Pre-tourney Rankings
East Texas A&M
Southland
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.6 303
Results Rating -7.4 287
Consistency 0.18 307
Pace 70.6 118
Improvement +0.9 152

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 325 D+ D- C- F C+
Defense C- 248 D+ D C C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 275 C- 57% 204 -2.3 265
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 267 D+ 35% 278 -1.9 278
Three Pointers 47% 51 D 31% 308 +1.2 142
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 157 D+ -3.1 290
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 272
Second Chance D- 24.3% 333 D- 0.91 327 D- 0.22 347
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 198
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 297
Turnovers C- 17.7% 257
Freethrows F+ 0.24 346 F+ 66% 352 F 0.16 358
Total Offense D -6.3 325

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 107 C- 12.0% 240
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 13 B- 3.7% 86
Three Pointers C 84% 195 D 1.4% 317
Total B 62% 51 C 5.6% 188


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 33 C+ 57% 150 +3.0 284
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 329 C+ 37% 154 -1.9 35
Three Pointers 40% 223 F+ 38% 348 +1.8 283
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 344 D+ +1.8 255
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 277
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 285 D 1.13 314 D 0.37 318
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.4% 113
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 291
Turnovers C 16.9% 164
Freethrows C- 0.32 220 C+ 72% 134 C- 0.23 217
Total Defense C- -2.3 248

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 312 C 11.1% 166
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 209 D- 1.9% 328
Three Pointers D 88% 300 D 0.2% 335
Total D 62% 318 C 5.3% 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 161 17.1 138
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 235 0.18 226
Consistency 0.14 267 0.15 326
Improvement +1.8 107 -0.8 233

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 303 303 303
Results Rating Rank 287 287 287
Conference Record 6 - 16 6 - 16 6 - 16
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 11
Quad 48 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 54 @New Mexico L 54 - 76 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 D+ -8 F -20 F D- F A+ +13 A+ F A
 Sun, Nov 9 113 @Hawaii L 74 - 100 9% -17  3% 0 - 2 F -20 C- -2 B- D- D F -15 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 224 @Rice L 64 - 71 22% -2  41% 0 - 3 D+ -8 F+ -9 C- F+ F C+ +1 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70 - 65 52% -5  26% 1 - 3 C- -4 D- -7 C- D- F B- +3 F D A+
 Tue, Nov 25 340 Army W 84 - 67 65% +10  73% 2 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +3 B+ D- D- C+ +1 C- B- C+
 Fri, Dec 5 9 @Connecticut L 59 - 83 1% -13  0% 2 - 4 C -1 C- -1 A- F+ C C- -2 B- B F
 Sun, Dec 7 169 Central Arkansas W 75 - 68 31% +1  48% 3 - 4 C+ +4 D- -7 F B+ C+ A +10 C A+ C
 Fri, Dec 12 80 @McNeese St. L 66 - 102 5% -26  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 F -26 F -11 D+ F F+ F -11 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 15 286 @SE Louisiana W 70 - 69 34% -1  41% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C- -3 C +1 B- F C+ D+ -5 D B F
 Sun, Dec 21 35 @Texas A&M L 77 - 118 2% -22  1% 4 - 6 F -24 D+ -3 F+ D+ C F -14 F F B
 Mon, Dec 29 106 Stephen F. Austin L 48 - 75 17% -6  14% 4 - 7 1 - 2 F -26 F -22 D- F F D -6 C D- C+
