Pre-tourney Rankings
SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.6 263
Results Rating -6.4 260
Consistency 0.16 224
Pace 62.7 328
Improvement +2.2 111

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 337 D C- D+ D- D-
Defense C+ 132 B- C C- C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 308 D+ 53% 293 -4.3 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 50 D 34% 312 +1.9 77
Three Pointers 37% 260 C 34% 172 -1.8 242
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 331 D+ -2.8 279
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 308
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 259 C 1.02 191 C- 0.28 248
Opponents' Steals D 10.9% 313
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 212
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 287
Freethrows D- 0.26 329 F+ 67% 340 D- 0.17 350
Total Offense D- -7.0 337

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 142 C- 11.4% 206
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 132 C+ 4.2% 127
Three Pointers C- 81% 245 D+ 1.3% 291
Total C 55% 196 C 5.6% 189


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 296 B- 54% 67 -3.9 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 100 C- 40% 261 +1.2 289
Three Pointers 43% 116 B- 32% 108 +0.1 192
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 79 B- -2.0 100
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 99
Second Chance D+ 32.3% 271 B- 0.98 98 C 0.32 202
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 168
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 309
Turnovers C- 15.9% 224
Freethrows C- 0.32 240 C 72% 183 C- 0.23 237
Total Defense C+ +1.4 132

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 200 B+ 15.6% 42
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 46 C- 4.2% 205
Three Pointers C- 85% 229 D+ 0.3% 300
Total C 54% 161 C+ 6.5% 107

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 304 17.7 247
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 340 0.19 261
Consistency 0.12 196 0.13 252
Improvement +1.1 132 +1.1 138

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 263 263 263
Results Rating Rank 260 260 260
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 22 - 3
Quad 414 - 1016 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 335 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 64% +3  60% 1 - 0 B- +8 D -6 D- B+ F A+ +13 A A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 197 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 48% -6  4% 1 - 1 D- -14 F -23 F F F A +9 A+ D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 188 @Drake W 61 - 59 25% +5  73% 2 - 1 C+ +3 D -6 C- F+ C A +10 A+ F D+
 Mon, Nov 17 22 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 2% -12  3% 2 - 2 D+ -5 B- +4 C A- C- F -11 C- C+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 344 @Air Force L 63 - 77 67% -8  1% 2 - 3 F -24 F -14 F D+ F+ F -11 A- F F
 Sun, Nov 23 324 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 68% +2  45% 3 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +9 C C+ A+ D+ -4 A- C- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 337 @North Florida W 72 - 63 65% +1  54% 4 - 3 C -0 D- -7 D- D+ D+ A- +7 B+ C- C
 Sat, Dec 6 276 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 65% -8  0% 4 - 4 F -20 D- -7 F+ D+ A+ F -13 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 322 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 57% -0  42% 4 - 5 0 - 1 D -11 D -5 B- F D+ D -6 F F+ A
