IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.9	#271
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#240
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.8	#210

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.1	#326

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.1%	30.6%	17.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.9	15.4

.500 or above	47.4%	75.0%	45.1%
.500 or above in Conference	75.5%	89.1%	74.4%
Conference Champion	21.4%	34.7%	20.3%
Last Place in Conference	3.4%	0.8%	3.6%

First Four	6.8%	7.2%	6.7%
First Round	14.4%	26.9%	13.4%
Second Round	0.5%	1.6%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 7	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	82	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	63-78	8%
Nov 18, 2023	205	@ Western Carolina	L	69-76	26%
Nov 21, 2023	193	Texas St.	L	64-69	34%
Nov 22, 2023	120	@ Louisiana Tech	L	64-76	14%
Nov 28, 2023	77	@ UAB	L	68-84	8%
Dec 02, 2023	282	Tennessee Martin	W	80-76	63%
Dec 13, 2023	152	Southern Miss	L	70-74	36%
Dec 17, 2023	176	Louisiana	L	72-75	41%
Dec 29, 2023	48	@ Michigan	L	63-82	5%
Jan 06, 2024	291	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	69-71	43%
Jan 08, 2024	337	@ Northwestern St.	W	72-70	56%
Jan 13, 2024	268	SE Louisiana	W	77-74	60%
Jan 15, 2024	341	Lamar	W	74-66	76%
Jan 20, 2024	348	@ Incarnate Word	W	74-70	61%
Jan 22, 2024	283	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	73-75	42%
Jan 27, 2024	299	New Orleans	W	80-75	65%
Jan 29, 2024	337	Northwestern St.	W	75-67	74%
Feb 03, 2024	268	@ SE Louisiana	L	74-77	40%
Feb 05, 2024	291	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	72-68	62%
Feb 10, 2024	283	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	76-72	62%
Feb 12, 2024	360	@ Houston Christian	W	81-75	69%
Feb 17, 2024	284	@ Nicholls St.	L	75-77	43%
Feb 24, 2024	348	Incarnate Word	W	77-67	78%
Feb 26, 2024	341	@ Lamar	W	71-69	58%
Mar 02, 2024	284	Nicholls St.	W	78-74	62%
Mar 04, 2024	360	Houston Christian	W	84-72	83%
Mar 06, 2024	299	@ New Orleans	L	77-78	46%
Projected Record						13 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.9	2.9	4.9	5.6	4.1	2.1	0.7		21.4	1st
2nd											0.2	1.8	4.4	5.6	3.3	1.1	0.2				16.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.8	5.2	4.6	1.8	0.2	0.0					13.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.9	4.8	3.9	1.0	0.1							11.9	4th
5th								0.1	1.7	4.6	3.0	0.7	0.0								10.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.4	3.7	2.7	0.5	0.0									8.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.4	3.0	2.1	0.4	0.0										7.0	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.1	2.2	1.5	0.3	0.0											5.2	8th
9th			0.1	0.3	0.9	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0												3.4	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0													2.0	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.6	2.6	4.6	6.2	7.9	9.7	10.3	11.8	11.0	10.4	8.5	6.8	4.3	2.1	0.7			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	100.0%	2.1		2.0	0.0
16-2	96.4%	4.1		3.7	0.4	0.0
15-3	83.2%	5.6		4.4	1.2	0.0
14-4	58.1%	4.9		2.7	1.9	0.3	0.0
13-5	27.9%	2.9		1.0	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	8.3%	0.9		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0								0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	21.4%	21.4		14.5	5.2	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		82.0%	82.0%		13.3									0.0			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1
17-1	2.1%		71.3%	71.3%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.6
16-2	4.3%		60.7%	60.7%		14.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.7	1.7
15-3	6.8%		47.6%	47.6%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	1.4	3.5
14-4	8.5%		33.9%	33.9%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	5.6
13-5	10.4%		25.6%	25.6%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.4	2.2	7.7
12-6	11.0%		18.2%	18.2%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.8	9.0
11-7	11.8%		11.1%	11.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.3	10.5
10-8	10.3%		7.0%	7.0%		16.0																0.0	0.7	9.6
9-9	9.7%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.3
8-10	7.9%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.8
7-11	6.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
6-12	4.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
5-13	2.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
4-14	1.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
3-15	1.0%																							1.0
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.1%	18.1%	0.0%	15.4									0.0			0.1	0.1	0.7	2.1	4.4	10.7	81.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%