Pre-tourney Rankings
Vermont
America East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#109
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#86
Pace60.8#348
Improvement+1.1#132

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#176
First Shot+1.0#155
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#244
Layup/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#17
Freethrows-2.2#316
Improvement-3.9#339

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#72
First Shot+3.0#81
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#95
Layups/Dunks-0.9#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
Freethrows+1.6#74
Improvement+4.9#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round11.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 03 - 2
Quad 38 - 311 - 5
Quad 415 - 126 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 237   Merrimack W 67-55 83%     1 - 0 +5.6 +11.1 -2.8
  Nov 16, 2023 100   College of Charleston W 73-64 45%     2 - 0 +14.2 +3.3 +11.2
  Nov 17, 2023 191   Saint Louis W 78-68 70%     3 - 0 +8.5 +5.9 +3.4
  Nov 19, 2023 148   Liberty L 61-71 60%     3 - 1 -8.8 -6.9 -2.7
  Nov 25, 2023 67   @ Bradley L 70-79 26%     3 - 2 +1.6 +5.7 -4.5
  Nov 29, 2023 327   Dartmouth W 64-53 94%     4 - 2 -2.8 -4.9 +3.5
  Dec 02, 2023 95   Yale W 66-65 52%     5 - 2 +4.4 +4.1 +0.5
  Dec 06, 2023 250   @ Northeastern W 73-71 71%     6 - 2 +0.1 +6.5 -6.2
  Dec 09, 2023 146   Colgate L 71-77 69%     6 - 3 -7.3 +6.6 -14.6
  Dec 16, 2023 61   @ Virginia Tech L 51-73 23%     6 - 4 -10.4 -15.2 +3.3
  Dec 20, 2023 140   @ Toledo W 86-60 49%     7 - 4 +30.3 +12.2 +18.3
  Dec 22, 2023 256   @ Miami (OH) L 69-70 73%     7 - 5 -3.4 +2.2 -5.6
  Jan 02, 2024 188   @ Brown W 71-70 60%     8 - 5 +2.4 +8.2 -5.7
  Jan 06, 2024 243   Maine W 65-58 84%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +0.3 -3.0 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2024 268   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-72 87%     10 - 5 2 - 0 -3.2 +1.6 -4.6
  Jan 13, 2024 335   NJIT W 76-55 95%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +6.7 +5.4 +3.8
  Jan 18, 2024 285   @ Binghamton W 82-62 77%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +16.1 +12.3 +5.2
  Jan 25, 2024 155   @ Umass Lowell W 72-65 OT 53%     13 - 5 5 - 0 +10.1 -3.0 +12.7
  Jan 27, 2024 183   @ Bryant W 67-57 59%     14 - 5 6 - 0 +11.6 +0.4 +11.5
  Feb 01, 2024 252   Albany W 81-59 85%     15 - 5 7 - 0 +14.7 +1.5 +12.8
  Feb 03, 2024 285   Binghamton W 62-49 88%     16 - 5 8 - 0 +3.9 -1.8 +8.7
  Feb 08, 2024 335   @ NJIT L 61-63 89%     16 - 6 8 - 1 -11.1 -10.5 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2024 268   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 72-70 75%     17 - 6 9 - 1 -1.0 -0.2 -0.6
  Feb 15, 2024 262   New Hampshire W 70-54 86%     18 - 6 10 - 1 +8.2 -4.0 +12.3
  Feb 17, 2024 243   @ Maine W 68-57 70%     19 - 6 11 - 1 +9.5 +4.1 +6.3
  Feb 22, 2024 252   @ Albany W 94-80 72%     20 - 6 12 - 1 +11.9 +13.6 -2.5
  Feb 24, 2024 183   Bryant W 65-48 76%     21 - 6 13 - 1 +13.4 -0.8 +15.7
  Mar 02, 2024 155   Umass Lowell W 74-62 72%     22 - 6 14 - 1 +9.9 +5.8 +5.0
  Mar 05, 2024 262   @ New Hampshire W 68-64 74%     23 - 6 15 - 1 +1.4 -5.3 +6.6
  Mar 09, 2024 252   Albany W 75-72 85%     24 - 6 -4.3 +1.6 -5.8
  Mar 12, 2024 262   New Hampshire W 66-59 86%     25 - 6 -0.8 -7.3 +6.7
  Mar 16, 2024 155   Umass Lowell W 66-61 72%     26 - 6 +2.9 -1.2 +4.6
  Mar 22, 2024 9   Duke L 61-74 11%    
Projected Record 26 - 7 15 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.1 0.0 7.1 72.0 20.7 0.1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 7.1 72.0 20.7 0.1