Pre-tourney Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.8 277
Results Rating -5.9 252
Consistency 0.19 352
Pace 72.9 65
Improvement -1.3 236

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 264 C D D B C
Defense D+ 278 C- B- F+ B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 339 D+ 55% 263 -5.2 341
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 305 D- 32% 343 -2.7 306
Three Pointers 52% 11 B- 36% 85 +7.7 11
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 188 C -0.2 171
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 177
Second Chance D- 23.3% 345 B- 1.10 89 D 0.26 300
Opponents' Steals D- 11.6% 341
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 204
Turnovers D 18.9% 320
Freethrows B- 0.33 81 B- 75% 93 B 0.25 70
Total Offense D+ -3.4 264

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 267 F+ 14.9% 346
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 337 D- 8.0% 333
Three Pointers C 83% 201 C- 1.1% 247
Total C+ 58% 126 D+ 6.5% 288


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 55 D+ 61% 257 +4.1 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 229 C 38% 185 -0.6 141
Three Pointers 37% 279 C+ 33% 159 -2.0 99
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 269 C- +0.9 220
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 229
Second Chance C+ 28.6% 113 C+ 1.00 129 B- 0.29 103
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.1% 357
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 299
Turnovers F+ 12.5% 358
Freethrows C+ 0.28 124 B- 71% 86 B- 0.20 103
Total Defense D+ -3.4 278

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 110 D+ 8.7% 266
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 206 C- 4.1% 220
Three Pointers B+ 76% 25 C- 0.6% 243
Total B- 51% 79 C- 4.7% 241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 84 16.9 108
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 328 0.18 204
Consistency 0.14 301 0.10 16
Improvement -0.6 222 -0.7 224

