Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#260
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.3#195
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#294
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.8% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 32.0% 42.3% 19.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.6% 49.6% 33.7%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 7.5% 14.0%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round1.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Away) - 55.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 612 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 329   @ Evansville W 73-71 56%    
  Nov 11, 2023 193   Texas St. L 66-67 46%    
  Nov 17, 2023 357   Coppin St. W 83-71 85%    
  Nov 19, 2023 332   Eastern Illinois W 75-67 76%    
  Nov 25, 2023 78   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-76 9%    
  Dec 02, 2023 135   @ Marshall L 73-83 18%    
  Dec 06, 2023 38   @ Ohio St. L 62-81 5%    
  Dec 09, 2023 149   @ Davidson L 64-74 21%    
  Dec 19, 2023 131   @ Wright St. L 72-83 18%    
  Dec 22, 2023 108   Vermont L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 02, 2024 319   Western Michigan W 74-67 72%    
  Jan 06, 2024 132   @ Toledo L 72-83 19%    
  Jan 09, 2024 216   @ Buffalo L 75-81 32%    
  Jan 13, 2024 315   Eastern Michigan W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 16, 2024 235   Bowling Green W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 20, 2024 234   @ Ball St. L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 23, 2024 323   @ Central Michigan W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 27, 2024 114   Akron L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 30, 2024 107   @ Kent St. L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 03, 2024 127   @ Ohio L 69-80 19%    
  Feb 06, 2024 240   Northern Illinois W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 17, 2024 234   Ball St. W 74-72 55%    
  Feb 20, 2024 319   @ Western Michigan W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 24, 2024 323   Central Michigan W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 27, 2024 235   @ Bowling Green L 74-78 36%    
  Mar 02, 2024 315   @ Eastern Michigan W 75-74 51%    
  Mar 05, 2024 132   Toledo L 75-80 35%    
  Mar 08, 2024 127   Ohio L 72-77 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 5.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.3 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.1 6.6 9.2 10.5 11.8 11.7 11.3 9.6 8.0 5.8 3.9 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 36.4% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 56.9% 56.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 37.4% 34.4% 3.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.7%
16-2 0.4% 24.0% 23.2% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1%
15-3 1.2% 16.1% 16.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.2% 9.5% 9.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0
13-5 3.9% 7.8% 7.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6
12-6 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.4
11-7 8.0% 3.7% 3.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.7
10-8 9.6% 2.5% 2.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.4
9-9 11.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.1
8-10 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
6-12 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-14 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
3-15 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%