Pre-tourney Rankings
Albany
America East
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.4 323
Results Rating -12.7 341
Consistency 0.17 268
Pace 64.4 290
Improvement +1.7 128

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 278 C- C F+ F C+
Defense D- 336 D+ F D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 154 C 58% 179 +0.4 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 198 C+ 40% 109 -0.1 187
Three Pointers 41% 169 D+ 32% 275 -1.1 221
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 162 C- -1.1 216
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 204
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 130 D+ 0.95 300 C 0.30 198
Opponents' Steals D- 11.6% 340
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 327
Turnovers F+ 20.1% 347
Freethrows F 0.23 362 D- 67% 336 F 0.15 364
Total Offense D+ -4.0 278

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 273 C- 11.5% 216
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 177 C 5.5% 224
Three Pointers C+ 85% 166 F+ 1.8% 344
Total C- 52% 248 D+ 6.3% 269


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 108 C 58% 182 +1.7 235
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 282 C+ 37% 150 -1.3 77
Three Pointers 41% 168 D 36% 303 +1.7 273
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 283 C- +1.4 238
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 253
Second Chance D- 35.3% 338 F 1.20 360 F 0.42 360
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 218
Other Turnovers F+ 5.6% 353
Turnovers D 14.4% 314
Freethrows C- 0.31 215 D 75% 323 C- 0.23 246
Total Defense D- -6.3 336

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 274 C+ 11.8% 132
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 131 B- 6.8% 70
Three Pointers F 93% 362 A- 2.1% 24
Total D 61% 311 B- 6.9% 74

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 334 16.9 105
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 165 0.18 207
Consistency 0.11 55 0.14 303
Improvement +1.7 108 -0.1 186