 Wed, Dec 31 237 Lamar L 62 - 69 46% +0  38% 4 - 8 1 - 3 D- -15 F -12 F A F D+ -3 A F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 241 @Nicholls St. L 58 - 80 26% -12  0% 4 - 9 1 - 4 F -24 F -21 F F F C- -2 D+ D B
 Mon, Jan 5 201 @New Orleans L 73 - 83 19% -8  0% 4 - 10 1 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 C- F C+ D -5 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 134 UT Rio Grande Valley W 77 - 69 24% +9  87% 5 - 10 2 - 5 B- +7 B +6 A- A+ D+ C+ +1 D C+ C+
 Mon, Jan 12 177 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 50 - 61 33% -5  5% 5 - 11 2 - 6 F+ -15 F -23 F D+ D+ A- +7 A F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 290 @Houston Christian L 70 - 81 34% +3  71% 5 - 12 2 - 7 F+ -16 D -5 C+ F D- F -10 F F B+
 Mon, Jan 19 267 @Incarnate Word W 80 - 58 29% +11  83% 6 - 12 3 - 7 A +19 A +13 B+ A+ A+ A +9 A+ D- F
 Tue, Jan 27 237 @Lamar L 61 - 82 25% -7  4% 6 - 13 3 - 8 F -23 F -11 F B- A F -12 F F B
 Sat, Jan 31 241 Nicholls St. L 68 - 72 47% -6  8% 6 - 14 3 - 9 D- -12 F+ -10 F+ F C+ C- -2 C- D- C-
 Mon, Feb 2 201 New Orleans L 85 - 94 37% -11  0% 6 - 15 3 - 10 D- -14 D+ -3 C D B- F -10 F A+ D
 Wed, Feb 4 279 @Northwestern St. W 74 - 68 32% +0  42% 7 - 15 4 - 10 C+ +2 B +6 B+ D C D+ -4 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 279 Northwestern St. W 52 - 48 55% +6  91% 8 - 15 5 - 10 D+ -6 F -24 F F B A+ +18 A+ F A+
 Mon, Feb 9 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 70 - 74 8% -2  29% 8 - 16 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +2 A+ F F+ C+ +1 C C+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 80 McNeese St. L 54 - 97 11% -18  3% 8 - 17 5 - 12 F -39 F -17 F F B F -23 F D+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 286 SE Louisiana W 70 - 53 56% +12  86% 9 - 17 6 - 12 B- +7 D -5 C D B- A+ +12 A+ B D-
 Sat, Feb 21 267 Incarnate Word L 73 - 82 51% -5  0% 9 - 18 6 - 13 F+ -18 B +7 B- B A+ F -27 F+ F D+
 Mon, Feb 23 290 Houston Christian L 68 - 69 57% -8  12% 9 - 19 6 - 14 D -12 D -6 F A+ F D -6 C+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 28 134 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 55 - 63 11% +5  76% 9 - 20 6 - 15 C- -3 D -6 F+ F A+ C+ +1 A- F C
 Mon, Mar 2 177 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71 - 84 16% -1  38% 9 - 21 6 - 16 D -11 C+ +2 A D- C F -14 F D- C+
Totals 9 - 21 6 - 16 -9 D -6 F D+ C+ C- -2 D F+ F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- D+ D D+ 35% 30% 47% C+ D+ D- D- D- C- F+ F+ F C- C+ C+ F+ D+ 44% 16% 40% D- D+ D+ D D C C- C+ C-
1.00 57% 35% 31% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.9 .22 18% .24 66% .16 1.12 57% 37% 38% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .37 17% .32 72% .17
Nov
5		 New Mexico F A+ D F F 25% 20% 55% C- F C F D- F F F F A+ A A+ F A+ 51% 16% 33% C- A+ C+ F F A F+ A+ C
0.70 71% 36% 17% -11 -1 0.78 26% 0.6 .17 27% .20 64% .12 0.99 46% 13% 41% -6 +2 0.92 30% 1.4 .43 19% .37 61% .23
Nov
9		 Hawaii C- C+ F B- C+ 46% 11% 43% A- B- D+ F D- D A+ C- A+ F F+ B- F F 56% 13% 31% D- F F F F C- F B+ F
0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35 1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58
Nov
14		 Rice F+ B+ A- F C 33% 37% 31% D C- F C- F+ F F F F C+ A B- F F 44% 13% 42% F F D+ C+ C- A+ C- F D-
0.97 69% 44% 27% +2 -2 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 21% .25 62% .15 1.07 45% 33% 53% +5 +1 1.16 38% 0.9 .34 27% .31 80% .25
Nov
24		 Fairleigh Dickinson D- B F A C- 29% 17% 54% C- C- C- F D- F F F F B- D- B D F 40% 7% 53% F F D- C D A+ F+ A+ C
