Pre-tourney Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +5.0 102
Results Rating +4.3 108
Consistency 0.18 332
Pace 65.9 251
Improvement -4.3 322

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 84 C+ B- C+ B- B+
Defense C+ 141 C+ B- C D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 42 C- 56% 238 +2.2 96
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 307 A 47% 13 -1.3 253
Three Pointers 42% 155 C+ 35% 140 +1.1 146
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 33 C +0.6 137
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 113
Second Chance B+ 36.2% 34 C- 1.01 216 B- 0.36 68
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 78
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 270
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 145
Freethrows C+ 0.32 144 B 76% 39 B- 0.24 108
Total Offense B- +4.1 84

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 201 C- 12.0% 243
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 334 C- 6.0% 262
Three Pointers B+ 91% 30 D+ 1.4% 301
Total C+ 57% 154 D 6.7% 304


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 46 C 58% 188 +3.1 288
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 271 C+ 37% 123 -1.4 75
Three Pointers 39% 255 B 31% 62 -2.7 61
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 310 C+ -1.6 114
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 145
Second Chance B 27.0% 67 C+ 0.99 123 B- 0.27 66
Turnovers from Steals C 9.8% 164
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 235
Turnovers C 16.6% 179
Freethrows F+ 0.38 349 A- 69% 16 D 0.26 320
Total Defense C+ +0.9 141

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 36 D+ 8.5% 273
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 91 C- 3.9% 237
Three Pointers A 73% 10 C 0.8% 173
Total B+ 46% 23 C- 4.7% 245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 280 17.3 178
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 277 0.14 82
Consistency 0.15 346 0.14 300
Improvement -0.3 203 -4.0 337

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 102 102 102
Results Rating Rank 108 108 108
Conference Record 9 - 11 9 - 11 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 7
Quad 21 - 52 - 12
Quad 33 - 25 - 14
Quad 412 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 179 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 81% +3  77% 1 - 0 B- +6 C- -1 C- C A+ B +5 B+ A- A
 Tue, Nov 11 182 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 81% +5  89% 2 - 0 B +10 D -5 C- C- F+ A+ +13 A A- A
 Sat, Nov 15 208 Portland W 93 - 56 84% +16  92% 3 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +16 B- A+ B A+ +16 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Nov 19 117 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 45% -3  11% 3 - 1 C- -2 D+ -4 B F F B- +3 B- B A
 Sun, Nov 23 321 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 95% +11  95% 4 - 1 D+ -5 D+ -3 F A+ F C- -2 C+ B+ C
 Wed, Nov 26 252 Denver W 101 - 59 89% +16  93% 5 - 1 A+ +34 A +15 B A+ C+ A+ +19 A+ C+ B
 Sun, Nov 30 19 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 7% -2  20% 5 - 2 A- +17 B+ +8 A- C- D- A +9 A A C
 Sat, Dec 6 277 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 91% +1  37% 6 - 2 C+ +3 B+ +9 A D B+ D- -7 F C- A
 Tue, Dec 9 283 South Dakota W 106 - 79 91% +15  99% 7 - 2 A- +17 A+ +20 A+ A C+ D+ -4 C F B-