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 323 323 323
Results Rating Rank 341 341 341
Conference Record 7 - 9 7 - 9 7 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 47 - 98 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 76 @Marquette L 53 - 80 3% -13  3% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -20 F B F B+ +6 B- A- A-
 Sat, Nov 8 196 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 14% -7  15% 0 - 2 F -20 F -17 F C F C- -2 A F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 136 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 9% -6  28% 0 - 3 D- -15 D -5 F A+ F+ F -11 B+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 194 @Siena L 63 - 73 14% -8  0% 0 - 4 D -9 C- -2 A+ F D F+ -9 D F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 256 Colgate L 67 - 69 31% +2  67% 0 - 5 D+ -7 D- -7 B F+ F C -1 D C+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 153 Fordham L 68 - 88 16% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 C- -1 D- B- A- F -19 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 6 200 @Columbia L 65 - 93 15% -9  18% 0 - 7 F -27 F+ -9 D- F C+ F -18 F+ F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 87 Yale L 82 - 93 7% -6  26% 0 - 8 C- -4 C+ +3 A F A+ D- -7 C C+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 128 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 8% -20  0% 0 - 9 F -21 D+ -4 B F+ D F -14 F C D+
 Wed, Dec 17 228 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 18% +8  85% 1 - 9 A- +15 C +1 A+ F D A+ +16 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 162 Cornell L 75 - 83 24% +0  42% 1 - 10 D -11 C+ +3 B+ C C- F -15 C- F F+
 Tue, Dec 30 94 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 5% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -20 C+ +3 F A+ F F -26 F F C
 Sat, Jan 3 315 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 36% -10  4% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -19 D -5 F+ C+ F+ F -14 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 354 Bryant W 71 - 46 76% +13  98% 2 - 12 1 - 1 B- +7 C+ +4 A F C- A +9 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 15 358 Binghamton W 69 - 53 81% +5  80% 3 - 12 2 - 1 C- -4 F+ -9 C- D+ F A- +7 A C D-
 Mon, Jan 19 234 Vermont W 75 - 68 39% +3  61% 4 - 12 3 - 1 C -1 C- -2 B- F C C+ +2 C+ C B+
 Thu, Jan 22 345 @Maine L 49 - 52 50% +4  79% 4 - 13 3 - 2 D- -13 F -15 F D D- C+ +1 A- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 349 @New Hampshire L 72 - 80 53% -3  33% 4 - 14 3 - 3 F -19 C- -1 B C+ F F -19 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 29 333 NJIT L 68 - 77 67% -5  9% 4 - 15 3 - 4 F -24 F+ -9 F C- C F -15 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 186 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 68 28% +3  70% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D+ -7 D -6 D A- F C- -2 D- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 354 @Bryant W 65 - 63 56% -5  1% 5 - 16 4 - 5 D -10 D -6 B+ F D- D+ -4 F D- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 315 Umass Lowell L 79 - 89 59% -5  18% 5 - 17 4 - 6 F -23 D+ -3 D C+ B+ F -20 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 358 @Binghamton W 77 - 74 62% +5  96% 6 - 17 5 - 6 D -11 D+ -4 C- D+ F D- -7 C- D- F
 Thu, Feb 19 333 @NJIT W 81 - 63 44% +1  44% 7 - 17 6 - 6 B +9 A+ +18 A+ A+ C D -6 B- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 186 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 66 13% -1  41% 7 - 18 6 - 7 C- -2 C- -2 A F+ F C -1 C+ D+ F+
 Thu, Feb 26 345 Maine L 59 - 70 72% -7  0% 7 - 19 6 - 8 F -27 F+ -10 C- B F F -19 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 349 New Hampshire W 84 - 61 74% +19  90% 8 - 19 7 - 8 B- +6 B +6 A A F C+ +1 B D+ C+
 Tue, Mar 3 234 @Vermont L 56 - 69 20% -4  26% 8 - 20 7 - 9 D- -15 F -12 D+ D+ F D+ -5 C+ D- D-
 Sat, Mar 7 315 @Umass Lowell L 76 - 81 36% +4  65% 8 - 21 D- -12 C -0 D A D F -12 C- F D-
Totals 8 - 21 7 - 9 -10 D+ -4 C+ C- C+ D- -6 D+ D- F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C+ D+ C- 39% 36% 41% C+ C- C+ D+ C F+ F D- F D- C C+ D C- 41% 18% 41% D+ D+ D- F F D C- D C-
1.03 58% 40% 32% -1 0 1.00 32% 1.0 .30 20% .23 67% .15 1.18 58% 37% 36% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.2 .42 14% .31 75% .17
Nov
3		 Marquette F F F F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ C+ B F C- D C- B+ C+ F A+ B 49% 6% 45% C- B- F A+ A- A- F C- F
0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19 1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43
Nov
8		 Massachusetts F C- F F F 40% 10% 50% B F D+ A C F B D C+ C- B- D A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% F+ A F F F C- F D F
