Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.1#32
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#31
Pace69.4#133
Improvement-2.1#272

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#23
First Shot+5.4#53
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#25
Layup/Dunks+3.6#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#131
Freethrows-0.5#205
Improvement-1.1#238

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#45
First Shot+5.1#45
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#128
Layups/Dunks+8.7#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
Freethrows+0.7#126
Improvement-0.9#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.8% n/a n/a
Second Round52.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b5 - 17 - 10
Quad 26 - 213 - 12
Quad 32 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 348   West Georgia W 95-60 99%     1 - 0 +19.6 +11.0 +7.1
  Nov 08, 2024 257   Georgia St. W 101-66 97%     2 - 0 +27.2 +15.0 +9.9
  Nov 12, 2024 214   SE Louisiana W 80-59 96%     3 - 0 +15.3 +2.2 +12.5
  Nov 17, 2024 69   Utah W 78-73 71%     4 - 0 +13.2 +6.7 +6.3
  Nov 22, 2024 45   @ SMU W 84-79 49%     5 - 0 +19.2 +16.4 +2.8
  Nov 28, 2024 94   UNLV W 80-58 80%     6 - 0 +27.2 +16.6 +11.9
  Nov 29, 2024 73   Butler L 77-87 73%     6 - 1 -2.2 +2.5 -4.4
  Dec 04, 2024 62   Pittsburgh W 90-57 76%     7 - 1 +39.7 +22.2 +18.6
  Dec 08, 2024 360   Prairie View W 91-84 99%     8 - 1 -12.0 +11.6 -23.4
  Dec 14, 2024 65   McNeese St. W 66-63 71%     9 - 1 +11.3 +2.1 +9.4
  Dec 17, 2024 217   Central Michigan W 83-59 94%     10 - 1 +20.9 +16.3 +6.8
  Dec 21, 2024 54   @ Memphis W 79-66 53%     11 - 1 +26.4 +11.9 +14.2
  Dec 30, 2024 299   Bethune-Cookman W 87-73 98%     12 - 1 +3.3 +11.6 -8.3
  Jan 04, 2025 70   South Carolina W 85-50 80%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +40.4 +17.9 +23.2
  Jan 07, 2025 52   @ Vanderbilt W 76-64 51%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +25.7 +10.5 +15.6
  Jan 11, 2025 16   Kentucky L 90-95 50%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +9.1 +15.7 -6.4
  Jan 14, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 66-88 12%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +4.6 +3.0 +1.9
  Jan 18, 2025 29   Mississippi W 84-81 OT 58%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +14.9 +12.0 +2.7
  Jan 21, 2025 6   @ Tennessee L 56-68 19%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +11.4 +3.7 +6.1
  Jan 25, 2025 70   @ South Carolina W 65-60 OT 62%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +15.9 -1.7 +17.5
  Jan 29, 2025 5   Alabama L 84-88 33%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +14.6 +17.7 -3.1
  Feb 01, 2025 15   Missouri L 61-88 49%     16 - 6 4 - 5 -12.7 -4.7 -10.0
  Feb 08, 2025 33   @ Georgia W 76-75 40%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +17.7 +17.0 +0.8
  Feb 11, 2025 2   Florida L 68-81 21%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +9.5 +3.1 +6.5
  Feb 15, 2025 29   @ Mississippi W 81-71 37%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +27.4 +10.3 +16.3
  Feb 18, 2025 22   Texas A&M W 70-54 53%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +29.3 +8.7 +21.4
  Feb 22, 2025 37   @ Oklahoma L 87-93 42%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +10.0 +14.0 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 73-111 17%     19 - 9 7 - 8 -13.9 +2.4 -12.9
  Mar 01, 2025 86   LSU W 81-69 83%     20 - 9 8 - 8 +15.7 +17.0 -0.5
  Mar 04, 2025 43   Texas L 82-87 OT 67%     20 - 10 8 - 9 +4.4 +2.2 +2.9
  Mar 08, 2025 38   @ Arkansas L 92-93 43%     20 - 11 8 - 10 +14.8 +28.3 -13.5
  Mar 12, 2025 86   LSU W 91-62 77%     21 - 11 +35.4 +17.9 +15.9
  Mar 13, 2025 15   Missouri L 73-85 38%     21 - 12 +5.1 +1.1 +4.5
Projected Record 21 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 98.8% 98.8% 8.1 0.1 1.1 13.5 55.2 27.1 1.8 0.0 1.2 98.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 8.1 0.1 1.1 13.5 55.2 27.1 1.8 0.0 1.2 98.8%