Pre-tourney Rankings
Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.2 117
Results Rating +3.2 117
Consistency 0.14 89
Pace 73.5 49
Improvement -0.8 214

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 107 C+ B- C D+ C+
Defense C 148 C+ C C C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 C- 57% 197 +2.8 81
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 145 D+ 36% 256 -0.8 223
Three Pointers 36% 281 B 37% 67 -0.9 211
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 109 C +0.5 142
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 137
Second Chance B+ 36.1% 37 C- 1.00 229 B- 0.36 74
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 140
Other Turnovers D+ 7.8% 262
Turnovers C 16.9% 199
Freethrows D+ 0.28 262 D+ 70% 257 D+ 0.19 279
Total Offense C+ +2.5 107

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 139 B 8.4% 48
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 138 B- 3.9% 103
Three Pointers D+ 80% 269 B 0.4% 63
Total C 56% 174 B- 4.6% 71


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 273 D+ 61% 274 -0.5 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 153 C+ 37% 122 -0.1 182
Three Pointers 43% 106 B 31% 60 -0.6 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 117 C+ -0.8 144
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 140
Second Chance C+ 29.3% 145 D+ 1.09 279 C 0.32 216
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 127
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 281
Turnovers C 16.7% 174
Freethrows C- 0.32 224 B- 71% 96 C 0.22 207
Total Defense C +0.6 148

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 187 D+ 8.1% 292
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 134 D+ 3.5% 266
Three Pointers B- 81% 103 C 0.8% 164
Total C+ 54% 153 D 4.0% 304

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 66 17.0 109
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 30 0.18 194
Consistency 0.12 153 0.11 102
Improvement -0.8 234 +0.1 178

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 117 117 117
Results Rating Rank 117 117 117
Conference Record 13 - 7 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 310 - 610 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 19 @Texas Tech L 77 - 98 6% -8  9% 0 - 1 C +0 A- +10 C A+ F+ F+ -9 B- F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 108 @Utah L 79 - 85 35% -9  5% 0 - 2 C +1 C +1 C- D+ C+ C+ +1 C- B+ A
 Wed, Nov 19 102 Wyoming W 78 - 70 55% +3  86% 1 - 2 B +10 C +1 C- B- F A +9 C- A+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 265 Idaho St. W 84 - 81 80% +1  61% 2 - 2 C- -3 C +1 D+ A+ F+ D+ -3 F A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 160 Idaho W 94 - 68 61% +4  56% 3 - 2 A+ +26 A+ +29 A+ A+ A C +0 D+ C D+
 Tue, Dec 2 58 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 93 18% -0  49% 3 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 A F C- B- +2 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 6 317 @Texas Southern W 82 - 70 82% +6  71% 4 - 3 B- +5 D -6 F C- D A +10 A+ C- B-
 Wed, Dec 17 150 @Oregon St. W 85 - 75 49% +8  97% 5 - 3 B+ +14 B +6 B- B D- B+ +7 C A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 183 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 87 56% -13  3% 5 - 4 0 - 1 D+ -7 C- -1 D C- D+ D -5 F B- F
 Fri, Jan 2 164 @Western Kentucky L 91 - 102 50% +1  64% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -8 B+ +9 C+ B B F -16 C F B
