Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#38
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#40
Pace72.0#70
Improvement+1.3#136

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#65
First Shot+5.1#59
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#205
Layup/Dunks+5.0#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
Freethrows+0.1#166
Improvement+1.5#111

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#18
First Shot+5.0#49
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#6
Layups/Dunks-0.6#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#173
Freethrows+2.9#25
Improvement-0.2#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.7% n/a n/a
First Round81.1% n/a n/a
Second Round34.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 35 - 10
Quad 24 - 39 - 13
Quad 34 - 013 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 97   Lipscomb W 76-60 84%     1 - 0 +18.3 -1.1 +18.5
  Nov 09, 2024 26   Baylor L 67-72 42%     1 - 1 +10.2 +4.8 +5.0
  Nov 13, 2024 101   Troy W 65-49 86%     2 - 1 +17.6 -3.9 +21.8
  Nov 18, 2024 288   Pacific W 91-72 97%     3 - 1 +8.7 +6.4 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 254   Arkansas Little Rock W 79-67 96%     4 - 1 +4.3 -1.1 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 109-35 99%     5 - 1 +55.1 +18.5 +30.8
  Nov 28, 2024 20   Illinois L 77-90 38%     5 - 2 +3.3 +7.8 -4.1
  Dec 03, 2024 174   @ Miami (FL) W 76-73 85%     6 - 2 +4.8 +2.0 +3.0
  Dec 07, 2024 185   Texas San Antonio W 75-60 94%     7 - 2 +10.7 +2.0 +9.3
  Dec 10, 2024 24   Michigan W 89-87 41%     8 - 2 +17.5 +16.5 +0.7
  Dec 14, 2024 343   Central Arkansas W 82-57 99%     9 - 2 +9.9 +8.2 +3.7
  Dec 21, 2024 329   N.C. A&T W 95-67 98%     10 - 2 +14.6 +11.0 +1.9
  Dec 30, 2024 182   Oakland W 92-62 94%     11 - 2 +25.9 +14.6 +10.8
  Jan 04, 2025 6   @ Tennessee L 52-76 17%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -0.6 -4.3 +1.9
  Jan 08, 2025 29   Mississippi L 66-73 55%     11 - 4 0 - 2 +4.9 +3.7 +0.7
  Jan 11, 2025 2   Florida L 63-71 19%     11 - 5 0 - 3 +14.5 +0.0 +14.4
  Jan 14, 2025 86   @ LSU L 74-78 65%     11 - 6 0 - 4 +5.2 +6.5 -1.3
  Jan 18, 2025 15   @ Missouri L 65-83 26%     11 - 7 0 - 5 +1.8 -2.4 +4.2
  Jan 22, 2025 33   Georgia W 68-65 57%     12 - 7 1 - 5 +14.2 +6.3 +8.1
  Jan 25, 2025 37   Oklahoma L 62-65 60%     12 - 8 1 - 6 +7.5 -2.4 +9.7
  Feb 01, 2025 16   @ Kentucky W 89-79 27%     13 - 8 2 - 6 +29.6 +19.5 +9.7
  Feb 05, 2025 43   @ Texas W 78-70 43%     14 - 8 3 - 6 +22.9 +7.8 +14.7
  Feb 08, 2025 5   Alabama L 81-85 30%     14 - 9 3 - 7 +14.6 +10.5 +4.3
  Feb 12, 2025 86   LSU W 70-58 81%     15 - 9 4 - 7 +15.7 +6.5 +10.2
  Feb 15, 2025 22   @ Texas A&M L 61-69 29%     15 - 10 4 - 8 +10.8 +3.3 +6.9
  Feb 19, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 60-67 11%     15 - 11 4 - 9 +19.6 -1.1 +20.6
  Feb 22, 2025 15   Missouri W 92-85 45%     16 - 11 5 - 9 +21.3 +12.5 +8.1
  Feb 26, 2025 43   Texas W 86-81 OT 64%     17 - 11 6 - 9 +14.4 +8.2 +5.7
  Mar 01, 2025 70   @ South Carolina L 53-72 59%     17 - 12 6 - 10 -8.1 -12.3 +3.8
  Mar 04, 2025 52   @ Vanderbilt W 90-77 47%     18 - 12 7 - 10 +26.7 +12.1 +13.2
  Mar 08, 2025 32   Mississippi St. W 93-92 57%     19 - 12 8 - 10 +12.3 +24.0 -11.7
  Mar 12, 2025 70   South Carolina W 72-68 68%     20 - 12 +12.1 +8.2 +4.1
  Mar 13, 2025 29   Mississippi L 80-83 44%     20 - 13 +11.7 +8.7 +3.1
Projected Record 20 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 84.3% 84.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 6.1 28.6 35.8 13.5 0.2 15.7 84.3%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 84.3% 0.0% 84.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 6.1 28.6 35.8 13.5 0.2 15.7 84.3%