IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.0	#353
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#149
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.8	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	3.9%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.6	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	9.0%	25.7%	7.9%
.500 or above in Conference	20.6%	37.1%	19.6%
Conference Champion	1.5%	4.6%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	34.4%	20.6%	35.2%

First Four	1.4%	1.8%	1.4%
First Round	1.3%	3.5%	1.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 5	1 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 14	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	149	@ St. Thomas	L	65-82	6%
Nov 11, 2025	3	Duke	L	54-86	0.2%
Nov 15, 2025	178	Harvard	L	64-73	22%
Nov 18, 2025	165	@ Cornell	L	71-86	8%
Nov 21, 2025	237	@ Marist	L	58-70	15%
Nov 25, 2025	331	East Texas A&M	L	67-70	40%
Nov 26, 2025	350	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	70-74	38%
Nov 29, 2025	252	Manhattan	L	71-76	33%
Dec 02, 2025	85	George Washington	L	63-80	8%
Dec 12, 2025	304	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	73-81	25%
Dec 23, 2025	334	Binghamton	W	69-68	51%
Dec 31, 2025	302	@ Lehigh	L	66-74	25%
Jan 03, 2026	227	Colgate	L	68-74	30%
Jan 07, 2026	316	Loyola Maryland	L	69-70	46%
Jan 10, 2026	280	@ Boston University	L	61-70	21%
Jan 14, 2026	346	@ Holy Cross	L	68-72	37%
Jan 18, 2026	303	American	L	65-67	44%
Jan 21, 2026	286	@ Bucknell	L	66-75	23%
Jan 24, 2026	230	@ Navy	L	64-76	16%
Jan 28, 2026	302	Lehigh	L	69-71	44%
Jan 31, 2026	346	Holy Cross	W	71-69	57%
Feb 04, 2026	227	@ Colgate	L	65-77	15%
Feb 07, 2026	308	Lafayette	L	67-69	45%
Feb 11, 2026	280	Boston University	L	64-67	39%
Feb 14, 2026	303	@ American	L	62-70	26%
Feb 18, 2026	316	@ Loyola Maryland	L	66-73	27%
Feb 21, 2026	230	Navy	L	67-73	31%
Feb 25, 2026	286	Bucknell	L	69-72	40%
Feb 28, 2026	308	@ Lafayette	L	64-72	26%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.5	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0					2.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.3	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0						4.1	3rd
4th									0.2	1.5	2.5	1.0	0.1	0.0							5.4	4th
5th								0.2	2.0	3.2	1.2	0.2									6.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.5	4.0	1.8	0.1										8.9	6th
7th					0.1	0.7	3.0	4.9	2.3	0.3	0.0										11.2	7th
8th				0.1	1.4	4.7	5.8	2.6	0.3												14.9	8th
9th		0.1	0.8	3.1	6.1	6.2	2.4	0.3													18.8	9th
10th	1.5	4.4	6.7	6.8	4.3	1.4	0.2	0.0													25.3	10th

Total	1.5	4.4	7.5	10.0	11.9	13.0	11.7	10.5	8.9	7.1	5.2	3.6	2.3	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	87.2%	0.2		0.2	0.1
14-4	64.3%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	29.7%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	10.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.8	0.5	0.1	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		19.7%	19.7%		14.0															0.0			0.0
16-2	0.1%		37.9%	37.9%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.3%		17.9%	17.9%		14.7															0.0	0.0		0.2
14-4	0.7%		20.4%	20.4%		18.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6
13-5	1.3%		16.5%	16.5%		18.2															0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1
12-6	2.3%		12.5%	12.5%		18.5															0.0	0.0	0.3	2.0
11-7	3.6%		10.0%	10.0%		18.2																0.0	0.4	3.2
10-8	5.2%		3.5%	3.5%		18.4																0.0	0.2	5.0
9-9	7.1%		3.0%	3.0%		17.1																	0.2	6.9
8-10	8.9%		1.9%	1.9%		16.7																	0.2	8.7
7-11	10.5%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
6-12	11.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	13.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
4-14	11.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
3-15	10.0%																							10.0
2-16	7.5%																							7.5
1-17	4.4%																							4.4
0-18	1.5%																							1.5

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	17.6															0.1	0.2	1.8	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%