 Sun, Jan 4 168 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 51% -5  20% 5 - 6 0 - 3 C+ +2 D -5 C+ B- F A- +7 C A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 288 Delaware W 72 - 60 89% +7  99% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C +2 C- -1 D- C- A B +4 B+ B- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 126 Liberty L 74 - 82 65% -5  8% 6 - 7 1 - 4 D -9 D- -7 C D- F C -1 D+ C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 203 @Jacksonville St. W 77 - 62 59% +7  98% 7 - 7 2 - 4 A- +16 A +13 A+ A- D- B +5 B C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 191 @Florida International W 76 - 63 57% +7  93% 8 - 7 3 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -3 C- D D A+ +17 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 148 Kennesaw St. W 93 - 87 71% +5  93% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C+ +4 A- +11 A+ B A D- -8 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 164 Western Kentucky W 73 - 58 72% +14  93% 10 - 7 5 - 4 B+ +12 C -0 D+ A+ A A+ +13 A- F+ A+
 Wed, Jan 28 195 @Missouri St. W 80 - 71 58% +4  87% 11 - 7 6 - 4 B +10 B- +6 B D+ F+ B +5 C F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 187 Louisiana Tech W 83 - 67 77% +6  92% 12 - 7 7 - 4 B +12 A +15 B- A+ A+ C- -2 A F C
 Wed, Feb 4 261 UTEP W 70 - 66 86% +4  86% 13 - 7 8 - 4 C- -5 D- -7 F B- C+ B- +2 B A F
 Sat, Feb 7 187 @Louisiana Tech L 78 - 87 56% +0  51% 13 - 8 8 - 5 D+ -7 C -0 B+ D D- D- -7 D+ C- D
 Sat, Feb 14 148 @Kennesaw St. W 83 - 79 48% +2  74% 14 - 8 9 - 5 B- +8 A +13 A+ A- C D -5 D- C- D-
 Wed, Feb 18 168 Middle Tennessee W 78 - 70 73% +7  98% 15 - 8 10 - 5 C+ +5 C +1 D+ A- B B +4 A- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 203 Jacksonville St. W 82 - 78 79% +3  63% 16 - 8 11 - 5 C -1 B+ +9 B B C F+ -10 D- A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 191 Florida International W 100 - 67 77% +20  99% 17 - 8 12 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ B B- A +9 A+ D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 195 Missouri St. W 86 - 81 78% +8  95% 18 - 8 13 - 5 C +0 A- +10 C A- A F -10 C- D F
 Thu, Mar 5 288 @Delaware L 80 - 83 77% -3  13% 18 - 9 13 - 6 D+ -7 C +0 D+ B C D- -8 F D- F+
 Sat, Mar 7 126 @Liberty L 72 - 79 42% -6  3% 18 - 10 13 - 7 C -2 B- +4 F+ A+ A D -7 D+ F C-
 Wed, Mar 11 183 New Mexico St. W 69 - 61 67% +8  99% 19 - 10 B- +7 F+ -9 F F B A+ +15 A B+ A
 Fri, Mar 13 148 Kennesaw St. L 73 - 79 60% +2  57% 19 - 11 D+ -5 D+ -3 C- A F C- -3 C F A+
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 +3 C+ +3 B C C+ C +1 B D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D+ B C 44% 41% 36% C+ C+ B+ C- B- C D+ D+ D+ C D+ C+ B C+ 36% 21% 43% C+ C+ C+ D+ C C C- B- C
1.12 57% 36% 37% +1 +1 1.04 36% 1.0 .36 17% .28 70% .19 1.08 61% 37% 31% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.1 .32 17% .32 71% .20
Nov
7		 Texas Tech A- D+ F+ A+ B- 28% 43% 28% D- C A+ C+ A+ F+ A B- A F+ C D+ D B 29% 20% 51% C+ B- F C- F C+ F A F
1.09 53% 30% 40% -2 -4 0.91 45% 0.9 .43 20% .35 70% .25 1.39 62% 44% 39% +6 -1 1.13 50% 1.1 .55 16% .72 65% .47
Nov
15		 Utah C F B+ B D+ 46% 18% 36% B- C- C F+ D+ C+ D- A+ C- C+ C+ F C- C+ 48% 6% 46% F C- F A+ B+ A F D- F
1.07 46% 45% 36% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.8 .24 14% .20 85% .17 1.15 57% 67% 36% +3 +3 1.13 43% 0.6 .24 20% .51 80% .41
Nov
19		 Wyoming C B A+ F C 32% 23% 45% D- C- B+ D B- F A+ A+ A+ A F D+ A+ D+ 46% 22% 32% B C- D+ A+ A+ A F A+ A+
1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52 0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16
Nov
