IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.3	#140
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.6	#80
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#117

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#184

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.5%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.6	11.2	12.1

.500 or above	36.9%	51.7%	24.4%
.500 or above in Conference	30.3%	38.9%	22.9%
Conference Champion	1.3%	1.9%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	14.6%	10.0%	18.6%

First Four	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
First Round	3.6%	5.3%	2.1%
Second Round	0.8%	1.2%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Home) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 1	11 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	96	Boston College	L	73-74	46%
Nov 08, 2025	123	College of Charleston	L	77-78	46%
Nov 09, 2025	100	@ Liberty	L	68-75	26%
Nov 24, 2025	135	Loyola Marymount	L	72-73	49%
Dec 07, 2025	175	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-72	47%
Dec 13, 2025	296	Albany	W	81-69	85%
Dec 19, 2025	49	@ St. Mary's	L	59-72	13%
Jan 04, 2026	115	@ Tulane	L	72-77	33%
Jan 07, 2026	103	@ UAB	L	74-81	29%
Jan 11, 2026	51	Memphis	L	74-80	30%
Jan 15, 2026	122	Wichita St.	W	76-74	56%
Jan 18, 2026	133	@ Temple	L	76-79	38%
Jan 21, 2026	115	Tulane	W	75-74	54%
Jan 25, 2026	95	@ South Florida	L	72-79	27%
Jan 29, 2026	51	@ Memphis	L	71-83	16%
Feb 01, 2026	158	East Carolina	W	74-70	64%
Feb 04, 2026	150	Tulsa	W	75-71	64%
Feb 11, 2026	172	@ Rice	L	72-73	48%
Feb 15, 2026	95	South Florida	L	75-76	46%
Feb 22, 2026	88	@ North Texas	L	61-68	27%
Feb 25, 2026	133	Temple	W	79-76	58%
Mar 01, 2026	192	Charlotte	W	75-69	70%
Mar 07, 2026	122	@ Wichita St.	L	73-77	37%
Projected Record						10 - 13	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1				1.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.0					3.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	1.8	1.6	0.5	0.0						4.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.4	2.3	0.6	0.0							5.8	4th
5th									0.3	2.1	3.0	1.1	0.1								6.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.7	4.0	1.6	0.1	0.0								7.5	6th
7th							0.0	1.2	4.1	2.7	0.3										8.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.9	4.5	3.8	0.8											10.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.6	3.7	5.0	1.1	0.0											10.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.5	3.4	5.2	2.1	0.1												11.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.8	3.2	5.0	2.5	0.3													11.9	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	1.0	3.0	4.2	2.2	0.3														10.9	12th
13th	0.4	1.5	2.7	2.7	1.1	0.1	0.0														8.5	13th

Total	0.4	1.6	3.7	6.5	9.1	11.3	12.7	13.2	11.2	9.9	7.9	5.7	3.6	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1					Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-3	90.5%	0.3		0.2	0.0
14-4	53.0%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
13-5	18.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.1%		90.9%	63.6%	27.3%	6.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		75.0%
15-3	0.3%		52.7%	24.0%	28.7%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1						0.1		37.8%
14-4	0.8%		40.9%	28.1%	12.8%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					0.5		17.8%
13-5	1.9%		23.8%	20.8%	3.0%	10.7							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1					1.4		3.8%
12-6	3.6%		17.4%	15.6%	1.8%	11.3										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.1	0.0				3.0		2.1%
11-7	5.7%		11.4%	11.2%	0.1%	11.6											0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			5.1		0.1%
10-8	7.9%		7.2%	7.1%	0.1%	11.8											0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1		0.0		7.3		0.1%
9-9	9.9%		4.1%	4.1%		12.1												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			9.5
8-10	11.2%		1.0%	1.0%		12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.1
7-11	13.2%		1.0%	1.0%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.1
6-12	12.7%		0.8%	0.8%		17.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.6
5-13	11.3%		0.4%	0.4%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.3
4-14	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-15	6.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
2-16	3.7%																							3.7
1-17	1.6%																							1.6
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.7%	3.3%	0.3%	11.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.5	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	96.3		0.4%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.7				33.3		33.3	33.3
Lose Out	0.1%