Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
80 McNeese St. 100.0%   12   26 - 5 19 - 3 +7.5      +2.8 102 +4.7 59 65.9 249 +10.1 62 +7.3 2
106 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   26 - 5 20 - 2 +4.3      +1.5 125 +2.8 100 65.1 272 +7.4 82 +10.7 1
134 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   17 - 14 14 - 8 +1.7      +0.5 152 +1.2 135 66.5 229 -0.4 167 0.0 3
177 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   14 - 15 13 - 9 -1.1      -3.0 253 +2.0 121 65.8 255 -1.5 188 -0.9 4
201 New Orleans 0.0%   15 - 18 12 - 10 -2.1      -0.1 167 -2.1 240 73.2 58 -1.8 195 -2.1 6
237 Lamar 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 15 -4.7      -4.4 288 -0.3 181 64.5 284 -7.1 283 -7.9 10
241 Nicholls St. 0.0%   13 - 19 12 - 10 -4.8      -2.8 245 -2.0 237 70.1 130 -3.6 229 -1.8 5
267 Incarnate Word 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 15 -5.9      -0.5 178 -5.4 319 63.9 300 -7.3 286 -7.8 9
279 Northwestern St. 0.0%   8 - 22 8 - 14 -6.9      -5.1 299 -1.8 228 63.3 314 -8.5 299 -6.4 8
286 SE Louisiana 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 16 -7.3      -6.6 329 -0.7 197 64.9 276 -8.4 297 -9.0 12
290 Houston Christian 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 14 -7.5      -4.4 289 -3.1 265 62.2 336 -7.2 284 -6.3 7
303 East Texas A&M 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 16 -8.6      -6.3 325 -2.3 248 70.6 118 -7.4 287 -8.8 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
McNeese St. 2.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 3.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.0 100.0
New Orleans 5.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 5.0 100.0
Houston Christian 7.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 7.0 100.0
Lamar 9.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 9.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 11.0 100.0
East Texas A&M 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0
Stephen F. Austin 20 - 2 26 - 5 100.0
McNeese St. 19 - 3 26 - 5 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 14 - 8 17 - 14 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 13 - 9 14 - 15 100.0
New Orleans 12 - 10 15 - 18 100.0
Nicholls St. 12 - 10 13 - 19 100.0
Houston Christian 8 - 14 10 - 20 100.0
Northwestern St. 8 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
Lamar 7 - 15 10 - 19 100.0
Incarnate Word 7 - 15 9 - 19 100.0
SE Louisiana 6 - 16 8 - 22 100.0
East Texas A&M 6 - 16 9 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
McNeese St.
UT Rio Grande Valley
TX A&M Corpus Christi
New Orleans
Nicholls St.
Houston Christian
Northwestern St.
Lamar
Incarnate Word
SE Louisiana
East Texas A&M


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
McNeese St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 12.4 82.4 5.2 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.8
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
McNeese St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.8% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%