   @ Siena L 67-74 26%    
  Nov 11, 2023 106   @ Georgetown L 67-84 6%    
  Nov 14, 2023 301   Sacred Heart W 76-75 52%    
  Nov 17, 2023 189   @ Winthrop L 68-80 14%    
  Nov 18, 2023 309   Elon L 70-71 45%    
  Nov 19, 2023 347   IUPUI W 73-70 60%    
  Nov 25, 2023 44   @ St. John's L 69-92 2%    
  Nov 29, 2023 264   Maine L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 02, 2023 335   @ Central Connecticut St. L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 08, 2023 103   @ Boston College L 62-79 7%    
  Dec 18, 2023 232   Quinnipiac L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 21, 2023 219   @ Harvard L 63-73 20%    
  Jan 03, 2024 331   @ Bucknell L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 06, 2024 300   @ Army L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 10, 2024 277   Navy L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 13, 2024 274   @ Lehigh L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 17, 2024 293   Lafayette W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 20, 2024 295   Loyola Maryland W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 24, 2024 261   @ American L 63-70 28%    
  Jan 27, 2024 274   Lehigh L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 29, 2024 313   Boston University W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 03, 2024 295   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 07, 2024 293   @ Lafayette L 63-69 32%    
  Feb 10, 2024 261   American L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 14, 2024 110   @ Colgate L 67-83 9%    
  Feb 17, 2024 300   Army W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 21, 2024 331   Bucknell W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 25, 2024 277   @ Navy L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 28, 2024 110   Colgate L 70-80 20%    
  Mar 02, 2024 313   @ Boston University L 66-70 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.8 1.8 0.5 0.1 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 1.6 0.2 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.0 1.9 0.1 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.1 5.1 2.2 0.2 12.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.6 4.8 1.9 0.2 14.3 9th
10th 0.7 2.0 3.9 4.3 3.2 1.1 0.1 15.3 10th
Total 0.7 2.0 4.4 6.6 9.0 10.7 11.3 11.7 11.0 9.8 7.7 5.8 4.1 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 82.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 61.9% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.2% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 53.0% 53.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 38.1% 38.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 15.5% 15.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.5% 15.7% 15.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-5 2.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.3
12-6 4.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.8
11-7 5.8% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.6
10-8 7.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.5
9-9 9.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
8-10 11.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
5-13 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.0
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16 4.4% 4.4
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%