Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.9#10
Expected Predictive Rating+16.6#8
Pace73.4#56
Improvement-0.2#198

Offense
Total Offense+14.3#2
First Shot+8.9#12
After Offensive Rebound+5.4#2
Layup/Dunks+2.9#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#60
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+4.4#17

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#96
First Shot+0.5#164
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#37
Layups/Dunks+1.0#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#88
Freethrows+2.2#40
Improvement-4.6#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 2.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 25.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen63.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight32.8% n/a n/a
Final Four15.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.7% n/a n/a
National Champion2.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 17 - 6
Quad 26 - 113 - 7
Quad 38 - 121 - 8
Quad 45 - 026 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 321   Eastern Illinois W 80-52 99%     1 - 0 +16.1 +2.4 +13.4
  Nov 10, 2023 142   Oakland W 64-53 94%     2 - 0 +9.9 -2.3 +13.5
  Nov 14, 2023 12   Marquette L 64-71 62%     2 - 1 +6.7 -2.0 +8.6
  Nov 17, 2023 299   Valparaiso W 87-64 99%     3 - 1 +12.7 -1.6 +11.6
  Nov 19, 2023 288   Southern W 88-60 98%     4 - 1 +18.8 +6.4 +9.9
  Nov 24, 2023 279   Western Illinois W 84-52 98%     5 - 1 +23.5 +8.8 +14.3
  Dec 02, 2023 96   @ Rutgers W 76-58 79%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +26.5 +15.0 +11.6
  Dec 05, 2023 43   Florida Atlantic W 98-89 71%     7 - 1 +20.2 +20.3 -0.7
  Dec 09, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 79-86 34%     7 - 2 +14.1 +14.2 +0.2
  Dec 17, 2023 146   Colgate W 74-57 95%     8 - 2 +15.7 +6.0 +10.5
  Dec 22, 2023 135   Missouri W 97-73 91%     9 - 2 +26.1 +17.5 +6.9
  Dec 29, 2023 326   Fairleigh Dickinson W 104-71 99%     10 - 2 +19.4 +20.3 -2.4
  Jan 02, 2024 40   Northwestern W 96-66 78%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +38.7 +30.7 +9.6
  Jan 05, 2024 4   @ Purdue L 78-83 28%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +17.8 +16.0 +1.7
  Jan 11, 2024 18   Michigan St. W 71-68 69%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +14.9 +10.4 +4.7
  Jan 14, 2024 60   Maryland L 67-76 83%     12 - 4 3 - 2 -2.3 +1.8 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2024 117   @ Michigan W 88-73 85%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +20.9 +17.6 +3.4
  Jan 21, 2024 96   Rutgers W 86-63 89%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +26.3 +14.4 +9.9
  Jan 24, 2024 40   @ Northwestern L 91-96 OT 62%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +8.9 +17.6 -8.4
  Jan 27, 2024 82   Indiana W 70-62 88%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +12.2 +2.3 +10.2
  Jan 30, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. W 87-75 61%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +26.0 +27.1 -0.1
  Feb 04, 2024 27   Nebraska W 87-84 OT 74%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +13.4 +8.0 +5.0
  Feb 10, 2024 18   @ Michigan St. L 80-88 49%     17 - 6 8 - 4 +9.1 +17.7 -8.7
  Feb 13, 2024 117   Michigan W 97-68 93%     18 - 6 9 - 4 +29.7 +22.4 +7.0
  Feb 17, 2024 60   @ Maryland W 85-80 69%     19 - 6 10 - 4 +16.9 +21.7 -4.9
  Feb 21, 2024 68   @ Penn St. L 89-90 73%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +9.4 +14.8 -5.3
  Feb 24, 2024 49   Iowa W 95-85 81%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +17.8 +16.5 +0.8
  Feb 28, 2024 69   Minnesota W 105-97 86%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +13.1 +39.3 -25.6
  Mar 02, 2024 19   @ Wisconsin W 91-83 51%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +24.6 +24.8 -0.2
  Mar 05, 2024 4   Purdue L 71-77 47%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +11.7 +9.1 +2.1
  Mar 10, 2024 49   @ Iowa W 73-61 65%     23 - 8 14 - 6 +25.0 -1.5 +25.9
  Mar 15, 2024 38   Ohio St. W 77-74 70%     24 - 8 +14.4 +9.7 +4.7
  Mar 16, 2024 27   Nebraska W 98-87 65%     25 - 8 +24.0 +23.2 -0.1
  Mar 17, 2024 19   Wisconsin W 93-87 61%     26 - 8 +20.0 +27.6 -7.4
  Mar 21, 2024 128   Morehead St. W 84-70 90%    
Projected Record 27 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.0 2.8 22.9 46.0 26.8 1.5 0.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.0 2.8 22.9 46.0 26.8 1.5 0.0