IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.8	#250
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.1	#265
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#169

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.4%	15.6%	7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	13.6	14.8

.500 or above	46.7%	78.9%	45.8%
.500 or above in Conference	56.6%	79.2%	55.9%
Conference Champion	9.1%	19.4%	8.8%
Last Place in Conference	8.6%	2.7%	8.8%

First Four	1.4%	1.0%	1.4%
First Round	6.7%	15.2%	6.4%
Second Round	0.4%	1.9%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 8	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2023	29	@ Maryland	L	54-74	3%
Nov 11, 2023	357	Coppin St.	W	78-66	86%
Nov 18, 2023	106	@ Georgetown	L	64-76	15%
Nov 22, 2023	261	@ American	L	61-63	41%
Nov 25, 2023	247	Howard	W	72-69	60%
Dec 01, 2023	325	@ Manhattan	W	67-65	56%
Dec 03, 2023	266	Siena	W	67-63	64%
Dec 05, 2023	60	@ Mississippi	L	57-74	7%
Dec 09, 2023	295	@ Loyola Maryland	L	65-66	48%
Dec 15, 2023	358	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	71-65	70%
Dec 20, 2023	73	@ Georgia	L	60-75	9%
Dec 23, 2023	359	LIU Brooklyn	W	79-66	86%
Dec 30, 2023	355	@ Delaware St.	W	68-63	68%
Jan 05, 2024	269	Canisius	W	69-65	64%
Jan 07, 2024	279	@ St. Peter's	L	59-60	45%
Jan 14, 2024	148	@ Iona	L	64-73	22%
Jan 19, 2024	272	Marist	W	65-61	64%
Jan 21, 2024	258	Niagara	W	63-60	62%
Jan 25, 2024	232	@ Quinnipiac	L	68-72	36%
Jan 27, 2024	230	Rider	W	66-64	56%
Feb 02, 2024	272	@ Marist	L	62-64	44%
Feb 04, 2024	266	@ Siena	L	64-66	44%
Feb 08, 2024	325	Manhattan	W	70-62	74%
Feb 10, 2024	232	Quinnipiac	W	71-69	56%
Feb 16, 2024	230	@ Rider	L	63-67	37%
Feb 18, 2024	257	@ Fairfield	L	62-65	41%
Feb 23, 2024	279	St. Peter's	W	62-57	64%
Feb 25, 2024	148	Iona	L	67-70	40%
Mar 01, 2024	269	@ Canisius	L	66-68	44%
Mar 03, 2024	258	@ Niagara	L	60-63	41%
Mar 09, 2024	257	Fairfield	W	65-62	61%
Projected Record						15 - 16	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.1	2.0	2.3	1.8	1.2	0.4	0.1		9.1	1st
2nd												0.1	0.7	2.4	3.3	2.6	1.1	0.3	0.0				10.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	3.3	3.6	2.1	0.5	0.1						10.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.2	3.9	3.9	1.5	0.2	0.0							10.9	4th
5th									0.1	1.1	3.9	3.8	1.3	0.1	0.0								10.2	5th
6th								0.1	0.9	3.6	4.0	1.2	0.1										9.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.0	3.4	3.8	1.0	0.1											9.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.9	2.9	3.4	1.2	0.1												8.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.2	2.8	3.0	1.0	0.1													8.2	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	2.3	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0													7.0	10th
11th	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.3	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.0															5.5	11th

Total	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.8	3.0	4.5	6.3	7.8	8.9	9.9	10.2	10.2	9.4	7.9	6.7	5.1	3.4	2.0	1.2	0.4	0.1			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
18-2	98.4%	1.2		1.1	0.1
17-3	86.4%	1.8		1.4	0.3	0.0
16-4	66.7%	2.3		1.5	0.7	0.0
15-5	38.8%	2.0		1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0
14-6	16.8%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	4.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	9.1%	9.1		5.8	2.6	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		65.1%	65.1%		11.6							0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
19-1	0.4%		54.9%	53.9%	1.0%	12.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2		2.2%
18-2	1.2%		48.0%	47.7%	0.3%	13.3												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.6		0.6%
17-3	2.0%		38.0%	38.0%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.3
16-4	3.4%		29.8%	29.8%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0	2.4
15-5	5.1%		21.0%	21.0%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	4.1
14-6	6.7%		14.5%	14.5%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	5.7
13-7	7.9%		10.1%	10.1%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	7.1
12-8	9.4%		8.1%	8.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	8.6
11-9	10.2%		3.9%	3.9%		15.9																0.0	0.4	9.8
10-10	10.2%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.9
9-11	9.9%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.6
8-12	8.9%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	8.8
7-13	7.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
6-14	6.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
5-15	4.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
4-16	3.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
3-17	1.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
2-18	0.9%																							0.9
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.4%	7.4%	0.0%	14.8							0.0				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.6	2.1	2.6	92.6		0.0%