1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09 0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19
Nov
25		 Army C+ A+ F A- B+ 32% 8% 60% B B+ F A- D- D- B- A A- C+ C+ A+ B C+ 42% 2% 56% F C- C B+ B- C+ F C+ F
1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32 0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25
Dec
5		 Connecticut C- B D+ B+ A 29% 25% 46% D+ A- D F F+ C F B F+ C- D- A+ A B 60% 15% 25% F+ B- C B+ B F A- F+ B
0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17 1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
7		 Central Arkansas D- B- F F F 29% 10% 60% C F F A+ B+ C+ A+ B A+ A D+ A+ A+ B 61% 4% 35% F C A+ B- A+ C B- A+ A+
1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31 0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08
Dec
12		 McNeese St. F C A+ F D 40% 12% 48% B D+ F+ F F F+ F F F F C B+ F F 58% 6% 36% F F F D+ F A+ F D- F
0.84 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.92 27% 0.8 .22 28% .28 56% .16 1.29 58% 33% 58% +13 +3 1.34 41% 1.1 .45 20% .38 79% .30
Dec
15		 SE Louisiana C F A+ A+ B 30% 26% 43% D B- F F F C+ D- A C- D+ B+ C F D- 39% 27% 33% C D B- A- B F C+ F C-
1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27 1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23
Dec
21		 Texas A&M D+ D+ F+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F+ C+ F D+ C A+ B- A+ F F C+ F F 47% 16% 38% B F C+ F F B A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 19% .47 75% .35 1.41 87% 40% 46% +20 +1 1.45 32% 1.8 .58 17% .22 53% .11
Dec
29		 Stephen F. Austin F F F+ A- D 30% 26% 45% D- D- F F F F C F F D A+ F D C- 25% 27% 47% B- C F C D- C+ F D+ F
0.74 36% 33% 38% -5 -1 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 22% .28 29% .08 1.16 38% 50% 38% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 14% .30 71% .21
Dec
31		 Lamar F D F F F 29% 16% 56% C F D+ A+ A F F+ A+ C+ D+ A+ C- A+ A+ 45% 29% 25% F A D+ F F D- F+ C- F+
0.93 54% 14% 28% -10 0 0.82 27% 1.7 .45 24% .32 88% .28 1.04 39% 40% 23% -12 -1 0.76 36% 1.4 .51 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
3		 Nicholls St. F A D F F 47% 6% 47% A- F D F F F F F F C- C+ A+ F+ D+ 38% 8% 55% F+ D+ F A D B F B- F+
0.79 73% 33% 14% -8 +2 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 33% .22 64% .14 1.08 55% 0% 38% -1 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 19% .37 64% .23
Jan
5		 New Orleans D+ F C A+ D+ 41% 9% 50% B+ C- F F F C+ F+ A+ C- D B- F B C- 40% 15% 44% F+ D+ F A+ A+ F F C+ F
1.03 27% 40% 44% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.5 .14 14% .30 83% .25 1.17 52% 63% 30% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.4 .20 13% .48 73% .36
Jan
10		 UT Rio Grande Valley B A- D A- A- 33% 13% 54% B- A- B- A+ A+ D+ F F F C+ C+ A+ F C- 47% 4% 49% F D C- B+ C+ C+ C- A C+
1.17 69% 33% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.4 .50 18% .24 62% .15 1.05 57% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 18% .24 69% .17
Jan
12		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F F+ C F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C F+ D+ D+ C+ F D- A- A D- A+ A 36% 32% 32% A A B- F F A- F C F
0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25 0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31
Jan
17		 Houston Christian D B F A- B- 38% 15% 48% C C+ D+ F F D- C F F F B+ B- F F 43% 13% 43% F F F F F B+ F C+ F
1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15 1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37
Jan
