Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Tech
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.4#8
Expected Predictive Rating+17.5#12
Pace64.8#273
Improvement+1.4#133

Offense
Total Offense+12.7#6
First Shot+10.5#7
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#60
Layup/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#18
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#36
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement+1.4#116

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#37
First Shot+5.0#50
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#53
Layups/Dunks+7.8#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
Freethrows+2.2#49
Improvement+0.0#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 4.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 43.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight35.2% n/a n/a
Final Four15.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.5% n/a n/a
National Champion2.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 09 - 5
Quad 24 - 313 - 8
Quad 36 - 019 - 8
Quad 46 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 299   Bethune-Cookman W 94-61 99%     1 - 0 +22.3 +20.9 +2.3
  Nov 08, 2024 245   Northwestern St. W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +13.7 +12.8 +1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 175   Wyoming W 96-49 97%     3 - 0 +43.3 +23.8 +20.0
  Nov 18, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 98-64 99.8%    4 - 0 +12.6 +10.6 +0.8
  Nov 21, 2024 80   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 87%     4 - 1 +6.0 +8.0 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 103   Syracuse W 79-74 92%     5 - 1 +9.2 +10.2 -0.8
  Nov 29, 2024 122   Northern Colorado W 89-64 96%     6 - 1 +24.6 +13.9 +10.8
  Dec 04, 2024 110   DePaul W 76-62 95%     7 - 1 +15.0 +7.8 +8.1
  Dec 08, 2024 22   Texas A&M L 67-72 63%     7 - 2 +11.1 +7.7 +3.1
  Dec 16, 2024 319   Oral Roberts W 86-50 99%     8 - 2 +23.7 +9.4 +16.2
  Dec 21, 2024 173   Lamar W 101-57 97%     9 - 2 +40.3 +31.4 +9.6
  Dec 31, 2024 71   Central Florida L 83-87 90%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +1.4 +8.0 -6.5
  Jan 04, 2025 69   @ Utah W 93-65 79%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +39.0 +40.1 +3.3
  Jan 07, 2025 19   @ BYU W 72-67 51%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +24.2 +15.2 +9.7
  Jan 11, 2025 11   Iowa St. L 84-85 OT 62%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +15.2 +13.1 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. W 61-57 75%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +16.4 +6.0 +11.0
  Jan 18, 2025 13   Arizona W 70-54 64%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +31.8 +6.1 +26.3
  Jan 21, 2025 48   @ Cincinnati W 81-71 70%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +23.9 +22.0 +2.5
  Jan 26, 2025 93   Oklahoma St. W 64-54 93%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +12.9 -1.9 +15.4
  Jan 29, 2025 74   TCU W 71-57 91%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +18.8 +13.5 +7.2
  Feb 01, 2025 4   @ Houston W 82-81 OT 26%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +27.0 +21.7 +5.2
  Feb 04, 2025 26   Baylor W 73-59 75%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +26.4 +9.2 +18.1
  Feb 08, 2025 13   @ Arizona L 73-82 43%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +12.3 +7.6 +4.8
  Feb 12, 2025 75   Arizona St. W 111-106 2OT 91%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +9.8 +19.5 -10.7
  Feb 15, 2025 93   @ Oklahoma St. W 93-55 85%     20 - 5 11 - 3 +46.4 +26.9 +19.8
  Feb 18, 2025 74   @ TCU L 66-69 81%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +7.3 +9.5 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2025 47   West Virginia W 73-51 84%     21 - 6 12 - 4 +30.6 +15.4 +17.4
  Feb 24, 2025 4   Houston L 61-69 46%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +12.5 +6.8 +4.6
  Mar 01, 2025 18   @ Kansas W 78-73 51%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +24.2 +19.4 +5.0
  Mar 05, 2025 76   Colorado W 91-75 91%     23 - 7 14 - 5 +20.7 +26.1 -4.8
  Mar 08, 2025 75   @ Arizona St. W 85-57 81%     24 - 7 15 - 5 +38.3 +25.7 +15.3
  Mar 13, 2025 26   Baylor W 76-74 66%     25 - 7 +17.2 +20.2 -2.7
  Mar 14, 2025 13   Arizona L 80-86 54%     25 - 8 +12.5 +17.5 -5.2
Projected Record 25 - 8 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.6 4.8 38.2 45.9 10.6 0.5 0.0 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.6 4.8 38.2 45.9 10.6 0.5 0.0 100.0%