Preseason Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#279
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.8#348
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 10.1% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 34.9% 66.2% 33.3%
.500 or above in Conference 44.0% 67.3% 42.8%
Conference Champion 5.4% 12.9% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 5.5% 14.5%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round4.1% 9.4% 3.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 812 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 66   @ Seton Hall L 52-70 5%    
  Nov 11, 2023 339   @ NJIT W 62-60 55%    
  Nov 15, 2023 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 66-67 47%    
  Nov 20, 2023 179   Umass Lowell L 63-66 39%    
  Nov 27, 2023 51   @ Rutgers L 50-69 5%    
  Dec 01, 2023 258   @ Niagara L 56-60 35%    
  Dec 03, 2023 269   @ Canisius L 61-65 37%    
  Dec 08, 2023 94   @ Duquesne L 57-72 10%    
  Dec 12, 2023 292   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 66-62 62%    
  Dec 30, 2023 331   @ Bucknell W 63-62 52%    
  Jan 05, 2024 148   Iona L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 07, 2024 250   Mount St. Mary's W 60-59 55%    
  Jan 14, 2024 325   @ Manhattan W 62-61 50%    
  Jan 19, 2024 257   @ Fairfield L 57-61 36%    
  Jan 21, 2024 269   Canisius W 64-62 58%    
  Jan 25, 2024 230   Rider W 62-61 51%    
  Jan 28, 2024 266   @ Siena L 60-64 38%    
  Feb 02, 2024 258   Niagara W 59-57 56%    
  Feb 04, 2024 272   @ Marist L 58-61 39%    
  Feb 08, 2024 232   @ Quinnipiac L 62-68 32%    
  Feb 10, 2024 257   Fairfield W 60-58 56%    
  Feb 16, 2024 266   Siena W 63-61 58%    
  Feb 18, 2024 148   @ Iona L 59-70 19%    
  Feb 23, 2024 250   @ Mount St. Mary's L 57-62 36%    
  Feb 25, 2024 272   Marist W 61-58 58%    
  Mar 03, 2024 325   Manhattan W 65-59 69%    
  Mar 07, 2024 230   @ Rider L 59-65 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 232   Quinnipiac W 66-65 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.9 1.1 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 3.8 1.2 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.9 3.6 1.2 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.5 2.7 1.0 0.1 10.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.5 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 9.2 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.4 4.9 6.8 8.4 9.5 10.1 10.2 9.6 9.1 7.3 6.1 4.7 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 95.7% 0.5    0.4 0.0
17-3 83.4% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 64.9% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.0
15-5 40.3% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.1% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 73.5% 66.7% 6.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.6%
19-1 0.1% 46.8% 46.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 50.5% 50.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.1% 32.6% 32.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.1% 26.7% 26.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-5 3.5% 19.0% 19.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.8
14-6 4.7% 14.2% 14.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 4.0
13-7 6.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 5.5
12-8 7.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.9
11-9 9.1% 5.0% 5.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.6
10-10 9.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.3
9-11 10.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 10.1
8-12 10.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-13 9.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.5
6-14 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.4
5-15 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-16 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 1.7% 1.7
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.0 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%