19		 Incarnate Word A B A B+ B 51% 9% 40% A- B+ C A+ A+ A+ D- D+ D- A A+ D A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C A+ D- D D- F D+ F F
1.33 65% 50% 39% +8 +2 1.22 32% 1.6 .52 10% .31 71% .22 0.96 37% 42% 17% -17 0 0.67 35% 1.1 .38 10% .29 88% .26
Jan
27		 Lamar F F F+ F F 50% 13% 37% A- F D+ A+ B- A F F F F D D+ F F 34% 24% 42% F F F C F B D+ B+ C-
0.90 46% 29% 16% -17 +2 0.71 28% 1.3 .37 13% .29 47% .14 1.21 59% 42% 48% +10 -1 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 19% .26 64% .16
Jan
31		 Nicholls St. F+ F+ D C D- 33% 17% 50% D+ F+ C F F C+ B- D C C- D- D+ B+ D+ 36% 28% 36% A C- A- F D- C- F D+ F
0.98 53% 33% 35% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.4 .14 20% .36 75% .27 1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 16% .43 68% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 New Orleans D+ D A+ D C 39% 16% 45% C+ C F A+ D B- A+ B A+ F D B- F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F A- A+ A+ D F D F
1.09 50% 63% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.7 .29 14% .55 76% .42 1.20 62% 36% 73% +14 0 1.29 29% 0.1 .03 17% .55 78% .43
Feb
4		 Northwestern St. B C+ F A+ B 43% 6% 51% A- B+ F A+ D C F A+ F D+ C+ F F F 40% 25% 35% D F A+ F B+ F B+ A+ A+
1.17 62% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 15% 2.0 .31 17% .19 90% .17 1.08 53% 58% 41% +7 0 1.15 13% 1.5 .19 13% .25 50% .13
Feb
7		 Northwestern St. F F F F F 42% 12% 46% B F D+ F F B B D- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% C+ A+ F F F A+ C+ F+ C
0.78 41% 17% 25% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.1 .04 15% .37 67% .25 0.72 17% 27% 25% -23 -1 0.53 34% 1.3 .43 23% .29 80% .23
Feb
9		 Stephen F. Austin C+ A+ C+ B A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ F D+ F F+ D+ D- D C+ C- A+ D B- 47% 22% 31% F C D- A C+ B F B- F
1.05 87% 43% 36% +11 0 1.26 8% 1.0 .08 21% .25 69% .17 1.11 58% 18% 38% -3 +1 0.98 36% 0.8 .31 15% .35 65% .23
Feb
14		 McNeese St. F A F F F 28% 17% 55% C- F F B F B F A+ F+ F D- D- F F 38% 15% 47% C- F A- F D+ F B+ B+ B+
0.79 69% 25% 19% -11 0 0.79 18% 1.2 .21 22% .26 86% .23 1.42 65% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 28% 1.3 .38 6% .25 69% .17
Feb
16		 SE Louisiana D C+ A+ F C 39% 22% 39% C+ C F A+ D B- B F F A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 13% 44% F A+ A D+ B D- C A- B-
1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22 0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19
Feb
21		 Incarnate Word B B C A B 31% 20% 49% D- B- A- C B A+ F F F F A- F F F+ 31% 21% 48% C F+ F F F D+ D- F F
1.28 67% 40% 42% +9 -1 1.18 40% 1.1 .43 10% .16 63% .10 1.43 46% 56% 40% +4 -1 1.10 43% 2.1 .91 14% .33 94% .30
Feb
23		 Houston Christian D D D F F 40% 15% 45% C F C+ A+ A+ F B+ B A- D C B- A B- 43% 18% 39% D C+ F F F C- C- C+ C
1.06 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.93 34% 1.8 .62 23% .35 76% .26 1.08 57% 33% 26% -6 +1 0.92 41% 1.1 .43 17% .28 67% .19
Feb
28		 UT Rio Grande Valley D D A+ F F+ 31% 17% 52% C F+ D+ F F A+ C+ D+ C C+ A D+ B A 44% 12% 44% F+ A- C- F F C F D F
0.96 53% 50% 24% -7 0 0.88 29% 0.4 .12 7% .35 68% .24 1.09 47% 40% 32% -6 +2 0.93 28% 1.3 .38 17% .32 80% .25
Mar
2		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C+ A- A+ A A+ 40% 13% 48% B- A F+ C D- C C- F F F F A+ F F 53% 11% 36% F F F A D- C+ D F F
1.06 68% 50% 39% +9 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 19% .39 48% .18 1.25 75% 20% 44% +12 +2 1.31 48% 0.8 .37 19% .37 80% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16 100.0% 100.0
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%