Pre-tourney Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#65
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#77
Pace64.2#284
Improvement+0.7#166

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#67
First Shot+4.5#67
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#177
Layup/Dunks+4.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#282
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement+2.2#86

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#82
First Shot+5.5#40
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#316
Layups/Dunks+7.5#13
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#281
Freethrows-0.6#232
Improvement-1.5#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round20.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 27 - 6
Quad 418 - 025 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 135   South Dakota St. L 73-80 74%     0 - 1 -5.4 -3.8 -1.2
  Nov 11, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 64-72 8%     0 - 2 +16.1 +2.9 +12.8
  Nov 18, 2024 81   North Texas W 68-61 66%     1 - 2 +11.2 +5.3 +6.5
  Nov 22, 2024 137   Illinois St. W 76-68 74%     2 - 2 +9.5 +11.2 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2024 226   Longwood W 84-69 86%     3 - 2 +11.5 +8.5 +3.0
  Nov 25, 2024 67   Liberty L 58-62 50%     3 - 3 +4.3 -1.1 +4.7
  Dec 03, 2024 56   Santa Clara L 67-74 53%     3 - 4 +0.5 +1.9 -2.0
  Dec 14, 2024 32   Mississippi St. L 63-66 29%     3 - 5 +11.1 +0.9 +10.0
  Dec 22, 2024 306   @ Louisiana W 64-56 90%     4 - 5 +2.2 -2.4 +5.5
  Dec 28, 2024 353   New Orleans W 86-61 98%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +8.6 +11.5 -0.6
  Dec 30, 2024 214   SE Louisiana W 79-51 90%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +22.3 +6.5 +16.8
  Jan 04, 2025 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-56 93%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +10.5 +1.2 +9.7
  Jan 06, 2025 245   @ Northwestern St. W 92-69 83%     8 - 5 4 - 0 +21.2 +27.8 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2025 179   Nicholls St. W 80-71 87%     9 - 5 5 - 0 +5.2 +3.0 +1.9
  Jan 13, 2025 283   @ Houston Christian W 75-59 88%     10 - 5 6 - 0 +11.7 +1.9 +10.0
  Jan 18, 2025 173   Lamar W 75-64 87%     11 - 5 7 - 0 +7.3 +11.6 -3.1
  Jan 20, 2025 280   Stephen F. Austin W 79-59 94%     12 - 5 8 - 0 +10.3 +13.1 -0.9
  Jan 25, 2025 266   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 93-63 85%     13 - 5 9 - 0 +27.0 +22.0 +6.3
  Jan 27, 2025 176   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-73 73%     14 - 5 10 - 0 +2.8 +5.3 -2.5
  Feb 01, 2025 179   @ Nicholls St. L 63-71 74%     14 - 6 10 - 1 -6.3 -4.8 -2.0
  Feb 03, 2025 262   Incarnate Word W 67-65 93%     15 - 6 11 - 1 -6.2 +1.5 -7.3
  Feb 08, 2025 245   Northwestern St. W 65-50 92%     16 - 6 12 - 1 +7.7 -4.0 +13.2
  Feb 10, 2025 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 67-51 97%     17 - 6 13 - 1 +2.0 +0.7 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2025 353   @ New Orleans W 78-64 95%     18 - 6 14 - 1 +3.1 +2.2 +1.6
  Feb 17, 2025 214   @ SE Louisiana W 88-82 79%     19 - 6 15 - 1 +5.8 +21.5 -15.3
  Feb 22, 2025 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-57 87%     20 - 6 16 - 1 +12.3 +13.3 +2.0
  Feb 24, 2025 266   UT Rio Grande Valley W 100-65 93%     21 - 6 17 - 1 +26.5 +9.5 +12.5
  Mar 01, 2025 173   @ Lamar W 68-66 73%     22 - 6 18 - 1 +3.8 +5.8 -1.7
  Mar 03, 2025 280   @ Stephen F. Austin W 95-64 87%     23 - 6 19 - 1 +26.8 +21.8 +4.2
  Mar 11, 2025 245   Northwestern St. W 83-64 88%     24 - 6 +14.5 +17.1 -0.8
  Mar 12, 2025 173   Lamar W 63-54 81%     25 - 6 +8.1 -0.3 +9.3
Projected Record 25 - 6 19 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.4 0.1 58.3 39.9 1.7
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.1 58.3 39.9 1.7