 Mon, Dec 22 364 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 84% -3  23% 5 - 5 1 - 1 D -11 F -17 F A+ F B+ +5 C- C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 338 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 82% +6  99% 6 - 5 2 - 1 D -12 F -18 F C+ F B+ +7 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 3 285 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 67% +2  54% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 C- C- C D- -8 F B A+
 Tue, Jan 6 273 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 64% +2  71% 7 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -5 F -11 F+ D+ F B+ +6 A+ F C
 Thu, Jan 8 305 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 73% +6  92% 7 - 7 3 - 3 F+ -15 D+ -3 D+ A- F F -12 C D F
 Thu, Jan 15 232 @Tennessee Martin L 59 - 65 34% -3  8% 7 - 8 3 - 4 D+ -7 D- -7 F D+ A+ C -1 B F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 231 @Southeast Missouri St. W 68 - 55 34% +16  94% 8 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +12 C+ +2 C+ B- C A +11 A A- A-
 Thu, Jan 22 181 Tennessee St. W 74 - 66 45% +2  52% 9 - 8 5 - 4 C+ +4 B- +4 A- D- D+ C+ +1 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 314 Tennessee Tech W 62 - 58 74% +9  99% 10 - 8 6 - 4 D -8 D- -7 F C C+ C -1 A- C F
 Thu, Jan 29 285 @Morehead St. L 65 - 67 45% +2  65% 10 - 9 6 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -9 C+ F D- B- +3 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 31 338 @Southern Indiana W 58 - 46 65% +0  37% 11 - 9 7 - 5 C+ +2 F+ -10 F+ C F A+ +15 A B+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 273 @Lindenwood W 78 - 72 41% -4  15% 12 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +3 C +1 B D D- C+ +2 C B C
 Sat, Feb 7 305 @Arkansas Little Rock W 71 - 61 51% +9  98% 13 - 9 9 - 5 C+ +4 D -4 D F B- A +9 A- A- F
 Thu, Feb 12 231 Southeast Missouri St. W 74 - 56 57% +1  38% 14 - 9 10 - 5 B +11 C+ +3 C- A- B- A +9 B+ A D+
 Sat, Feb 14 232 Tennessee Martin L 76 - 81 57% -2  37% 14 - 10 10 - 6 D- -12 B- +4 B A+ F F -17 F C C
 Thu, Feb 19 314 @Tennessee Tech L 52 - 62 53% -1  42% 14 - 11 10 - 7 F+ -16 F -25 F D B A- +8 A+ F+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 181 @Tennessee St. L 53 - 80 24% -16  1% 14 - 12 10 - 8 F -25 F -17 F F+ F F -11 F F+ B
 Thu, Feb 26 364 Western Illinois W 67 - 47 93% +11  95% 15 - 12 11 - 8 C- -2 F -15 D F F+ A+ +14 A C+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 322 Eastern Illinois W 77 - 50 77% +14  99% 16 - 12 12 - 8 B+ +14 A- +11 A+ C C A- +7 C- A+ B-
 Wed, Mar 4 322 Eastern Illinois L 71 - 77 OT 68% +0  53% 16 - 13 F+ -16 D -5 F C B- F -11 F+ F F+
Totals 16 - 13 12 - 8 -6 D- -7 D D+ D- C+ +1 C F+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ D C D+ 34% 50% 37% D- D D+ C C- D+ D- F+ D- C+ B- C- B- B- 34% 23% 43% B- B- D+ B- C C- C- C C-
0.99 53% 34% 34% -3 -1 0.94 28% 1.0 .28 18% .26 67% .17 1.07 54% 40% 32% -2 -1 0.97 32% 1.0 .32 16% .32 72% .19
Nov
7		 Texas San Antonio D F D+ A+ D- 46% 29% 25% D D- D+ A+ B+ F A+ F A A+ A+ F A- A 33% 21% 46% C+ A C- A+ A+ F F+ A+ D+
1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26 0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20
Nov
10		 Indiana St. F C F F F 29% 45% 25% F F C F F F D+ F D- A A+ F A A+ 37% 8% 55% C+ A+ F A- D+ A F+ F F
0.77 56% 28% 21% -10 -4 0.75 33% 0.4 .14 21% .23 62% .14 0.90 44% 50% 26% -11 +1 0.84 35% 0.9 .30 24% .31 76% .24
Nov
