Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.8 240
Results Rating -3.5 228
Consistency 0.16 218
Pace 64.2 293
Improvement +1.4 137

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 280 D- C+ D+ C+ C-
Defense C 196 C+ D- B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 D- 50% 345 -4.6 333
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 137 C- 37% 200 +0.6 141
Three Pointers 42% 163 D 30% 320 -1.8 245
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 248 D- -5.3 343
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 341
Second Chance B 34.7% 58 D+ 0.97 274 C+ 0.34 120
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 194
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 336
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 284
Freethrows C+ 0.32 147 C+ 74% 151 C+ 0.23 127
Total Offense D+ -4.1 280

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 216 D- 14.6% 344
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 92 C- 6.0% 261
Three Pointers C+ 85% 167 A- 0.1% 9
Total C 56% 172 D+ 6.6% 296


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 58 C+ 56% 134 +2.1 253
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 243 B- 36% 90 -1.2 93
Three Pointers 38% 264 C+ 33% 155 -1.8 106
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 277 C+ -1.4 121
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 149
Second Chance F+ 36.3% 350 C 1.05 208 D- 0.38 330
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.7% 14
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 264
Turnovers B 19.3% 42
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D+ 74% 277 F 0.30 361
Total Defense C -0.6 196

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 279 C+ 11.7% 135
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 207 C- 3.6% 258
Three Pointers D 88% 320 C+ 1.2% 96
Total D+ 59% 269 C+ 6.2% 128

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 328 17.0 127
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 63 0.20 286
Consistency 0.10 16 0.13 207
Improvement +0.1 185 +1.3 121

