Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#74
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#59
Pace66.6#217
Improvement-2.4#280

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#162
First Shot-1.1#208
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#89
Layup/Dunks+2.6#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#255
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement-0.1#194

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#32
First Shot+6.3#26
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#113
Layups/Dunks+2.3#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#249
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#47
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement-2.3#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 64 - 11
Quad 24 - 58 - 16
Quad 33 - 011 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 325   Florida A&M W 105-59 96%     1 - 0 +33.3 +25.5 +8.2
  Nov 08, 2024 184   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-51 86%     2 - 0 +11.8 -2.7 +16.0
  Nov 12, 2024 203   Texas St. W 76-71 88%     3 - 0 -0.2 -5.4 +5.0
  Nov 15, 2024 24   @ Michigan L 64-76 16%     3 - 1 +6.2 -0.8 +7.5
  Nov 19, 2024 326   Alcorn St. W 71-48 96%     4 - 1 +10.0 -2.0 +13.6
  Nov 28, 2024 56   Santa Clara L 52-69 40%     4 - 2 -6.8 -16.0 +9.0
  Nov 29, 2024 44   Colorado St. L 72-76 OT 34%     4 - 3 +7.9 -4.3 +12.6
  Dec 05, 2024 39   Xavier W 76-72 40%     5 - 3 +14.2 +11.6 +2.7
  Dec 08, 2024 52   Vanderbilt L 74-83 37%     5 - 4 +2.0 +0.6 +1.9
  Dec 16, 2024 132   South Alabama W 58-49 79%     6 - 4 +8.1 -5.0 +14.5
  Dec 22, 2024 186   Montana St. W 82-48 86%     7 - 4 +29.7 +8.6 +21.6
  Dec 30, 2024 13   @ Arizona L 81-90 11%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +12.3 +22.9 -11.3
  Jan 04, 2025 59   Kansas St. W 63-62 53%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +7.9 +1.1 +6.9
  Jan 06, 2025 4   @ Houston L 46-65 5%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +7.0 -4.4 +7.7
  Jan 11, 2025 19   BYU W 71-67 28%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +17.7 +5.5 +12.4
  Jan 15, 2025 69   Utah L 65-73 58%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -2.5 -2.3 -0.6
  Jan 19, 2025 26   @ Baylor W 74-71 17%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +20.9 +11.0 +10.0
  Jan 22, 2025 18   Kansas L 61-74 28%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +0.7 -1.1 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2025 71   @ Central Florida L 58-85 37%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -16.1 -9.9 -6.9
  Jan 29, 2025 8   @ Texas Tech L 57-71 9%     10 - 10 3 - 6 +8.2 +0.0 +6.3
  Feb 02, 2025 76   Colorado W 68-57 61%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +15.7 +8.4 +8.7
  Feb 05, 2025 47   West Virginia W 65-60 46%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +13.6 +6.1 +8.0
  Feb 08, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. L 52-82 10%     12 - 11 5 - 7 -8.3 -6.0 -4.0
  Feb 12, 2025 93   Oklahoma St. W 73-72 68%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +3.9 +0.0 +3.8
  Feb 15, 2025 75   @ Arizona St. W 74-70 39%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +14.3 +1.2 +12.8
  Feb 18, 2025 8   Texas Tech W 69-66 19%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +19.7 +9.7 +10.4
  Feb 22, 2025 48   @ Cincinnati L 63-75 27%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +1.9 +4.3 -3.3
  Feb 25, 2025 47   @ West Virginia L 55-73 26%     15 - 13 8 - 9 -3.9 -3.2 -1.9
  Mar 01, 2025 71   Central Florida W 89-78 59%     16 - 13 9 - 9 +16.4 +10.0 +5.5
  Mar 04, 2025 26   Baylor L 58-61 32%     16 - 14 9 - 10 +9.4 +1.2 +7.6
  Mar 08, 2025 76   @ Colorado L 56-76 40%     16 - 15 9 - 11 -9.8 -9.7 -0.1
  Mar 11, 2025 76   Colorado L 67-69 50%     16 - 16 +5.5 +2.4 +3.0
Projected Record 16 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.2%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.2%