14		 Drake D A+ B F C 18% 31% 51% F C- C+ F F+ C F F F A A+ A A- A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ D+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 89% 40% 28% +2 -3 1.00 32% 0.6 .18 15% .17 56% .10 0.97 43% 30% 28% -11 -1 0.80 28% 1.5 .41 13% .15 50% .08
Nov
17		 Wisconsin B- F A B+ C 41% 27% 31% C+ C C A+ A- C- D- A+ C F C C+ F D+ 28% 9% 63% B- C- F+ A+ C+ F F+ F F
1.04 38% 50% 38% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.4 .34 17% .20 91% .18 1.42 60% 40% 41% +8 +1 1.19 38% 0.9 .35 6% .39 88% .34
Nov
21		 Air Force F C D+ F F 32% 34% 34% F+ F D- B- D+ F+ A+ D- A F A+ F B A 40% 14% 47% C- A- F F F F F F F
0.92 60% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 19% .43 67% .29 1.12 35% 50% 30% -10 +1 0.84 33% 1.4 .47 15% .56 73% .41
Nov
23		 Alabama St. B+ A+ F B+ B- 33% 31% 37% F C A- F+ C+ A+ A+ F A D+ A F A+ A- 35% 22% 43% C A- F A- C- F+ F F F
1.25 75% 27% 39% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.9 .38 12% .51 67% .34 1.02 44% 50% 20% -12 0 0.78 39% 0.8 .29 14% .54 81% .43
Dec
2		 North Florida D- F C B D- 45% 15% 40% C+ D- B F D+ D+ B+ F C+ A- A D+ B A- 35% 14% 51% C B+ C+ F+ C- C A+ F A-
1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21 0.97 44% 43% 31% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Western Michigan D- C- B F F+ 34% 21% 45% D F+ D- B D+ A+ D F F F B- F F F 27% 30% 43% A- F D F F A+ F F F
1.07 58% 42% 28% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 7% .27 59% .16 1.22 50% 54% 58% +18 -2 1.34 33% 1.3 .43 28% .39 89% .35
Dec
18		 Eastern Illinois D D+ F A+ B 32% 22% 46% D- B- F F F D+ D B D+ D F+ F+ C+ F 34% 28% 38% C- F D- D- F+ A D+ D+ D
1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23 1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23
Dec
22		 Western Illinois F F F D F 27% 38% 36% F F D- A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ B+ C+ B- C+ D+ 39% 33% 28% C+ C- A+ F C+ B- F D+ F
0.93 50% 29% 31% -7 -3 0.82 28% 2.1 .60 24% .43 78% .34 0.86 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.87 14% 1.5 .21 18% .38 68% .26
Jan
1		 Southern Indiana F F D+ A F 40% 33% 27% F F B C- C+ F A+ F A- B+ A- A A B+ 44% 19% 37% F+ B D- C D A+ F A+ F
0.89 28% 33% 42% -11 -2 0.78 38% 0.9 .36 23% .51 58% .29 0.83 42% 25% 25% -15 +1 0.74 34% 0.9 .29 26% .51 52% .26
Jan
3		 Morehead St. D+ D A+ C- C 38% 20% 42% D+ C- B- D- C- C D+ B- C- D- F F B- F 43% 19% 38% F F B B- B A+ F D F
1.13 53% 60% 33% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.8 .33 14% .29 75% .22 1.15 72% 50% 31% +7 +1 1.17 31% 0.9 .27 24% .45 77% .35
Jan
6		 Lindenwood F D F A D 32% 36% 32% F F+ D- B D+ F A- B- A- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 23% 34% C+ A+ D- F+ F C B C B-
0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29 0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18
Jan
8		 Arkansas Little Rock D+ F B+ A+ C 23% 28% 49% F D+ A B- A- F B D+ B- F D+ B- C+ C 29% 40% 31% B+ C F A D F F D+ F
1.12 50% 42% 43% +6 -2 1.09 45% 1.0 .45 26% .34 69% .24 1.16 64% 32% 33% -1 -3 0.94 42% 0.8 .34 11% .45 68% .31
Jan
15		 Tennessee Martin D- F A+ F F+ 22% 41% 37% F F F+ A- D+ A+ D F F C C F A B 15% 17% 67% B+ B D F F F+ F C+ F
0.93 42% 55% 15% -7 -4 0.80 25% 1.1 .27 9% .28 44% .12 1.02 57% 50% 26% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 17% .50 65% .32
Jan
17		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ F B A+ B- 43% 24% 33% C- C+ C- A B- C F D F A A+ F A+ A 45% 24% 31% C A A C- A- A- F B F
1.07 45% 45% 47% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.3 .35 17% .32 71% .23 0.87 37% 50% 23% -12 0 0.79 20% 1.2 .23 20% .46 65% .30
