Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Conference USA
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#123
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#115
Pace63.0#313
Improvement+2.0#109

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#140
First Shot+0.9#140
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#163
Layup/Dunks-0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#204
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement-1.8#266

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#139
First Shot-1.0#213
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#38
Layups/Dunks+4.4#47
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#359
Freethrows+1.0#110
Improvement+3.7#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 311 - 513 - 10
Quad 46 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 296   @ Air Force L 67-73 76%     0 - 1 -11.0 -0.7 -10.9
  Nov 13, 2024 257   Georgia St. W 72-67 83%     1 - 1 -2.8 -10.8 +7.8
  Nov 17, 2024 317   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-53 80%     2 - 1 +11.3 +8.3 +6.6
  Nov 21, 2024 166   East Carolina W 86-78 61%     3 - 1 +7.6 +13.6 -5.9
  Nov 22, 2024 247   Toledo L 80-82 75%     3 - 2 -6.6 +4.0 -10.7
  Nov 23, 2024 165   James Madison L 65-71 61%     3 - 3 -6.4 -3.4 -3.7
  Dec 08, 2024 132   @ South Alabama L 74-76 41%     3 - 4 +2.6 +9.8 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 111   Utah Valley W 70-66 56%     4 - 4 +4.9 +0.9 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2024 15   @ Missouri L 72-83 6%     4 - 5 +8.8 +14.7 -7.4
  Dec 21, 2024 194   @ Eastern Kentucky W 91-80 56%     5 - 5 +11.8 +17.7 -5.7
  Jan 04, 2025 134   @ Kennesaw St. L 71-83 42%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -7.5 +3.0 -10.8
  Jan 09, 2025 160   @ Western Kentucky W 73-67 48%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +8.8 +3.6 +5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-81 37%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -11.3 -6.2 -5.0
  Jan 16, 2025 120   Louisiana Tech W 63-61 60%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +1.9 +5.5 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2025 178   Sam Houston St. W 70-62 72%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +4.2 +0.8 +4.3
  Jan 23, 2025 158   @ UTEP W 73-66 48%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +10.0 +3.8 +6.3
  Jan 25, 2025 129   @ New Mexico St. W 65-59 41%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +10.7 +0.7 +10.3
  Jan 30, 2025 252   Florida International W 71-67 83%     11 - 7 6 - 2 -3.7 +1.4 -4.9
  Feb 01, 2025 67   Liberty W 72-61 38%     12 - 7 7 - 2 +16.5 +9.3 +8.2
  Feb 06, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee W 77-63 58%     13 - 7 8 - 2 +14.2 +9.3 +5.8
  Feb 08, 2025 160   Western Kentucky W 85-83 69%     14 - 7 9 - 2 -0.7 +12.3 -13.1
  Feb 13, 2025 178   @ Sam Houston St. L 61-66 53%     14 - 8 9 - 3 -3.3 -10.6 +7.1
  Feb 15, 2025 120   @ Louisiana Tech W 70-68 39%     15 - 8 10 - 3 +7.4 +6.7 +0.8
  Feb 20, 2025 129   New Mexico St. L 52-61 62%     15 - 9 10 - 4 -9.8 -8.5 -3.0
  Feb 22, 2025 158   UTEP W 73-65 68%     16 - 9 11 - 4 +5.5 +1.5 +4.1
  Feb 27, 2025 67   @ Liberty L 55-59 20%     16 - 10 11 - 5 +7.0 -4.3 +10.8
  Mar 01, 2025 252   @ Florida International W 84-79 2OT 67%     17 - 10 12 - 5 +2.8 +3.1 -0.9
  Mar 08, 2025 134   Kennesaw St. L 70-74 63%     17 - 11 12 - 6 -5.0 +0.7 -5.8
  Mar 12, 2025 252   Florida International W 65-56 76%     18 - 11 +4.1 +0.0 +4.9
  Mar 14, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee W 70-68 48%     19 - 11 +5.0 +8.8 -3.5
  Mar 15, 2025 67   Liberty L 67-79 28%     19 - 12 -3.7 +7.5 -12.7
Projected Record 19 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%