IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#300
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#120
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#277

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	4.8%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.2	15.5

.500 or above	41.3%	53.1%	26.3%
.500 or above in Conference	47.7%	55.4%	38.0%
Conference Champion	4.7%	6.1%	2.8%
Last Place in Conference	13.0%	9.5%	17.4%

First Four	1.2%	1.4%	1.1%
First Round	3.0%	4.1%	1.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 10	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	272	Marist	W	69-67	56%
Nov 09, 2023	350	@ Stonehill	W	72-70	58%
Nov 12, 2023	39	@ Indiana	L	61-83	2%
Nov 17, 2023	232	Quinnipiac	L	74-75	46%
Nov 21, 2023	318	@ Albany	L	71-73	44%
Nov 25, 2023	297	@ Binghamton	L	69-72	39%
Nov 29, 2023	335	Central Connecticut St.	W	71-65	71%
Dec 05, 2023	362	Le Moyne	W	78-63	90%
Dec 08, 2023	219	@ Harvard	L	64-72	25%
Dec 17, 2023	255	Stony Brook	W	68-67	53%
Dec 21, 2023	249	@ Texas San Antonio	L	72-78	31%
Jan 03, 2024	293	@ Lafayette	L	63-67	38%
Jan 06, 2024	327	Holy Cross	W	75-70	67%
Jan 10, 2024	295	Loyola Maryland	W	72-69	59%
Jan 13, 2024	261	@ American	L	63-68	33%
Jan 17, 2024	110	Colgate	L	70-78	24%
Jan 20, 2024	277	@ Navy	L	65-69	36%
Jan 24, 2024	313	@ Boston University	L	67-69	43%
Jan 27, 2024	331	Bucknell	W	74-68	68%
Jan 31, 2024	110	@ Colgate	L	67-81	11%
Feb 03, 2024	293	Lafayette	W	66-64	58%
Feb 07, 2024	274	@ Lehigh	L	71-75	36%
Feb 10, 2024	277	Navy	W	68-66	56%
Feb 14, 2024	313	Boston University	W	70-66	63%
Feb 17, 2024	327	@ Holy Cross	L	72-73	47%
Feb 21, 2024	274	Lehigh	W	74-72	55%
Feb 24, 2024	331	@ Bucknell	L	70-71	49%
Feb 28, 2024	261	American	W	66-65	53%
Mar 02, 2024	295	@ Loyola Maryland	L	69-72	39%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1		4.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	1.4	3.1	2.9	1.8	0.6	0.1				10.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.5	2.3	4.4	2.8	1.0	0.1	0.0					11.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	3.1	5.0	2.5	0.5	0.0							11.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	3.3	5.0	2.6	0.3	0.0								11.7	5th
6th					0.0	0.0	0.4	3.1	5.3	2.2	0.2	0.0									11.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	3.0	5.0	2.2	0.2	0.0										11.0	7th
8th				0.1	0.8	2.9	4.5	2.2	0.2	0.0											10.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.2	3.1	3.5	1.6	0.2	0.0												9.7	9th
10th	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.5	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0													8.3	10th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.0	3.7	5.9	7.7	9.6	10.9	11.4	10.9	10.4	8.7	6.7	4.7	3.2	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	86.9%	0.8		0.6	0.1
15-3	65.9%	1.2		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-4	39.3%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.2%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.7	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		47.9%	47.9%		12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.3%		32.8%	32.8%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-2	0.9%		31.1%	31.1%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
15-3	1.8%		22.9%	22.9%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.4
14-4	3.2%		16.6%	16.6%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	2.7
13-5	4.7%		11.9%	11.9%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	4.1
12-6	6.7%		8.2%	8.2%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	6.1
11-7	8.7%		4.7%	4.7%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.3
10-8	10.4%		3.3%	3.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	10.1
9-9	10.9%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.7
8-10	11.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	11.3
7-11	10.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
6-12	9.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
5-13	7.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
4-14	5.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
3-15	3.7%																							3.7
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	2.0	96.3		0.0%