Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#268
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#108
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#198
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 35.6% 18.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.6 15.4
.500 or above 48.3% 80.6% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 93.0% 76.3%
Conference Champion 21.8% 40.0% 21.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.6% 3.1%
First Four7.0% 5.3% 7.0%
First Round14.9% 33.2% 14.5%
Second Round0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 412 - 713 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 23   @ Auburn L 64-86 2%    
  Nov 15, 2023 50   @ BYU L 68-86 4%    
  Nov 18, 2023 144   @ Santa Clara L 74-84 17%    
  Nov 24, 2023 319   Western Michigan W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 01, 2023 56   @ LSU L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 09, 2023 321   @ Southern W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 12, 2023 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 67-79 16%    
  Dec 16, 2023 154   @ Murray St. L 70-80 20%    
  Dec 20, 2023 253   Grambling St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 06, 2024 299   @ New Orleans L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 08, 2024 284   @ Nicholls St. L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 13, 2024 271   @ McNeese St. L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 15, 2024 283   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 20, 2024 291   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 22, 2024 337   Northwestern St. W 78-70 75%    
  Jan 27, 2024 341   @ Lamar W 74-71 58%    
  Jan 29, 2024 360   @ Houston Christian W 84-78 69%    
  Feb 03, 2024 271   McNeese St. W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 05, 2024 348   Incarnate Word W 80-70 79%    
  Feb 10, 2024 337   @ Northwestern St. W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 12, 2024 291   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 17, 2024 360   Houston Christian W 87-75 84%    
  Feb 19, 2024 341   Lamar W 77-68 76%    
  Feb 24, 2024 299   New Orleans W 84-79 65%    
  Mar 02, 2024 283   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-78 43%    
  Mar 04, 2024 348   @ Incarnate Word W 77-73 62%    
  Mar 06, 2024 284   Nicholls St. W 81-77 63%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 5.0 5.7 4.1 2.1 0.6 21.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.5 3.4 1.0 0.1 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.3 4.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.9 4.0 1.1 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.9 2.6 4.2 5.9 7.5 9.4 10.7 11.9 11.7 10.7 8.7 6.7 4.3 2.1 0.6 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 2.1    2.1 0.0
16-2 97.4% 4.1    3.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 85.1% 5.7    4.4 1.2 0.1
14-4 57.9% 5.0    2.9 1.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 29.0% 3.1    1.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.5% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.8% 21.8 15.0 5.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 83.4% 83.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 2.1% 73.4% 73.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6
16-2 4.3% 59.0% 59.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 1.7
15-3 6.7% 47.9% 47.9% 15.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 3.5
14-4 8.7% 37.0% 37.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.5
13-5 10.7% 25.3% 25.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 8.0
12-6 11.7% 17.9% 17.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 9.6
11-7 11.9% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3 10.5
10-8 10.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.0
9-9 9.4% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.0
8-10 7.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 7.3
7-11 5.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.8
6-12 4.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-13 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.6 10.9 81.5 0.0%