26		 Idaho St. C F+ A+ C+ D+ 38% 19% 43% C- D+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ C+ A+ D+ F F C+ F 34% 11% 55% C- F C A+ A+ A+ F D- F
1.16 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.1 .55 18% .47 79% .37 1.12 77% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.18 32% 0.6 .18 23% .74 78% .58
Nov
28		 Idaho A+ C+ C A+ A+ 30% 26% 44% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A F F F C F F B+ D+ 22% 10% 67% C+ D+ B D- C D+ C+ A+ A+
1.48 59% 40% 56% +15 -1 1.30 43% 1.3 .57 9% .16 67% .10 1.07 73% 60% 30% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13
Dec
2		 Oklahoma St. C B- A+ A A+ 25% 17% 58% D+ A B- F F C- F A+ D- B- D B- A+ B 54% 11% 35% D+ B- F F F A F A D
1.05 60% 50% 40% +8 0 1.17 31% 0.3 .10 18% .17 82% .14 1.18 66% 33% 26% -1 +2 1.06 40% 1.4 .54 19% .44 68% .30
Dec
6		 Texas Southern D D+ F F F 55% 11% 34% A- F C+ F+ C- D A+ C+ A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 19% 41% F+ A+ D+ C+ C- B- F D F
1.03 55% 17% 22% -10 +2 0.87 35% 0.9 .33 18% .49 72% .35 0.88 50% 18% 21% -15 0 0.73 29% 1.0 .29 19% .44 75% .33
Dec
17		 Oregon St. B C- D B B- 46% 12% 42% B B- A D+ B D- B+ C B+ B+ F A+ A+ C 24% 15% 62% B- C A+ F A+ D- A- B A
1.14 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.9 .38 17% .37 74% .28 1.01 92% 25% 26% -1 0 1.00 11% 1.8 .20 15% .30 74% .22
Dec
21		 New Mexico St. C- F A+ C D- 38% 14% 48% B+ D B+ F C- D+ B+ D- C+ D C- F D F 41% 23% 36% F+ F A+ F B- F A+ C- A+
1.05 33% 50% 33% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.8 .31 16% .42 69% .29 1.17 60% 64% 36% +8 0 1.18 21% 1.3 .27 9% .16 73% .12
Jan
2		 Western Kentucky B+ B+ C C+ B- 33% 25% 43% C- C+ A D B B F D+ F F B A- C- C 35% 13% 53% C- C F F F B F C F
1.18 65% 40% 35% +3 -1 1.07 39% 0.9 .34 15% .29 68% .20 1.32 47% 29% 34% -4 +1 0.95 49% 1.5 .73 17% .42 74% .31
Jan
4		 Middle Tennessee D F+ A A+ C+ 51% 27% 22% C C+ B D+ B- F F F F A- A+ C+ F C- 26% 30% 44% A- C A A+ A+ D+ A+ F B
0.98 48% 46% 45% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 25% .23 67% .16 1.00 43% 38% 46% +4 -2 1.06 23% 0.2 .05 15% .17 90% .15
Jan
8		 Delaware C- B+ F C- D- 35% 25% 40% C- D- B+ F C- A B A A- B F A+ A A- 27% 10% 63% D B+ B- C+ B- F+ B- A+ B+
1.15 67% 15% 33% -3 -1 0.94 37% 0.8 .29 10% .32 89% .28 0.96 69% 20% 29% -4 0 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 14% .22 67% .15
Jan
10		 Liberty D- F A+ A C- 46% 16% 38% B C A- F D- F B- B+ B- C D- F B- C- 58% 6% 36% D D+ A+ F C+ B+ F F F
1.04 35% 75% 42% 0 +1 1.04 40% 0.8 .31 22% .25 79% .20 1.15 69% 67% 33% +8 +3 1.24 8% 2.0 .16 17% .39 78% .30
Jan
14		 Jacksonville St. A A+ F A+ A+ 49% 11% 40% A- A+ B- A+ A- D- F F+ F B B+ F A B+ 47% 13% 40% C B C B C+ D- C- B+ C
1.24 74% 20% 47% +14 +2 1.34 30% 1.3 .39 19% .14 71% .10 1.00 48% 50% 28% -7 +2 0.91 29% 0.9 .26 14% .36 63% .23
Jan
17		 Florida International D+ A+ F D C 29% 20% 51% D- C- C- D- D D A+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 37% 21% 42% B- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A- F
1.01 73% 30% 31% 0 -1 1.02 33% 0.9 .30 23% .45 54% .24 0.84 25% 11% 39% -15 0 0.72 32% 0.7 .22 24% .68 62% .42
Jan
21		 Kennesaw St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 23% 36% D+ A+ F+ A+ B A F F F D- D A+ D C- 33% 21% 47% A C C- D+ D+ F A- D- B
1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19 1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21
Jan
24		 Western Kentucky C C- C- F D- 49% 16% 35% A D+ C A+ A+ A D- F F A+ A- A+ A- A 37% 14% 49% D+ A- C+ F F+ A+ C C- C-
