Preseason Rankings
Patriot League
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
227 Colgate 21.9%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 14 12 - 6 -3.7      -1.4 219 -2.3 251 67.4 202 0.0 1 0.0 1
230 Navy 21.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 12 12 - 6 -3.8      -2.1 234 -1.7 226 67.4 205 0.0 1 0.0 1
280 Boston University 11.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 16 10 - 8 -6.6      -4.4 299 -2.1 245 60.4 351 0.0 1 0.0 1
286 Bucknell 9.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 17 10 - 8 -7.1      -4.4 300 -2.7 266 68.8 154 0.0 1 0.0 1
302 Lehigh 8.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 9 -8.0      -4.7 307 -3.4 285 67.5 200 0.0 1 0.0 1
303 American 8.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 9 - 9 -8.1      -5.2 318 -2.9 270 60.8 349 0.0 1 0.0 1
308 Lafayette 7.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -8.2      -6.1 335 -2.1 247 65.9 239 0.0 1 0.0 1
316 Loyola Maryland 7.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 10 -8.8      -4.9 311 -3.9 298 66.4 221 0.0 1 0.0 1
346 Holy Cross 2.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 12 -12.0      -5.1 316 -6.8 351 65.1 263 0.0 1 0.0 1
353 Army 1.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 12 -13.0      -6.8 351 -6.2 347 69.0 149 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 3.3 28.7 19.3 13.9 11.1 8.4 6.5 4.9 3.5 2.2 1.3
Navy 3.3 29.2 18.7 14.0 11.1 8.5 6.2 4.9 3.9 2.2 1.3
Boston University 4.6 13.8 14.1 13.0 11.8 11.4 10.3 8.7 7.4 5.8 3.6
Bucknell 4.8 12.1 12.6 12.7 12.2 11.3 11.0 9.6 8.1 6.3 4.3
Lehigh 5.2 9.2 10.5 11.6 12.2 11.2 10.7 10.7 9.5 8.1 6.2
American 5.2 8.8 10.6 11.7 11.7 11.6 11.2 10.4 9.6 8.5 6.0
Lafayette 5.4 8.6 9.7 10.7 11.0 11.4 11.6 10.8 10.5 9.1 6.7
Loyola Maryland 5.6 7.5 8.7 9.9 10.7 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.3 10.1 7.4
Holy Cross 7.1 2.4 3.8 5.4 6.3 7.9 10.0 12.1 14.6 18.1 19.5
Army 7.5 1.5 2.9 4.1 5.4 6.9 8.9 11.2 14.9 18.8 25.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.8 4.5 6.2 8.1 10.1 11.2 11.7 12.2 10.6 8.3 6.3 3.1 1.1
Navy 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.1 4.5 6.2 8.0 10.2 11.0 11.7 11.6 11.0 8.7 5.9 3.3 1.1
Boston University 10 - 8 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.0 4.8 6.3 8.0 10.1 10.8 11.4 10.6 9.8 8.2 6.3 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.2
Bucknell 10 - 8 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.2 5.1 7.0 8.6 10.4 11.6 11.4 10.3 9.1 7.7 5.3 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.2
Lehigh 9 - 9 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.9 4.6 6.4 8.1 9.7 10.7 11.2 11.1 9.9 8.0 6.3 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
American 9 - 9 0.2 0.7 1.3 3.0 4.7 6.5 8.1 9.6 10.8 11.6 11.0 9.5 8.4 6.1 4.0 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
Lafayette 9 - 9 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.1 5.0 7.3 8.5 10.4 11.3 11.3 10.5 8.8 7.4 6.0 3.9 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.5 5.5 8.0 8.8 11.0 11.3 11.5 10.1 8.7 6.8 5.2 3.4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
Holy Cross 6 - 12 0.9 3.2 5.8 8.2 11.2 11.3 12.0 11.5 9.9 8.5 5.9 4.7 3.0 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1
Army 6 - 12 1.5 4.4 7.5 10.0 11.9 13.0 11.7 10.5 8.9 7.1 5.2 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 28.7% 20.6 6.5 1.4 0.2 0.0
Navy 29.2% 20.8 6.7 1.4 0.2 0.0
Boston University 13.8% 8.9 3.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
Bucknell 12.1% 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.1
Lehigh 9.2% 5.7 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
American 8.8% 5.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
Lafayette 8.6% 5.5 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
Loyola Maryland 7.5% 4.6 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
Holy Cross 2.4% 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Army 1.5% 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 21.9% 21.9% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.7 2.2 4.5 6.5 9.9 78.1 0.0%
Navy 21.3% 21.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.0 6.3 9.8 78.7 0.0%
Boston University 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 7.3 88.5 0.0%
Bucknell 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 6.9 90.1 0.0%
Lehigh 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 5.7 91.8 0.0%
American 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 6.1 91.9 0.0%
Lafayette 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 5.9 92.2 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 5.5 93.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.4 97.5 0.0%
Army 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 1.8 98.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 21.9% 5.8% 21.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 21.3% 5.9% 20.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 11.5% 5.0% 10.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 9.9% 4.5% 8.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 8.2% 3.9% 7.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 8.1% 4.1% 7.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 7.8% 4.1% 6.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 7.0% 3.8% 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 1.9% 1.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 82.7% 0.9 17.3 74.5 8.1
2nd Round 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0