IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.4	#350
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#74
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.6	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.7	#338

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.2%	28.8%	8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.3	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	24.7%	51.5%	24.6%
.500 or above in Conference	64.8%	74.1%	64.8%
Conference Champion	14.6%	41.6%	14.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	0.0%	6.4%

First Four	7.5%	12.8%	7.5%
First Round	4.6%	22.4%	4.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 2	0 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	20	@ Iowa St.	L	56-88	0.2%
Nov 08, 2025	295	@ St. Peter's	L	61-69	23%
Nov 12, 2025	38	@ Texas	L	58-87	0.5%
Nov 15, 2025	357	@ NJIT	L	69-70	45%
Nov 24, 2025	331	East Texas A&M	W	71-70	52%
Nov 26, 2025	353	Army	W	74-70	62%
Dec 02, 2025	61	@ Providence	L	60-85	2%
Dec 10, 2025	163	@ Fordham	L	69-84	10%
Dec 22, 2025	96	@ Boston College	L	62-83	4%
Dec 29, 2025	87	@ Minnesota	L	57-78	3%
Jan 02, 2026	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	69-67	57%
Jan 04, 2026	345	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	70-73	39%
Jan 08, 2026	351	Chicago St.	W	75-72	61%
Jan 10, 2026	363	@ New Haven	W	73-70	61%
Jan 17, 2026	297	LIU Brooklyn	L	66-68	44%
Jan 19, 2026	335	Wagner	W	61-60	54%
Jan 23, 2026	305	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	64-71	27%
Jan 25, 2026	344	Le Moyne	W	77-75	58%
Jan 29, 2026	339	@ Stonehill	L	67-71	36%
Jan 31, 2026	335	@ Wagner	L	58-63	35%
Feb 05, 2026	339	Stonehill	W	70-68	56%
Feb 07, 2026	362	Mercyhurst	W	72-64	74%
Feb 12, 2026	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	73-70	58%
Feb 14, 2026	305	Central Connecticut St.	L	67-68	45%
Feb 19, 2026	351	@ Chicago St.	L	72-75	41%
Feb 21, 2026	363	New Haven	W	76-67	77%
Feb 26, 2026	344	@ Le Moyne	L	74-78	39%
Feb 28, 2026	297	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	63-71	26%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.2	2.7	3.4	3.1	2.2	1.1		14.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	2.8	4.4	4.0	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.0		15.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	3.7	5.4	3.3	1.3	0.3	0.0				14.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	3.7	5.6	2.2	0.6	0.1						12.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.7	3.2	4.5	1.7	0.2	0.0							10.3	5th
6th					0.0	0.5	2.6	4.2	1.8	0.1									9.2	6th
7th				0.0	0.4	2.1	3.6	1.4	0.1										7.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	1.6	2.9	1.4	0.2											6.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.3	2.1	1.1	0.2												5.0	9th
10th	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.2	0.5	0.1													3.7	10th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.6	2.8	4.5	6.6	8.5	9.7	10.6	11.7	10.8	9.6	8.2	6.2	4.1	2.5	1.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	99.4%	1.1		1.1	0.1
15-1	90.1%	2.2		1.9	0.4	0.0
14-2	75.8%	3.1		2.4	0.7	0.1
13-3	55.1%	3.4		2.2	1.0	0.2	0.0
12-4	33.4%	2.7		1.3	1.1	0.3	0.0
11-5	12.9%	1.2		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	14.0%	14.0		9.2	3.8	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.1%		44.3%	44.3%		17.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6
15-1	2.5%		28.9%	28.9%		17.5															0.0	0.1	0.7	1.8
14-2	4.1%		27.8%	27.8%		17.0															0.0	0.1	1.1	3.0
13-3	6.2%		20.8%	20.8%		16.9																0.0	1.3	4.9
12-4	8.2%		14.8%	14.8%		16.7																0.0	1.3	7.0
11-5	9.6%		11.9%	11.9%		16.2																	1.2	8.4
10-6	10.8%		7.9%	7.9%		16.3																	0.9	9.9
9-7	11.7%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.7	11.1
8-8	10.6%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																	0.4	10.3
7-9	9.7%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.2	9.5
6-10	8.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
5-11	6.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-12	4.5%																							4.5
3-13	2.8%																							2.8
2-14	1.6%																							1.6
1-15	0.6%																							0.6
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		8.2%	8.2%	0.0%	16.7															0.0	0.4	8.2	91.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%