 Mon, Dec 15 217 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 78% +13  95% 8 - 2 B+ +12 A +13 A A+ D+ C -1 C+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 61 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 44% -14  3% 8 - 3 0 - 1 D+ -5 C- -2 F A B- C- -3 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 344 @Air Force W 68 - 56 91% +5  89% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -9 F A F A +11 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 54 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 20% -6  37% 9 - 4 1 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 D+ A- D D- -7 C+ F C
 Tue, Jan 6 105 UNLV W 98 - 66 63% +20  99% 10 - 4 2 - 2 A+ +34 A+ +18 A+ A+ D A+ +14 A A C+
 Sat, Jan 10 78 @Nevada L 83 - 92 29% -4  5% 10 - 5 2 - 3 C +2 A+ +24 A+ A+ A+ F -24 F F C-
 Wed, Jan 14 51 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 38% -11  15% 10 - 6 2 - 4 D -9 D- -8 D+ F A C- -2 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 133 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 51% +2  75% 10 - 7 2 - 5 C+ +2 C- -2 C F F B- +3 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 64 Boise St. L 65 - 81 45% -10  23% 10 - 8 2 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 C+ B- D+ D- -8 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 212 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 85% +3  73% 11 - 8 3 - 6 C- -2 F+ -9 D+ F C A- +8 B A+ D
 Wed, Jan 28 33 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 13% -22  2% 11 - 9 3 - 7 F+ -15 D+ -3 F B+ B- F -14 F+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 31 89 Colorado St. W 68 - 57 56% +8  97% 12 - 9 4 - 7 B+ +14 B- +5 A+ D- D+ A+ +12 A+ A+ D
 Tue, Feb 3 51 @San Diego St. L 63 - 72 19% -7  10% 12 - 10 4 - 8 B- +5 C +0 C C C B +5 A+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 33 Utah St. L 83 - 85 28% -3  24% 12 - 11 4 - 9 B +9 A +14 A C- A+ D -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 89 @Colorado St. L 68 - 79 34% 12 - 12 4 - 10 C- -2
 Tue, Feb 17 133 Fresno St. W 92 - 82 72% +2  56% 13 - 12 5 - 10 B +9 A+ +25 A+ A+ A F -15 D- F F+
 Sat, Feb 21 61 @Grand Canyon W 70 - 65 24% +2  72% 14 - 12 6 - 10 A- +18 B +7 A- F+ B+ A +11 A D A
 Tue, Feb 24 64 @Boise St. L 62 - 72 25% -2  38% 14 - 13 6 - 11 C+ +2 C- -2 C- C+ C+ B- +3 A F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 344 Air Force W 66 - 62 96% +4  77% 15 - 13 7 - 11 D- -12 F+ -10 F B+ B+ C- -2 F C- B-
 Tue, Mar 3 78 Nevada W 83 - 73 51% +13  99% 16 - 13 8 - 11 B+ +15 A +14 A+ F C+ C+ +1 B B F
 Sat, Mar 7 212 @San Jose St. W 88 - 78 68% +12  97% 17 - 13 9 - 11 B +10 A+ +23 B A+ D F -11 D+ F F
 Wed, Mar 11 105 UNLV L 70 - 73 51% -6  13% 17 - 14 C +2 C- -1 F A A+ B- +2 B+ D+ C+
Totals 17 - 14 9 - 11 +5 B- +4 D+ C B+ C+ +1 C+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- A C+ C 44% 27% 42% B+ C+ B+ C- B- C+ C+ B B- C+ C C+ B C+ 44% 18% 39% D C+ B C+ B- C F+ A- D
1.15 56% 47% 35% +1 +1 1.06 36% 1.0 .36 16% .32 76% .24 1.07 58% 37% 31% -2 +1 1.00 27% 1.0 .27 17% .38 69% .22
Nov
8		 Cal St. Fullerton C- F A B+ D+ 44% 11% 46% B+ C- D A- C A+ A+ F A B D- B A+ A- 45% 24% 31% C- B+ A- A- A- A F C F
1.10 48% 50% 38% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.2 .30 13% .51 59% .30 0.98 65% 33% 19% -5 0 0.92 18% 0.9 .16 20% .64 72% .46
Nov
11		 Austin Peay D F A+ A+ D 52% 12% 37% A- C- C+ D C- F+ A C A- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F A B+ A- A- A F B- F+
1.03 44% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 70% .26 0.85 61% 0% 18% -13 +2 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 21% .40 71% .28
Nov
15		 Portland A+ A F C- B- 40% 12% 47% B B- A+ B A+ B C- A+ B- A+ B A- A+ A+ 56% 23% 21% D A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F
1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23 0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31
