Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
297 LIU Brooklyn 21.3%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 14 8 - 4 -7.6      -6.3 338 -1.3 211 63.3 302 0.0 1 0.0 1
305 Central Connecticut St. 18.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 11 - 7 -8.1      -7.2 354 -0.9 196 64.9 271 0.0 1 0.0 1
335 Wagner 11.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 14 10 - 8 -10.8      -9.5 360 -1.3 212 55.1 364 0.0 1 0.0 1
339 Stonehill 10.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 10 - 8 -11.3      -6.7 346 -4.6 312 63.7 296 0.0 1 0.0 1
344 Le Moyne 8.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 14 6 - 6 -11.8      -3.8 284 -8.0 361 70.9 100 0.0 1 0.0 1
345 St. Francis (PA) 7.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 14 6 - 6 -11.9      -6.7 347 -5.2 327 67.8 187 0.0 1 0.0 1
350 Fairleigh Dickinson 8.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 9 -12.4      -6.6 344 -5.7 338 71.9 74 0.0 1 0.0 1
351 Chicago St. 7.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 21 9 - 9 -12.6      -6.7 348 -5.9 344 71.0 96 0.0 1 0.0 1
362 Mercyhurst 1.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 17 4 - 8 -17.4      -10.0 361 -7.3 358 62.6 324 0.0 1 0.0 1
363 New Haven 1.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 22 5 - 13 -18.5      -10.4 362 -8.1 362 69.0 147 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 4.9 3.5 9.9 14.9 16.5 17.0 14.1 10.9 7.2 4.0 2.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.6 36.6 20.7 13.4 8.6 5.7 4.1 2.8 1.8 1.5 0.7
Wagner 3.6 21.2 20.0 15.0 11.7 8.9 6.8 5.4 4.3 3.1 2.1
Stonehill 3.8 18.6 18.2 15.2 12.0 10.1 7.8 6.1 4.8 3.7 2.2
Le Moyne 6.3 1.1 4.2 7.2 10.1 12.9 14.7 15.6 15.3 12.2 6.6
St. Francis (PA) 6.4 1.2 4.1 6.6 10.0 12.8 14.6 16.6 14.9 12.2 7.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.3 14.0 15.6 14.6 12.9 10.3 9.2 7.6 6.4 5.0 3.7
Chicago St. 4.5 13.3 14.9 13.8 12.8 11.4 9.2 7.9 7.0 5.4 3.9
Mercyhurst 8.1 0.2 1.0 1.6 3.1 5.2 7.9 11.9 17.0 23.5 28.6
New Haven 7.2 1.9 3.5 5.1 6.4 8.3 9.9 11.8 13.7 16.7 22.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 8 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.9 8.4 12.0 14.4 16.5 15.2 13.1 8.1 3.2
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.3 4.6 6.3 8.2 10.4 11.6 11.6 11.6 10.5 7.8 6.1
Wagner 10 - 6 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.4 6.0 8.2 9.2 10.9 11.3 11.1 10.1 8.7 6.3 4.2 2.5
Stonehill 9 - 7 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.0 6.7 9.1 10.1 11.4 11.4 10.7 9.6 7.3 5.7 3.6 1.8
Le Moyne 6 - 10 0.4 1.7 4.2 7.6 11.3 14.4 14.8 14.8 12.2 9.4 5.9 2.6 0.7
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 10 0.5 1.8 4.3 7.8 11.6 14.3 15.2 14.8 12.1 8.8 5.4 2.7 0.7
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 7 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.8 4.5 6.6 8.5 9.7 10.6 11.7 10.8 9.6 8.2 6.2 4.1 2.5 1.1
Chicago St. 9 - 7 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.3 6.8 9.1 10.3 11.1 11.5 10.8 9.3 7.0 5.8 3.7 2.3 1.1
Mercyhurst 4 - 12 3.3 8.5 13.5 16.5 16.8 14.6 11.0 7.7 4.2 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0
New Haven 5 - 11 2.6 6.5 9.4 12.2 13.8 13.0 11.1 9.9 7.0 5.7 3.8 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 3.5% 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 36.6% 27.5 7.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Wagner 21.2% 14.6 5.4 0.9 0.2 0.0
Stonehill 18.6% 12.7 4.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 1.1% 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 1.2% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 14.0% 9.2 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 13.3% 8.6 3.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Haven 1.9% 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 21.3% 21.3% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.3 0.9 3.7 18.4 78.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 21.0% 21.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 18.9 79.0 0.0%
Wagner 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 12.1 87.4 0.0%
Stonehill 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.5 89.2 0.0%
Le Moyne 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.7 92.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 7.2 92.4 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.4 91.5 0.0%
Chicago St. 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 7.4 92.6 0.0%
Mercyhurst 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%
New Haven 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 21.3% 14.5% 15.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 21.0% 15.4% 14.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 12.6% 10.3% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 10.8% 9.3% 6.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 8.0% 6.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 7.6% 6.2% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.5% 7.5% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 7.4% 6.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 1.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 1.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 58.1% 0.6 41.9 53.0 5.1
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0