Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
2 Florida 100.0%   1   30 - 4 14 - 4 30 - 4 14 - 4 +25.2      +15.4 1 +9.8 8 72.7 62 +25.2 1 +22.8 2
3 Auburn 100.0%   1   28 - 5 15 - 3 28 - 5 15 - 3 +23.8      +14.5 3 +9.3 12 69.3 135 +25.1 2 +24.7 1
5 Alabama 100.0%   2   25 - 8 13 - 5 25 - 8 13 - 5 +21.4      +14.1 4 +7.3 29 84.5 1 +21.7 6 +21.9 3
6 Tennessee 100.0%   2   27 - 7 12 - 6 27 - 7 12 - 6 +20.7      +9.4 19 +11.3 4 61.6 340 +22.3 5 +20.0 4
15 Missouri 100.0%   5   22 - 11 10 - 8 22 - 11 10 - 8 +17.1      +13.2 5 +3.9 74 69.9 121 +15.8 25 +16.2 8
16 Kentucky 100.0%   3   22 - 11 10 - 8 22 - 11 10 - 8 +16.8      +11.7 9 +5.1 55 75.9 21 +18.2 9 +17.5 6
22 Texas A&M 100.0%   4   22 - 10 11 - 7 22 - 10 11 - 7 +16.1      +6.5 48 +9.6 9 65.7 243 +17.2 14 +17.5 5
29 Mississippi 100.0%   5   22 - 11 10 - 8 22 - 11 10 - 8 +14.7      +7.5 34 +7.2 31 69.2 137 +17.1 15 +16.7 7
32 Mississippi St. 98.8%   8   21 - 12 8 - 10 21 - 12 8 - 10 +14.1      +8.4 23 +5.7 45 69.4 133 +14.9 31 +14.0 11
33 Georgia 91.4%   9   20 - 12 8 - 10 20 - 12 8 - 10 +13.9      +6.2 51 +7.8 21 66.8 215 +14.8 32 +14.5 10
37 Oklahoma 92.6%   10   20 - 13 6 - 12 20 - 13 6 - 12 +13.3      +8.7 20 +4.5 64 70.3 116 +14.4 33 +10.8 14
38 Arkansas 84.3%   10   20 - 13 8 - 10 20 - 13 8 - 10 +13.1      +4.8 65 +8.2 18 72.0 70 +13.5 40 +13.4 12
43 Texas 67.5%   11   19 - 15 6 - 12 19 - 15 6 - 12 +12.1      +7.0 38 +5.1 53 68.2 179 +12.3 46 +11.2 13
52 Vanderbilt 78.5%   10   20 - 12 8 - 10 20 - 12 8 - 10 +11.0      +7.6 31 +3.4 84 72.4 64 +13.8 36 +14.6 9
70 South Carolina 0.0%   12 - 20 2 - 16 12 - 20 2 - 16 +8.1      +2.8 101 +5.3 50 64.2 285 +5.6 93 +3.7 16
86 LSU 0.0%   14 - 18 3 - 15 14 - 18 3 - 15 +6.4      +1.7 125 +4.7 62 69.9 120 +7.7 74 +5.9 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 2.0 100.0
Auburn 1.0 100.0
Alabama 3.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Missouri 6.0 100.0
Kentucky 6.0 100.0
Texas A&M 5.0 100.0
Mississippi 6.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 9.0 100.0
Georgia 9.0 100.0
Oklahoma 13.0 100.0
Arkansas 9.0 100.0
Texas 13.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 9.0 100.0
South Carolina 16.0 100.0
LSU 15.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 14 - 4 100.0
Auburn 15 - 3 100.0
Alabama 13 - 5 100.0
Tennessee 12 - 6 100.0
Missouri 10 - 8 100.0
Kentucky 10 - 8 100.0
Texas A&M 11 - 7 100.0
Mississippi 10 - 8 100.0
Mississippi St. 8 - 10 100.0
Georgia 8 - 10 100.0
Oklahoma 6 - 12 100.0
Arkansas 8 - 10 100.0
Texas 6 - 12 100.0
Vanderbilt 8 - 10 100.0
South Carolina 2 - 16 100.0
LSU 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida
Auburn 100.0% 100.0
Alabama
Tennessee
Missouri
Kentucky
Texas A&M
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
Georgia
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Texas
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
LSU


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   74.3 25.5 0.2
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   83.3 16.7 0.0 100.0%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   43.0 54.6 2.4 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   25.7 66.5 7.7 0.1 100.0%
Missouri 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.1 3.4 16.2 34.9 29.6 14.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   0.3 10.3 56.4 29.9 3.0 0.1 100.0%
Texas A&M 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 0.6 15.8 37.4 34.1 10.8 1.2 0.0 100.0%
Mississippi 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 1.7 10.0 36.2 36.6 14.7 0.7 0.0 100.0%
Mississippi St. 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 8   0.1 1.1 13.5 55.2 27.1 1.8 0.0 1.2 98.8%
Georgia 91.4% 0.0% 91.4% 9   0.0 0.1 0.9 11.3 36.3 32.2 10.5 0.2 8.6 91.4%
Oklahoma 92.6% 0.0% 92.6% 10   0.0 3.2 26.6 44.6 17.9 0.2 7.4 92.6%
Arkansas 84.3% 0.0% 84.3% 10   0.0 0.1 6.1 28.6 35.8 13.5 0.2 15.7 84.3%
Texas 67.5% 0.0% 67.5% 11   0.1 1.9 13.6 44.7 7.3 32.5 67.5%
Vanderbilt 78.5% 0.0% 78.5% 10   0.0 2.2 17.7 32.1 25.5 1.0 21.5 78.5%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.7% 85.7% 68.9% 49.5% 32.3% 20.3%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.6% 82.1% 62.7% 43.0% 25.5% 14.3%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 74.0% 50.8% 27.1% 13.7% 6.2%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.7% 70.9% 46.0% 22.2% 10.6% 4.6%
Missouri 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 75.6% 39.3% 14.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.6%
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.4% 52.2% 20.1% 7.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Texas A&M 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.2% 41.9% 13.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Mississippi 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 66.1% 28.0% 8.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Mississippi St. 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 52.6% 10.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Georgia 91.4% 5.2% 89.2% 41.1% 9.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Oklahoma 92.6% 8.5% 88.9% 38.1% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Arkansas 84.3% 6.7% 81.1% 34.1% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Texas 67.5% 43.8% 46.3% 17.2% 4.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 78.5% 16.6% 69.4% 22.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 13.1 0.1 1.8 16.9 47.6 33.6
1st Round 100.0% 12.7 0.2 4.7 31.0 49.4 14.7
2nd Round 100.0% 9.1 0.0 0.2 1.8 8.1 20.8 30.6 24.4 11.2 2.6 0.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 5.2 0.1 1.2 7.0 19.5 31.8 26.9 10.9 2.3 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 99.3% 3.0 0.7 6.7 23.9 37.4 24.2 6.5 0.6 0.0
Final Four 92.1% 1.7 7.9 34.6 42.4 14.0 1.1
Final Game 72.5% 0.9 27.5 55.6 16.9
Champion 47.4% 0.5 52.6 47.4