Nov
19		 Sam Houston St. D+ A- A- F B 46% 22% 32% B- B A F F F A F F B- D- F A+ B- 32% 23% 45% A- B- B- B B A F F F
0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16 1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52
Nov
23		 Norfolk St. D+ F A+ F+ F 49% 2% 49% A F A+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ C- A F+ C- C+ 43% 25% 32% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ C F D- F
1.12 38% 100% 29% -12 +3 0.84 46% 1.3 .60 21% .59 77% .45 1.00 42% 45% 36% -4 0 0.93 31% 0.7 .22 18% .53 72% .38
Nov
26		 Denver A D A+ A+ C+ 57% 6% 37% A+ B A+ A+ A+ C+ A- C A- A+ A- B A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D- A+ D A C+ B F A+ C-
1.43 55% 67% 45% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.5 .69 13% .39 71% .28 0.84 47% 36% 14% -17 0 0.67 33% 0.9 .30 17% .38 64% .24
Nov
30		 Texas Tech B+ B+ A+ F A 33% 37% 29% C- A- B F C- D- D+ A+ A- A F+ C- A+ A 38% 29% 33% B A B- A+ A C F A+ F
1.06 65% 58% 20% +3 -2 1.04 30% 0.7 .20 19% .24 100% .24 1.12 72% 43% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.8 .28 15% .52 60% .31
Dec
6		 Dartmouth B+ A+ A+ D+ A 50% 17% 33% B- A B F D B+ B+ F C D- C+ F+ F F 30% 16% 55% C F A+ F C- A F F F
1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20 1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36
Dec
9		 South Dakota A+ B+ A A+ A+ 59% 7% 34% A A+ B A+ A C+ B+ A- A- D+ A+ D- F C- 35% 29% 37% A C C+ F F B- F C- F
1.43 67% 50% 47% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 15% .33 81% .27 1.06 41% 43% 39% -2 -1 0.96 26% 1.4 .37 19% .55 76% .41
Dec
15		 South Dakota St. A A+ A B- A+ 36% 20% 44% C- A A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ A+ A C B A+ D- B- 43% 8% 49% F C+ A+ D- A- F F D F
1.30 78% 50% 36% +11 0 1.24 39% 1.6 .61 16% .36 85% .30 1.08 52% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 10% .40 75% .30
Dec
20		 Grand Canyon C- C A+ F F 38% 15% 47% A- F B- A+ A B- A+ B+ A+ C- F F F+ F 52% 5% 43% F F A+ B- A+ A F B+ F
0.95 55% 50% 12% -15 +1 0.74 28% 1.4 .38 16% .49 77% .37 1.12 73% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 22% .61 71% .44
Dec
30		 Air Force F+ F F C F 32% 12% 56% B F B+ A A F A+ A+ A+ A F A+ A+ C+ 60% 12% 28% F C- A A+ A+ A+ F A D
0.99 46% 0% 35% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 29% .55 89% .49 0.82 73% 20% 8% -4 +3 1.00 14% 0.5 .07 28% .40 55% .22
Jan
3		 New Mexico C- D+ C D C- 24% 22% 53% D+ D+ A C A- D D+ D+ D+ D- B+ A F B- 47% 14% 39% C C+ F C+ F C A D+ A-
0.95 55% 40% 29% -4 -1 0.91 38% 1.0 .38 21% .27 69% .19 1.28 50% 29% 45% +1 +2 1.08 49% 0.9 .46 15% .23 75% .17
Jan
6		 UNLV A+ A D A+ A+ 54% 6% 40% A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 65% 10% 25% F A B+ A A C+ F A+ F
1.36 69% 33% 42% +11 +3 1.29 44% 1.1 .50 19% .50 79% .40 0.92 38% 25% 50% -8 +3 0.93 28% 0.7 .20 17% .75 56% .42
Jan
10		 Nevada A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 18% 36% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ F C F F F 50% 17% 33% F F F F F C- F+ F F
1.35 45% 63% 50% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.4 .46 10% .56 74% .41 1.49 57% 50% 67% +17 +1 1.39 41% 1.2 .50 13% .45 83% .37
Jan
14		 San Diego St. D- F F D+ D- 32% 4% 64% A D+ D F F A B D C+ C- A F F C+ 50% 17% 33% F C- A+ D A+ F A D A-
0.87 38% 0% 31% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.6 .13 17% .35 68% .24 1.12 50% 56% 41% +3 +1 1.10 17% 1.2 .20 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
17		 Fresno St. C- B- C- F+ C 42% 24% 33% C C A F F F C+ A+ A- B- C F A+ B- 57% 12% 31% F C D A+ A+ F F A+ F
