Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#280
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Pace68.3#171
Improvement-2.6#285

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#344
First Shot-10.1#360
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#54
Layup/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#347
Freethrows-3.4#349
Improvement+3.5#33

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#145
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#349
Layups/Dunks-0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#84
Freethrows+0.0#185
Improvement-6.0#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 23 - 7
Quad 48 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 68   @ Drake L 51-66 6%     0 - 1 -4.0 -8.5 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 98   @ Arkansas St. L 49-59 9%     0 - 2 -2.3 -16.0 +12.9
  Nov 21, 2024 239   Presbyterian L 55-58 OT 51%     0 - 3 -10.1 -25.8 +15.9
  Nov 22, 2024 251   Monmouth W 72-67 53%     1 - 3 -2.6 -3.3 +0.9
  Nov 23, 2024 199   Youngstown St. W 64-57 42%     2 - 3 +2.0 -6.2 +8.6
  Nov 29, 2024 344   @ Louisiana Monroe W 68-60 61%     3 - 3 -1.7 +0.1 -0.7
  Dec 05, 2024 266   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-68 35%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -6.0 -10.6 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2024 176   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 48-67 21%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -17.2 -18.3 -0.9
  Dec 15, 2024 34   @ Oregon L 61-79 2%     3 - 6 -1.4 -3.8 +2.6
  Dec 31, 2024 215   @ Abilene Christian W 62-57 26%     4 - 6 +4.8 -10.3 +14.8
  Jan 04, 2025 262   Incarnate Word L 49-55 55%     4 - 7 0 - 3 -14.2 -21.7 +6.6
  Jan 06, 2025 283   Houston Christian L 73-83 61%     4 - 8 0 - 4 -19.8 -5.8 -13.7
  Jan 11, 2025 173   @ Lamar W 72-63 20%     5 - 8 1 - 4 +10.8 +9.0 +2.5
  Jan 13, 2025 214   SE Louisiana L 59-66 45%     5 - 9 1 - 5 -12.7 -11.0 -2.3
  Jan 18, 2025 179   @ Nicholls St. L 61-73 21%     5 - 10 1 - 6 -10.3 -8.7 -2.0
  Jan 20, 2025 65   @ McNeese St. L 59-79 6%     5 - 11 1 - 7 -8.9 -3.3 -7.5
  Jan 25, 2025 245   Northwestern St. L 54-57 OT 51%     5 - 12 1 - 8 -10.3 -25.0 +14.9
  Jan 27, 2025 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-72 75%     6 - 12 2 - 8 -7.0 +8.3 -14.7
  Feb 01, 2025 173   Lamar L 62-67 38%     6 - 13 2 - 9 -8.7 -7.0 -1.8
  Feb 03, 2025 353   @ New Orleans W 88-85 OT 65%     7 - 13 3 - 9 -7.9 +2.3 -10.4
  Feb 08, 2025 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-64 38%     8 - 13 4 - 9 +10.3 +2.3 +7.6
  Feb 10, 2025 266   UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-75 56%     9 - 13 5 - 9 +1.5 +2.2 -1.3
  Feb 15, 2025 245   @ Northwestern St. W 70-68 31%     10 - 13 6 - 9 +0.2 +2.0 -1.7
  Feb 17, 2025 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-74 56%     11 - 13 7 - 9 -6.5 -0.3 -6.2
  Feb 22, 2025 262   @ Incarnate Word L 61-63 34%     11 - 14 7 - 10 -4.7 -7.8 +2.8
  Feb 24, 2025 283   @ Houston Christian L 56-72 40%     11 - 15 7 - 11 -20.3 -15.7 -5.2
  Mar 01, 2025 179   Nicholls St. L 70-94 38%     11 - 16 7 - 12 -27.8 -7.5 -19.2
  Mar 03, 2025 65   McNeese St. L 64-95 13%     11 - 17 7 - 13 -25.4 -8.4 -16.2
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%