Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
65 McNeese St. 100.0%   12   25 - 6 19 - 1 25 - 6 19 - 1 +8.3      +4.6 67 +3.7 82 64.2 284 +7.6 77 +11.7 1
173 Lamar 0.0%   17 - 13 14 - 6 17 - 13 14 - 6 -0.9      -3.9 279 +3.0 94 64.3 283 -0.6 171 +1.2 2
176 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 8 16 - 14 12 - 8 -1.0      -1.3 210 +0.3 168 68.5 165 -2.8 206 -1.9 5
179 Nicholls St. 0.0%   17 - 13 13 - 7 17 - 13 13 - 7 -1.1      -0.9 202 -0.1 177 69.7 126 -0.5 170 -0.5 3
214 SE Louisiana 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 8 16 - 14 12 - 8 -2.9      -1.7 218 -1.2 210 67.4 201 -2.9 210 -2.0 6
245 Northwestern St. 0.0%   14 - 16 12 - 8 14 - 16 12 - 8 -4.5      -3.1 252 -1.4 217 61.7 338 -2.5 198 -1.8 4
262 Incarnate Word 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 11 13 - 16 9 - 11 -5.5      -1.2 208 -4.3 304 61.9 333 -6.2 269 -6.5 8
266 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   12 - 15 8 - 12 12 - 15 8 - 12 -5.8      -2.2 227 -3.6 278 74.9 35 -5.3 256 -6.6 9
280 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 13 11 - 17 7 - 13 -6.9      -7.9 344 +1.0 145 68.3 171 -6.0 267 -7.9 10
283 Houston Christian 0.0%   10 - 20 9 - 11 10 - 20 9 - 11 -7.0      -4.5 290 -2.5 246 62.9 315 -7.9 298 -6.1 7
335 Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0%   5 - 24 3 - 17 5 - 26 3 - 17 -11.3      -7.4 340 -3.9 289 67.0 211 -12.7 342 -14.8 11
353 New Orleans 0.0%   4 - 27 2 - 18 4 - 27 2 - 18 -13.6      -5.5 314 -8.2 357 72.4 65 -14.0 350 -17.1 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
McNeese St. 1.0 100.0
Lamar 2.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 3.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 4.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 4.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 7.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 9.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 10.0 100.0
Houston Christian 7.0 100.0
Texas A&M - Commerce 11.0 100.0
New Orleans 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
McNeese St. 19 - 1 100.0
Lamar 14 - 6 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 12 - 8 100.0
Nicholls St. 13 - 7 100.0
SE Louisiana 12 - 8 100.0
Northwestern St. 12 - 8 100.0
Incarnate Word 9 - 11 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 8 - 12 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 7 - 13 100.0
Houston Christian 9 - 11 100.0
Texas A&M - Commerce 3 - 17 100.0
New Orleans 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
McNeese St. 100.0% 100.0
Lamar
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Nicholls St.
SE Louisiana
Northwestern St.
Incarnate Word
UT Rio Grande Valley
Stephen F. Austin
Houston Christian
Texas A&M - Commerce
New Orleans


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
McNeese St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 58.3 39.9 1.7
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
McNeese St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 20.1% 5.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 20.1% 0.2 79.9 20.1
Sweet Sixteen 5.2% 0.1 94.8 5.2
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.5
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0