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 277 277 277
Results Rating Rank 252 252 252
Conference Record 5 - 9 5 - 9 5 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 34 - 8
Quad 45 - 89 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 205 Marist L 56 - 75 44% -8  0% 0 - 1 F -24 F -19 F C- F D -5 D C- C
 Wed, Nov 12 354 @Bryant L 75 - 82 68% -1  45% 0 - 2 F -19 F -10 D F D- D- -8 F+ A- F
 Sun, Nov 16 190 Appalachian St. L 77 - 85 42% -5  11% 0 - 3 D- -13 C- -2 A C- F F -11 F C+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 240 @St. Peter's W 87 - 61 31% +7  74% 1 - 3 A+ +24 A+ +18 A B A A- +8 A- C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 349 New Hampshire W 69 - 68 83% -2  17% 2 - 3 F+ -16 F -12 C- F F D+ -4 C+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 102 @Wyoming L 80 - 93 9% -1  53% 2 - 4 D+ -5 B- +4 A C+ F F+ -9 F A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 89 @Colorado St. L 55 - 76 7% -9  6% 2 - 5 D- -12 F -13 D+ F+ F C -1 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 260 Boston University W 77 - 64 57% +9  84% 3 - 5 C+ +4 C- -2 B- F D+ A- +7 A+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 16 328 @Holy Cross W 89 - 64 54% +11  74% 4 - 5 A- +17 A +13 A+ C- F B +5 B+ B- F
 Fri, Dec 19 289 @Sacred Heart L 63 - 85 41% -8  1% 4 - 6 F -26 F -21 F C- F D+ -5 A F F
 Mon, Dec 29 4 @Florida L 72 - 94 0% -21  3% 4 - 7 B- +6 B +7 B+ C- A- C+ +0 B- C- C+
 Mon, Jan 5 149 @Harvard W 76 - 68 17% +3  88% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B+ +12 A +12 A+ A- D+ C +0 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 162 @Cornell W 102 - 91 17% +8  90% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B+ +14 A +14 A- A- A+ C -1 B+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 17 141 Penn L 74 - 84 32% -1  52% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D- -12 D+ -3 D C C- F+ -9 D+ D+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 238 Princeton W 71 - 69 53% -3  18% 7 - 8 3 - 1 D+ -6 B- +4 C B A- F+ -9 C- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 200 Columbia L 69 - 79 43% -4  27% 7 - 9 3 - 2 F+ -15 F -11 F+ C D+ D+ -4 B A- F+
 Fri, Jan 30 87 @Yale L 68 - 83 7% -3  31% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -5 C- -0 C+ F C- D -6 F B+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 292 @Brown W 77 - 70 OT 41% +4  74% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C+ +2 C- -1 C- F+ C- B- +3 A D D+
 Sat, Feb 7 149 Harvard L 58 - 71 34% -6  0% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -15 F -11 D- F B D -6 D+ A F
 Fri, Feb 13 87 Yale L 70 - 83 17% -9  2% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D -9 D -6 C- B+ F D+ -4 D A F
 Sat, Feb 14 292 Brown L 76 - 79 64% +3  65% 8 - 13 4 - 6 D- -14 D+ -3 A- F+ F F -11 F D C+
 Sat, Feb 21 200 @Columbia W 64 - 63 23% -0  51% 9 - 13 5 - 6 C+ +2 F+ -8 F D- B A +10 A+ D F
 Fri, Feb 27 141 @Penn L 71 - 80 15% +3  68% 9 - 14 5 - 7 C- -5 C +0 B- F B+ D -5 D+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 238 @Princeton L 61 - 82 31% -13  11% 9 - 15 5 - 8 F -23 F -10 F D- B- F -14 F A+ C-
 Sat, Mar 7 162 Cornell L 90 - 111 35% -12  16% 9 - 16 5 - 9 F -24 D+ -3 D D- C F -19 F A+ F
Totals 9 - 16 5 - 9 -7 D+ -3 C+ C C D+ -3 B- B- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D- B- C 31% 27% 52% C C D- B- D D B- B- B D+ D+ C C+ C- 43% 19% 37% D+ C- C+ C+ B- F+ C+ B- B-
1.04 55% 32% 36% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.1 .26 19% .33 75% .25 1.14 61% 38% 33% +1 +1 1.05 29% 1.0 .29 13% .28 71% .24
Nov
9		 Marist F F D F F 43% 14% 43% A- F D C+ C- F A+ C A+ D D- D B D 33% 27% 40% C D C+ D- C- C A+ D+ A+
0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36 1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07
Nov
12		 Bryant F D B C- D 33% 12% 55% C- D F F F D- D- F F D- B- F D+ D- 45% 4% 52% F F+ A+ F A- F D- F+ F
1.01 53% 43% 34% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 56% .14 1.10 52% 50% 34% -2 +3 1.04 14% 1.2 .16 9% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Appalachian St. C- D F A+ A 29% 7% 64% B A D C+ C- F A+ B A+ F F+ F C+ F 55% 14% 31% F F D- A C+ B D F D-
1.07 50% 0% 44% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.0 .26 22% .53 73% .39 1.18 68% 57% 31% +7 +2 1.20 35% 0.8 .29 18% .36 71% .25
Nov
29		 St. Peter's A+ B- B- A+ A+ 41% 11% 48% B- A B C+ B A A+ A+ A+ A- A D A+ A+ 50% 13% 37% F A- C- B C+ D- C+ F D
1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43 0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27
Dec
3		 New Hampshire F C- B+ C+ C 28% 26% 46% F+ C- B- F F F D- D+ D- D+ D+ C- A+ C 43% 30% 27% A C+ B C B- F C F D+
0.99 57% 46% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.5 .18 20% .27 73% .20 0.98 58% 35% 20% -6 -1 0.88 21% 0.9 .18 12% .26 75% .20
Dec
6		 Wyoming B- D+ B A+ A+ 30% 16% 55% D+ A F A+ C+ F B A+ A+ F+ F F+ B- F 50% 17% 33% C F B- A+ A+ F C- A+ B+
