Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#243
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#111
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#223
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 7.5% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 27.4% 62.7% 27.1%
.500 or above in Conference 31.7% 51.5% 31.5%
Conference Champion 2.9% 7.7% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 25.0% 10.5% 25.1%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round2.4% 7.2% 2.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 48 - 410 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 3   @ Duke L 57-82 1%    
  Nov 10, 2023 179   Umass Lowell L 73-74 46%    
  Nov 25, 2023 102   @ Saint Louis L 70-81 15%    
  Nov 29, 2023 108   @ Vermont L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 02, 2023 318   @ Albany W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 06, 2023 288   New Hampshire W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 09, 2023 272   Marist W 70-65 66%    
  Dec 13, 2023 313   Boston University W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 16, 2023 362   @ Le Moyne W 77-65 85%    
  Dec 21, 2023 301   @ Sacred Heart W 76-75 50%    
  Dec 30, 2023 87   @ Vanderbilt L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 06, 2024 203   @ Penn L 70-76 32%    
  Jan 15, 2024 130   @ Princeton L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 20, 2024 68   Yale L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 27, 2024 185   Brown L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 02, 2024 157   Cornell L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 03, 2024 303   Columbia W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 10, 2024 219   @ Harvard L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 16, 2024 303   @ Columbia W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 17, 2024 157   @ Cornell L 75-83 25%    
  Feb 23, 2024 203   Penn W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 24, 2024 130   Princeton L 70-74 38%    
  Mar 01, 2024 68   @ Yale L 62-77 10%    
  Mar 02, 2024 185   @ Brown L 69-76 30%    
  Mar 09, 2024 219   Harvard W 69-68 54%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.6 2.1 0.7 0.1 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 6.9 2.8 0.2 15.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.4 7.6 3.0 0.2 17.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.8 7.0 6.9 2.1 0.1 19.3 7th
8th 1.4 4.4 5.6 3.9 0.9 0.0 16.2 8th
Total 1.4 4.7 8.4 12.0 13.8 14.7 13.3 11.1 8.6 5.9 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 86.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2
11-3 57.3% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.0
10-4 21.8% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 3.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 75.6% 75.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 34.6% 32.8% 1.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.6%
12-2 0.8% 23.8% 23.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-3 1.7% 17.9% 17.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-4 3.3% 10.7% 10.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.9
9-5 5.9% 7.8% 7.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.4
8-6 8.6% 4.5% 4.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.2
7-7 11.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.8
6-8 13.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 13.1
5-9 14.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 14.5
4-10 13.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.7
3-11 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.0
2-12 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
1-13 4.7% 4.7
0-14 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%