1.09 56% 38% 28% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.6 .46 13% .34 40% .14 0.87 44% 17% 29% -12 +1 0.79 29% 1.4 .41 28% .33 75% .25
Jan
28		 Missouri St. B- A+ D+ C- B 43% 33% 24% B- B B- F D+ F+ C- C C- B F A- F D 27% 43% 31% A+ C B+ F F+ C+ B- B+ B
1.16 77% 35% 33% +7 -1 1.14 34% 0.9 .31 20% .35 74% .26 1.03 77% 29% 40% +4 -4 1.02 26% 1.7 .44 17% .32 61% .19
Jan
31		 Louisiana Tech A B C- F C+ 59% 17% 24% A- B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ A 36% 30% 34% B+ A D- F F C F C+ F+
1.28 59% 38% 27% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 9% .61 67% .41 1.03 41% 36% 25% -11 -1 0.77 41% 1.3 .54 18% .36 63% .23
Feb
4		 UTEP D- F+ F F F 47% 16% 37% A- F B- B- B- C+ A+ B+ A+ B- B F A+ B- 29% 41% 31% A B A- A+ A F B+ D+ B
1.00 48% 13% 22% -15 +1 0.73 36% 1.1 .40 17% .47 78% .36 0.95 53% 46% 22% -4 -3 0.88 19% 0.8 .14 9% .22 71% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Louisiana Tech C F B- A+ A- 30% 22% 48% D B+ F A+ D D- B- C- B- D- D+ F A+ C 60% 17% 23% F D+ F B C- D F F F
1.02 38% 42% 46% +4 -1 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 21% .35 71% .25 1.14 59% 67% 8% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.7 .31 16% .54 74% .40
Feb
14		 Kennesaw St. A A A+ A- A+ 47% 20% 33% C+ A+ B- A+ A- C A D+ A- D C A+ F F+ 43% 17% 41% C+ D- D+ C C- D- A C A-
1.25 67% 56% 40% +11 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36 1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19
Feb
18		 Middle Tennessee C C- F C- D- 56% 17% 28% A- D+ A+ D+ A- B F+ A+ C- B C- D A+ A- 31% 28% 41% B- A- A+ A A+ F B- A+ A-
1.12 57% 11% 33% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.0 .39 13% .25 93% .23 1.01 61% 44% 25% -3 -1 0.93 21% 0.8 .16 9% .24 53% .13
Feb
21		 Jacksonville St. B+ B+ D B B 38% 20% 42% C- B B B- B C A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ D F 39% 22% 39% A D- A+ A+ A+ F B F C
1.22 65% 33% 37% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.1 .35 16% .50 82% .41 1.16 76% 17% 38% +5 0 1.11 20% 0.7 .13 10% .30 78% .23
Feb
26		 Florida International A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 49% 22% 29% C A+ A- C- B B- A+ A A+ A D+ C- A+ A+ 27% 38% 35% A+ A+ A+ F D+ B F F F
1.36 71% 45% 64% +21 +1 1.45 43% 1.0 .43 19% .42 80% .34 0.91 62% 39% 12% -11 -3 0.75 22% 1.8 .39 20% .50 76% .38
Feb
28		 Missouri St. A- D- D+ A+ C- 40% 34% 26% B- C B+ B+ A- A A+ B+ A+ F B F B- C+ 48% 15% 37% F C- D+ D+ D F C- D- D+
1.27 55% 35% 46% +3 -2 1.04 38% 1.3 .47 12% .47 79% .37 1.20 56% 50% 32% 0 +1 1.04 33% 1.2 .39 12% .35 71% .25
Mar
5		 Delaware C F+ F B- F+ 55% 5% 40% A+ D+ B- B- B C C- F D- D- F A+ F F 28% 25% 47% B+ F A- F D- F+ B+ B- B+
1.12 50% 0% 36% -5 +3 0.98 34% 1.1 .39 14% .26 69% .18 1.17 73% 23% 52% +13 -1 1.26 14% 1.8 .24 14% .20 75% .15
Mar
7		 Liberty B- F F A+ F 52% 20% 28% B F+ B+ A A+ A B F D+ D F A+ D+ D+ 34% 2% 64% C+ D+ D F F C- B+ F C+
1.16 38% 20% 50% -7 +1 0.90 38% 1.5 .56 13% .28 53% .15 1.27 76% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 21% 1.5 .32 13% .20 82% .17
Mar
11		 New Mexico St. F+ F A+ F F 58% 8% 35% A+ F A F F B A+ F B+ A+ B C A+ A+ 34% 32% 34% C+ A B B+ B+ A F A+ D-
0.96 40% 50% 22% -16 +3 0.77 40% 0.6 .22 13% .53 61% .32 0.85 53% 38% 18% -10 -2 0.78 29% 0.8 .24 20% .42 58% .24
Mar
13		 Kennesaw St. D+ C+ A+ F C- 45% 15% 40% B- C- A+ C A F D F F C- F A+ C- D+ 27% 29% 44% A+ C D+ F F A+ F D- F
1.05 57% 57% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 0.9 .42 22% .37 65% .24 1.13 75% 23% 35% +1 -2 1.00 37% 1.7 .63 23% .50 74% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%