Jan
22		 Tennessee St. B- A+ F A+ A 41% 24% 34% D- A- B F D- D+ A+ F+ A C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% F+ A+ F A D+ F F F+ F
1.17 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 34% 0.7 .24 21% .50 68% .34 1.04 55% 25% 18% -13 0 0.76 46% 0.8 .37 11% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Tennessee Tech D- A F F F 37% 26% 37% D+ F B D- C C+ C+ B B- C C B+ A+ B+ 38% 33% 29% A- A- F+ A C F C B C+
1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24 1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21
Jan
29		 Morehead St. F+ C F A C+ 33% 20% 47% D+ C+ F F F D- F F F B- C- B C C- 45% 34% 20% C+ C- A A- A F F B- F
1.01 59% 30% 42% +4 0 1.10 23% 0.5 .11 17% .19 60% .11 1.04 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.8 .20 12% .42 71% .30
Jan
31		 Southern Indiana F+ D+ A- F F+ 49% 27% 24% D+ F+ F+ A+ C F B+ B A- A+ F A+ A+ A- 17% 38% 46% A+ A C+ A+ B+ B+ B F C
0.96 55% 45% 20% -5 0 0.93 26% 1.3 .33 22% .38 78% .30 0.76 63% 17% 23% -15 -4 0.65 28% 0.6 .18 20% .27 77% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Lindenwood C A F A+ B+ 47% 27% 27% D+ B D C- D D- B- D C C+ B+ C- C C- 40% 31% 29% A C F A+ B C C- A B-
1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24 0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19
Feb
7		 Arkansas Little Rock D A+ F A- C- 33% 27% 39% F D F B- F B- D+ A+ B- A D- A+ F B 11% 54% 35% A+ A- D+ A+ A- F A- D B
1.05 76% 14% 40% +3 -1 1.06 17% 1.0 .17 16% .27 87% .23 0.90 67% 23% 40% -4 -6 0.81 33% 0.6 .20 12% .17 70% .12
Feb
12		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ D+ B+ D+ C- 42% 26% 32% D+ C- B A- A- B- F F F A A+ A+ F B 29% 27% 45% A B+ A A- A D+ B- A+ A
1.13 52% 46% 31% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 15% .32 67% .22 0.85 36% 15% 41% -8 -1 0.84 20% 1.0 .20 15% .29 50% .14
Feb
14		 Tennessee Martin B- F F A+ B- 36% 11% 53% A- B A- A+ A+ F A+ C A+ F F+ C F F 27% 18% 55% C+ F A F C C F F F
1.12 44% 20% 46% +2 +1 1.09 41% 1.3 .51 27% .48 71% .34 1.20 67% 38% 46% +12 0 1.25 27% 1.1 .31 21% .43 78% .34
Feb
19		 Tennessee Tech F F D- F F 35% 28% 37% D F F A+ D B F F F A- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% A A+ F+ D- F+ F+ F F F
0.77 45% 31% 14% -17 -1 0.65 21% 1.4 .31 12% .10 50% .05 0.92 41% 47% 6% -16 -2 0.66 35% 1.1 .40 15% .37 86% .31
Feb
21		 Tennessee St. F B- F D- F+ 28% 22% 50% F F F B F+ F F F F F D- F F F 42% 21% 38% F F D- D F+ B C+ C- C+
0.83 62% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 18% 1.2 .21 24% .23 27% .06 1.26 65% 60% 44% +13 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 19% .25 77% .19
Feb
26		 Western Illinois F B+ A- F D+ 46% 26% 28% D D F F F F+ D- C- D- A+ A+ A+ C- A 30% 32% 38% B A A- F C+ C+ F A+ C+
1.00 70% 46% 21% +2 0 1.06 20% 0.7 .13 18% .25 71% .18 0.70 29% 20% 33% -15 -2 0.68 18% 1.3 .22 18% .42 43% .18
Feb
28		 Eastern Illinois A- A+ B- A+ A+ 34% 14% 52% C- A+ C C+ C C F D+ F A- B- F A+ D 21% 36% 44% A C- B- A+ A+ B- F A+ D+
1.28 76% 43% 42% +13 +1 1.30 35% 1.1 .38 18% .08 75% .06 0.83 50% 64% 18% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.5 .12 20% .37 61% .23
Mar
4		 Eastern Illinois D F F A F+ 26% 21% 53% F+ F C C- C B- B- F D+ F D- D B- F 39% 37% 24% B- F+ C- F F F+ C B+ B-
1.03 36% 18% 39% -6 -1 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 17% .35 65% .23 1.12 62% 40% 31% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.4 .39 14% .27 69% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%