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 240 240 240
Results Rating Rank 228 228 228
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 32 - 6
Quad 414 - 616 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 52 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 5% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -13 D -6 F C D+ F -11 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 84% +7  95% 1 - 1 D+ -5 B- +5 B- C+ C+ F -10 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -2 D- -7 F B- F+ B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 288 @Delaware L 70 - 81 49% -14  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 D -5 C F B F -10 F C+ B+
 Sat, Nov 22 315 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 77% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -11 F -15 F B+ F B +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 277 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 69% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -36 F -15 F C+ D- F -22 F F F+
 Fri, Dec 5 339 Canisius W 69 - 57 84% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -4 D -5 F A- C- B- +3 A+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 334 Niagara W 71 - 43 83% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C- -1 D A C+ A+ +18 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 72 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 8% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +3 D+ -2 D- D- C B+ +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 258 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 41% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +2 D+ -4 F F+ C+ B+ +6 A- F B
 Fri, Jan 2 205 Marist W 69 - 59 52% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 C+ +5 D+ -3 F A+ B- A- +7 A+ B+ B-
 Fri, Jan 9 274 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 45% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -8 D- -7 F D D- C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 176 Merrimack W 76 - 63 47% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +9 A- +11 A A F+ C +0 A F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 220 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 33% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 B F D B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 357 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -8 D- -6 D- B+ C C +0 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 254 Iona W 77 - 63 63% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 C +0 B D F+ B+ +6 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 176 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 26% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -6 D- -7 F B F C+ +0 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 274 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 67% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C -1 C- -2 D+ C+ C C+ +1 B D A-
 Sun, Feb 1 357 @Rider L 78 - 81 78% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -16 C+ +3 F+ A+ B F -18 F A C
 Thu, Feb 5 329 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 63% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 F B A+ F -11 C F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 194 Siena W 70 - 65 50% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C +0 D -5 C+ A- F B+ +6 B A- D+
 Fri, Feb 13 289 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 49% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D -11 D+ -3 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F D+
 Sun, Feb 15 258 Fairfield W 83 - 74 64% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +1 B- +5 A D- F D+ -4 C- F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 254 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 40% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -10 F -16 F C F B+ +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 194 @Siena L 63 - 72 29% -10  0% 14 - 11 12 - 6 D+ -8 D+ -3 F+ C- B- D- -7 C- F B-
 Fri, Feb 27 329 Manhattan W 75 - 65 81% +13  98% 15 - 11 13 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 C+ C- F+ C- -2 A+ F D+
 Sun, Mar 1 205 @Marist W 63 - 56 30% +1  51% 16 - 11 14 - 6 B- +8 C- -0 B- C F A +9 B A+ B-
 Fri, Mar 6 258 Fairfield L 55 - 74 53% -4  26% 16 - 12 F -24 F -19 F C+ F D- -7 D+ F B+
Totals 16 - 12 14 - 6 -5 D+ -4 C- D- C- C -1 D C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C- D D- 36% 41% 42% C- D- B D+ C+ D+ C+ C+ C+ C C+ B- C+ C+ 43% 19% 38% D+ C+ F+ C D- B F D+ F
1.03 50% 37% 30% -5 0 0.90 35% 1.0 .34 18% .32 74% .23 1.10 56% 36% 33% -1 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .38 19% .41 74% .23
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% F+ F A- F C D+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D- C D F F D F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B- B D+ C+ C+ A B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F F D+ F F A+ F A+ C-
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D F A D- B- F+ A A+ A+ B C- C+ F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- F+ A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F A- A- C 28% 19% 53% C C F D+ F B F A+ F F F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ C+ B+ F A F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B- F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F F+ B- D- B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A+ F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B+ F B+ D- C+ D- B- A+ A F D+ D F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C F F+ F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A- C- A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B F+ C+ F A F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C- F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C+ D+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ F B D+ A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F D- C A+ F A+ B+ C- A+ A B+ 55% 10% 36% F C+ D C- D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D+ C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F F+ C+ F A+ F+ B+ A+ B A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A- B F F B F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -13 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ F+ F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D- A+ B- A+ B+ B- F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's D- F B F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D D- A+ D+ A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D+ A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A A B- A F+ A+ D A+ C C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A F F F A- F C- F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D A+ A A+ B- B- B- D C- 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A- D-
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D- B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D B+ C D+ F F C B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C+ F A+ D D+ D
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B 49% 19% 33% B- B D+ D+ D F+ A+ B A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack D- F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B F A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B- 56% 7% 37% F C+ C- F F+ B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's C- D+ F B D+ 33% 24% 43% C- D+ A- F+ C+ C B- C- B- C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% B- B F A D A- F B F
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C+ B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B D+ D+ D F F+ D- F F 30% 37% 33% B F B A+ A C F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ B+ A+ A F C D B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C F F F B+ F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D A+ B F B 28% 35% 38% F C+ B+ B+ A- F A+ F A+ B+ C- D A+ A- 44% 22% 34% F+ B A+ D+ A- D+ F+ C F+
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ B- D+ C+ F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C F C+ F F D+ F C- F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield B- C- C A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D- F A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ D- C 58% 24% 18% D- C- F F F A+ F D- F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% F+ F C- C+ C F F A F+ B+ C B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28
Feb
22		 Siena D+ F+ F C- F 40% 23% 38% C F+ D+ C+ C- B- B B B D- D+ A C- C 57% 27% 16% F C- F F F B- F F+ F
1.03 47% 27% 33% -7 0 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 15% .31 75% .23 1.17 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.03 36% 1.2 .44 18% .67 82% .56
Feb
27		 Manhattan C- B+ D+ A B- 35% 24% 41% D C+ A F C- F+ C+ F D+ C- A+ F A+ A+ 43% 20% 37% D- A+ F F F D+ F C- F
1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16 1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 +1 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39
Mar
1		 Marist C- A- D D- B- 42% 27% 31% C B- B+ F+ C F D+ F D- A A F A+ B- 32% 36% 32% A- B F A+ A+ B- C A+ B
0.99 68% 33% 29% +1 0 1.02 36% 0.8 .29 27% .32 60% .19 0.88 44% 50% 25% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.3 .12 19% .23 67% .15
Mar
6		 Fairfield F F D+ D F 38% 27% 36% F F B D+ C+ F A- F D D- C A+ F C- 52% 17% 30% F D+ F C+ F B+ F A+ F
0.85 29% 33% 31% -14 -1 0.73 35% 1.0 .35 22% .36 50% .18 1.15 54% 13% 43% -2 +1 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 19% .42 59% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%