1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36 1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20
Dec
9		 Colorado St. F B F D+ D 30% 13% 57% B D+ D+ F F+ F F F F C F D- D- F 53% 18% 29% D F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.87 64% 17% 31% -4 0 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 24% .17 50% .08 1.20 81% 44% 40% +16 +1 1.37 19% 0.8 .14 19% .06 100% .06
Dec
13		 Boston University C- C F A+ B 29% 15% 56% C B- D- F F D+ A+ C A+ A- A- B+ A A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A+ F A+ B- D- D+ A+ B-
1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34 0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18
Dec
16		 Holy Cross A D- A+ A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C- A+ A F C- F A+ F A- B A+ A D A- 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ C+ B- B- F F D F
1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25 0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29
Dec
19		 Sacred Heart F F F D- F 36% 9% 55% B- F B+ F C- F A+ F A+ D+ B- F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% F A F F F F B+ A- A-
0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26 1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15
Dec
29		 Florida B D F A+ A 22% 32% 46% D- B+ F A+ C- A- D- C+ D C+ D+ A+ A- B 55% 13% 33% D+ B- F A- C- C+ F A+ F
0.97 46% 26% 44% +1 -3 0.98 8% 1.7 .13 13% .22 71% .16 1.26 67% 29% 28% 0 +2 1.07 54% 0.9 .50 16% .61 61% .37
Jan
5		 Harvard A B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% D A+ C- A+ A- D+ A+ F A+ C A C- A+ A+ 49% 9% 42% F A+ F+ F F F D+ A C
1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32 1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20
Jan
10		 Cornell A A+ B- A A 36% 20% 44% D+ A- F+ A+ A- A+ D- F F C F F A+ B+ 40% 11% 49% C B+ C- C+ C D+ F F F
1.36 77% 42% 41% +12 0 1.26 23% 2.0 .46 7% .27 63% .17 1.21 74% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .35 16% .38 83% .32
Jan
17		 Penn D+ F A+ D D- 31% 11% 57% C+ D D+ B C C- A+ A A+ F+ A- C+ F C- 44% 20% 35% F+ D+ D+ C- D+ F F A F+
1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32 1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28
Jan
19		 Princeton B- B+ F B+ C 37% 18% 45% C- C D- A+ B A- C- B C F+ F B+ C+ D+ 28% 22% 50% B C- A+ F C+ F A+ F B+
1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22 1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Columbia F F D- A- D- 30% 22% 48% D F+ F A+ C D+ C D- C- D+ C+ A+ F+ B- 30% 23% 47% A B A B- A- F+ F C- F
0.96 31% 33% 38% -6 -1 0.89 18% 1.6 .28 15% .31 68% .21 1.10 56% 17% 40% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 17% .47 71% .34
Jan
30		 Yale C- D+ B+ B- C+ 33% 16% 51% C+ C+ C- F F C- F F F D F A- F F 47% 18% 35% D F A- C B+ C- A+ F A
1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07 1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16
Jan
31		 Brown C- C A+ F C- 35% 12% 53% B- C- F A+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ 52% 5% 43% F A F A D D+ D+ C- D+
1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40 0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20
Feb
7		 Harvard F F+ F C- F+ 44% 8% 48% B+ D- F F F B C- A+ B D D F C+ D+ 37% 17% 46% C- D+ A+ B+ A F F F F
0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22 1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29
Feb
13		 Yale D C+ F C D 47% 16% 37% B+ C- D- A+ B+ F C A+ B- D+ D+ D+ F D 58% 17% 25% F D A+ F A F D+ A+ B-
1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21 1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Brown D+ A+ A+ C A 21% 14% 64% C- A- F A+ F+ F A+ A A+ F F F F+ F 41% 18% 41% C+ F B+ F D C+ D A+ B
1.06 78% 67% 33% +8 0 1.17 12% 1.7 .19 24% .49 81% .40 1.10 76% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.4 .34 22% .30 47% .14
Feb
21		 Columbia F+ C+ F F F 29% 13% 58% C F F A+ D- B D+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ A A+ 47% 15% 38% D+ A+ B+ F D F A+ B A+
0.95 60% 14% 23% -12 0 0.79 14% 1.4 .19 12% .29 94% .27 0.94 42% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 31% 1.3 .40 15% .16 67% .10
Feb
27		 Penn C B- F A- B- 38% 20% 42% C- B- F D F B+ A+ F A D F A+ C- C- 42% 20% 38% F+ D+ D- A+ B+ F F A+ F
1.03 63% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 14% .42 56% .24 1.16 67% 20% 37% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.7 .23 12% .60 59% .36
Feb
28		 Princeton F F D- F F 24% 18% 57% D F D- D+ D- B- A+ A- A+ F D- D+ F F 36% 27% 36% B+ F C A+ A+ C- F F F
0.94 42% 33% 25% -13 -1 0.76 23% 1.0 .23 12% .46 77% .35 1.27 63% 42% 69% +22 -1 1.43 27% 0.1 .04 17% .43 83% .35
Mar
7		 Cornell D+ A- F C- D- 44% 15% 40% C+ D F+ C+ D- C A+ A+ A+ F F F F F 31% 10% 60% B- F A+ D- A+ F A- A A
1.16 70% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 23% 1.1 .26 14% .49 91% .45 1.42 79% 83% 51% +26 +1 1.56 15% 1.3 .19 13% .22 67% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 100.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%