0.99 63% 36% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 0.4 .15 23% .26 92% .24 1.04 58% 60% 23% -2 +2 1.02 32% 0.3 .09 13% .51 67% .34
Jan
20		 Boise St. D+ D- A+ F C 41% 18% 41% B+ C+ C+ C+ B- D+ A A A+ D- D F F F+ 49% 8% 43% F F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F A-
1.00 50% 75% 28% 0 +1 1.02 23% 1.1 .27 17% .33 78% .26 1.25 64% 50% 41% +8 +2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 12% .23 100% .23
Jan
24		 San Jose St. F+ B- A+ F D- 59% 8% 33% A+ D+ C+ F F C A+ A+ A+ A- A+ B D- B+ 27% 23% 50% D+ B A+ A+ A+ D C A- B-
1.04 65% 67% 15% -3 +3 1.03 37% 0.2 .07 17% .52 89% .46 0.98 36% 33% 38% -4 -1 0.92 15% 0.8 .13 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
28		 Utah St. D+ F C- F F 36% 13% 51% B+ F B+ C+ B+ B- B- D- C+ F F F D F 35% 7% 58% C+ F+ B F D- F D+ C C-
0.94 41% 33% 25% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.1 .40 20% .34 67% .23 1.43 74% 75% 38% +11 +1 1.27 31% 1.6 .48 8% .35 71% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colorado St. B- F C A+ A+ 24% 14% 62% C+ A+ C- F D- D+ A+ A A+ A+ B C- A+ A+ 53% 10% 37% F A+ C- A+ A+ D A+ A A+
1.16 44% 40% 48% +10 0 1.22 27% 0.9 .23 17% .49 75% .37 0.97 56% 40% 21% -8 +2 0.90 32% 0.6 .19 15% .20 70% .14
Feb
3		 San Diego St. C F A- C- C- 29% 16% 56% C+ C B D- C C A+ B+ A+ B D- C- A+ A+ 30% 30% 40% B A+ F F F D+ F A+ F
0.94 38% 43% 32% -7 0 0.89 33% 0.8 .28 21% .49 77% .38 1.07 69% 38% 18% -6 -2 0.86 39% 1.4 .54 15% .63 64% .40
Feb
7		 Utah St. A F+ A+ A+ A- 46% 11% 43% A A C- C- C- A+ D A+ C+ D F A+ F F 63% 9% 28% F F A+ A+ A+ B- F C- F
1.23 46% 67% 42% +2 +2 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 10% .26 88% .23 1.26 78% 25% 50% +18 +3 1.44 15% 0.7 .10 16% .51 72% .37
Feb
14		 Colorado St.
Feb
17		 Fresno St. A+ D A+ A+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A A+ A+ A D- A+ C- F C A F D- 47% 21% 32% D+ D- F+ F F F+ F B+ F
1.41 55% 83% 42% +10 +1 1.25 40% 1.5 .60 14% .20 82% .16 1.26 59% 30% 47% +5 +1 1.13 35% 1.2 .42 14% .43 71% .30
Feb
21		 Grand Canyon B C- A+ D B+ 34% 12% 54% A- A- B+ F F+ B+ C C+ C+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ 47% 17% 36% D A B+ F D A D+ B- C-
1.04 53% 83% 30% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.5 .16 15% .33 74% .24 0.96 41% 25% 35% -10 +1 0.85 28% 1.4 .39 22% .36 74% .27
Feb
24		 Boise St. C- A F F+ D+ 33% 16% 51% B C- C+ C+ C+ C+ F A F+ B- F A+ A+ A- 34% 26% 40% A A D F F B+ C- F D-
0.97 69% 25% 28% -3 0 0.96 22% 1.1 .25 14% .16 78% .13 1.13 81% 25% 21% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.7 .65 19% .37 89% .33
Feb
28		 Air Force F+ F F+ F F 47% 12% 41% A F B- A- B+ B+ D+ A+ C+ C- D- A+ F F 47% 12% 42% D- F D+ C+ C- B- F A+ B
1.01 42% 33% 24% -15 +2 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 12% .28 81% .23 0.95 65% 0% 44% +5 +2 1.16 24% 1.0 .24 23% .42 38% .16
Mar
3		 Nevada A A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A A+ F A F C+ A+ F A- C+ B F A+ B+ 45% 24% 31% D+ B A+ F B F F A+ D+
1.25 80% 75% 45% +21 +2 1.48 13% 1.3 .17 17% .49 59% .29 1.10 50% 50% 27% -4 0 0.94 22% 1.4 .31 9% .48 66% .32
Mar
7		 San Jose St. A+ D+ D- A+ B- 50% 13% 38% B+ B A+ A+ A+ D B- A+ A+ F F C A+ D+ 47% 34% 19% D+ D+ F D F F F C+ F
1.46 58% 33% 44% +5 +2 1.17 61% 1.6 1.00 20% .31 100% .31 1.29 73% 38% 22% +3 -1 1.06 41% 1.2 .48 8% .40 73% .29
Mar
11		 UNLV C- F B F F 46% 22% 31% C+ F A+ D+ A A+ D+ B C- B- F A+ B- B+ 35% 26% 39% A- B+ C+ F+ D+ C+ F A F
1.07 44% 42% 12% -16 0 0.70 45% 1.0 .47 8% .33 75% .25 1.11 75% 17% 33% 0 -1 1.00 31% 1.1 .34 17% .57 61% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%