Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Ten
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
3 Michigan 100.0%   1   31 - 3 19 - 1 +25.9      +12.2 8 +13.7 1 76.4 19 +28.1 3 +31.6 1
7 Illinois 100.0%   3   24 - 8 15 - 5 +21.8      +15.0 2 +6.8 29 65.3 266 +19.4 16 +20.6 4
8 Purdue 100.0%   2   27 - 8 13 - 7 +21.2      +15.4 1 +5.8 41 62.8 325 +20.9 10 +17.6 6
10 Michigan St. 100.0%   3   25 - 7 15 - 5 +19.5      +9.8 23 +9.7 15 65.9 250 +20.7 11 +21.1 3
16 Nebraska 100.0%   4   26 - 6 15 - 5 +18.5      +6.6 51 +11.9 6 67.4 208 +21.1 9 +21.2 2
22 Wisconsin 100.0%   5   24 - 10 14 - 6 +17.0      +11.8 10 +5.2 50 70.9 109 +17.9 20 +19.6 5
24 Ohio St. 96.2%   8   21 - 12 12 - 8 +16.1      +10.7 18 +5.4 46 66.3 237 +15.2 32 +16.3 8
26 UCLA 99.2%   7   23 - 11 13 - 7 +15.7      +10.6 19 +5.1 52 63.3 315 +16.0 28 +16.9 7
27 Iowa 93.0%   9   21 - 12 10 - 10 +15.6      +8.9 30 +6.7 31 60.0 361 +14.2 38 +13.6 9
44 Indiana 29.7%   18 - 14 9 - 11 +12.8      +8.3 37 +4.5 63 66.3 236 +11.6 48 +12.3 10
50 Washington 0.0%   16 - 17 7 - 13 +11.2      +6.2 57 +5.0 55 68.0 191 +8.7 69 +8.6 13
57 Northwestern 0.0%   15 - 19 5 - 15 +9.8      +5.9 60 +3.9 75 63.9 301 +8.1 74 +6.2 15
68 Minnesota 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 12 +8.9      +4.8 75 +4.1 71 59.3 363 +7.5 79 +10.5 11
75 USC 0.9%   17 - 14 7 - 13 +8.0      +2.8 103 +5.3 47 75.5 25 +10.9 52 +8.8 12
86 Oregon 0.0%   12 - 20 5 - 15 +6.7      +2.5 109 +4.3 70 65.6 257 +5.3 100 +6.0 16
101 Rutgers 0.0%   14 - 19 6 - 14 +5.0      +2.2 113 +2.8 98 67.2 216 +6.0 95 +6.8 14
104 Maryland 0.0%   12 - 21 4 - 16 +4.7      +2.1 116 +2.6 105 66.3 235 +6.1 92 +4.2 17
123 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 20 3 - 17 +2.6      +3.6 91 -1.0 205 68.8 166 +3.5 115 +2.7 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 12 27 Iowa 69 24 Ohio St. 72   
Thu, Mar 12 50 Washington 82 22 Wisconsin 85   
Thu, Mar 12 101 Rutgers 59 26 UCLA 72   
Thu, Mar 12 57 Northwestern 68 8 Purdue 81   
Fri, Mar 13 3 Michigan 71 24 Ohio St. 67   
Fri, Mar 13 7 Illinois 88 22 Wisconsin 91   
Fri, Mar 13 10 Michigan St. 84 26 UCLA 88   
Fri, Mar 13 16 Nebraska 58 8 Purdue 74   
Sat, Mar 14 3 Michigan 68 22 Wisconsin 65   
Sat, Mar 14 8 Purdue 73 26 UCLA 66   
Sun, Mar 15 3 Michigan 72 8 Purdue 80   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Nebraska 2.0 100.0
Illinois 2.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 100.0
Wisconsin 5.0 100.0
UCLA 6.0 100.0
Purdue 6.0 100.0
Ohio St. 8.0 100.0
Iowa 9.0 100.0
Indiana 10.0 100.0
Minnesota 11.0 100.0
USC 12.0 100.0
Washington 12.0 100.0
Rutgers 14.0 100.0
Northwestern 15.0 100.0
Oregon 15.0 100.0
Maryland 17.0 100.0
Penn St. 18.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 31 - 3 100.0
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 6 100.0
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 8 100.0
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 7 100.0
Wisconsin 14 - 6 24 - 10 100.0
UCLA 13 - 7 23 - 11 100.0
Purdue 13 - 7 27 - 8 100.0
Ohio St. 12 - 8 21 - 12 100.0
Iowa 10 - 10 21 - 12 100.0
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 14 100.0
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 17 100.0
USC 7 - 13 17 - 14 100.0
Washington 7 - 13 16 - 17 100.0
Rutgers 6 - 14 14 - 19 100.0
Northwestern 5 - 15 15 - 19 100.0
Oregon 5 - 15 12 - 20 100.0
Maryland 4 - 16 12 - 21 100.0
Penn St. 3 - 17 12 - 20 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska
Illinois
Michigan St.
Wisconsin
UCLA
Purdue
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
USC
Washington
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   98.2 1.8 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.5 23.1 34.5 30.6 8.8 0.5 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   4.9 47.3 37.2 10.1 0.6
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   3.8 33.8 39.8 20.2 2.3 0.0 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   1.6 16.8 35.6 35.0 10.6 0.5 100.0%
Wisconsin 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.2 4.5 15.8 49.6 28.0 1.9 100.0%
Ohio St. 96.2% 0.0% 96.2% 8   0.0 0.0 0.5 5.2 19.0 32.8 29.9 8.4 0.4 3.8 96.2%
UCLA 99.2% 0.0% 99.2% 7   0.0 0.1 2.3 16.2 40.7 29.6 9.4 0.8 0.0 0.8 99.2%
Iowa 93.0% 0.0% 93.0% 9   0.2 3.4 13.5 29.8 34.3 11.3 0.6 7.0 93.0%
Indiana 29.7% 0.0% 29.7% 0.0 0.6 23.4 5.6 0.0 70.3 29.7%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
USC 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.4 0.4 0.1 99.1 0.9%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.2 0.2 7.1 66.5 26.0 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 9.1 0.2 8.7 74.8 16.2 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 7.4 0.0 0.2 2.6 14.0 34.4 35.9 12.3 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.6 5.2 18.6 34.3 29.1 10.4 1.7 0.1 0.0
Elite Eight 97.0% 2.2 3.0 19.4 38.7 28.9 8.8 1.2 0.0
Final Four 79.8% 1.1 20.2 51.1 25.1 3.6 0.1
Final Game 50.6% 0.6 49.4 45.3 5.3
Champion 27.6% 0.3 72.4 27.6

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 87.0% 66.6% 47.6% 29.4% 17.6%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.2% 69.5% 37.6% 18.4% 8.7% 3.6%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.1% 71.0% 40.9% 17.9% 8.1% 3.3%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.4% 63.1% 30.2% 11.6% 4.6% 1.6%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.3% 55.1% 22.3% 8.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Wisconsin 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 81.0% 36.2% 10.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Ohio St. 96.2% 0.2% 96.1% 56.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
UCLA 99.2% 0.0% 99.2% 60.8% 16.7% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Iowa 93.0% 0.3% 92.9% 52.2% 10.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Indiana 29.7% 28.3% 18.5% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%