0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29 1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Rhode Island D F A+ F F 37% 15% 48% C+ F A+ A A+ F+ F F+ F F B B+ A- A- 51% 12% 37% F+ B+ F F F F F F F
0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18 1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44
Nov
21		 Siena C- B A- A+ A+ 46% 32% 22% D+ A+ F F F D A F C+ F+ C- C- C- D+ 54% 26% 20% F D F F+ F B- F F F
1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20 1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
28		 Colgate D- C- A A+ B 43% 21% 36% C B D F F+ F F F F C D B F+ D 31% 21% 48% C D C B C+ D+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02 1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05
Nov
29		 Fordham C- F A+ F D- 34% 25% 41% C D- A+ F B- A- D A+ C- F F F D F 43% 20% 37% D+ F F F F B+ F B+ F
1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17 1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 +1 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26
Dec
6		 Columbia F+ A A+ F D 29% 31% 41% F D- C F F C+ A+ F+ A F F F B- F 35% 25% 40% A F+ F F F F+ F+ F F
0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30 1.35 72% 54% 33% +8 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28
Dec
10		 Yale C+ C B A+ A+ 37% 24% 39% C- A F A- F A+ B F F D- D+ A+ D+ B- 60% 10% 31% F C F+ A C+ D+ F C F
1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11 1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41
Dec
13		 Florida Atlantic D+ C A B+ B+ 40% 23% 37% D+ B F C F+ D C F D F D+ F F F 37% 13% 50% D F C+ D C D+ C A+ B-
0.97 57% 46% 38% +3 0 1.09 16% 1.0 .16 18% .30 60% .18 1.29 64% 75% 47% +16 +1 1.37 30% 1.1 .33 16% .31 62% .19
Dec
17		 Stony Brook C A+ F A A 43% 9% 48% A- A+ C- F F D B- F F A+ A A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- B B
1.09 75% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.28 30% 0.4 .12 18% .34 44% .15 0.84 42% 30% 26% -13 +1 0.77 17% 0.4 .07 11% .22 69% .15
Dec
21		 Cornell C+ D+ B+ A+ A- 47% 22% 31% C- B+ B+ F C C- F C F F A+ A+ F D- 20% 18% 62% A+ C- F F F F+ C+ B- B-
1.24 57% 45% 53% +10 0 1.22 38% 0.9 .34 15% .14 71% .10 1.37 44% 25% 50% +10 -1 1.20 45% 1.4 .65 13% .27 71% .19
Dec
30		 South Carolina C+ C+ F+ F F 46% 35% 19% D F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ D- F F C- F F 31% 15% 54% C- F F F F C C+ F D
1.05 59% 29% 0% -12 -1 0.75 47% 1.5 .72 23% .16 88% .14 1.50 87% 43% 50% +23 0 1.48 38% 1.4 .52 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
3		 Umass Lowell D D+ F F+ F 54% 15% 31% B F+ C B C+ F+ D F F+ F C B- B- C- 53% 22% 25% D C- F F F F C F+ C-
1.06 55% 25% 29% -6 +2 0.94 31% 1.3 .40 16% .23 62% .14 1.24 56% 36% 31% -3 +1 0.98 50% 1.3 .64 13% .29 71% .21
Jan
10		 Bryant C+ A A+ B- A 55% 9% 36% B+ A A- F F C- C F+ D+ A A+ D- A+ A+ 23% 12% 65% B A+ F D- F F F+ A+ C-
1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20 0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
15		 Binghamton F+ F+ A A+ C 38% 25% 38% D- C- A- F D+ F F A+ F+ A- A+ B- B+ A+ 43% 22% 35% D+ A D- A C D- B+ C B
1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18 0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23
Jan
19		 Vermont C- C D+ A C+ 38% 18% 44% B B- F+ F F C A C+ A C+ C- A+ C- B- 41% 14% 45% D C+ B- F+ C B+ C C- C
1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30 1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20
Jan
22		 Maine F C C+ F F 40% 11% 49% B F C- D- D D- F F F C+ F+ A+ A+ A 47% 21% 33% D+ A- B- C C+ F D F F+
0.86 61% 40% 14% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11 0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26
Jan
24		 New Hampshire C- A B C- B+ 49% 22% 29% C+ B A+ F C+ F A+ B- A+ F D+ C+ F F 25% 6% 69% C F D+ F F D+ D- F F
1.11 70% 44% 33% +7 +1 1.17 42% 0.8 .33 25% .47 78% .37 1.23 58% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.15 28% 1.8 .48 17% .31 88% .28
Jan
29		 NJIT F+ D- F+ F F 44% 13% 43% B F D B C- C F F F F C+ F A D- 37% 25% 37% C- D- F F F F B- F C-
1.01 50% 29% 26% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 15% .24 64% .16 1.14 53% 62% 26% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.3 .44 13% .27 81% .22
Jan
31		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D C F D- D- 39% 14% 47% C+ D B+ B+ A- F F F F C- B+ F F D+ 54% 12% 34% F D- B+ A+ A+ D+ F D- F
1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08 1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Bryant D B+ F A+ B 52% 12% 36% B B+ F F F D- F F F D+ C+ F F F 43% 5% 52% F F C- F D- A+ A+ D- A+
1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06 1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09
Feb
7		 Umass Lowell D+ D A D D 49% 20% 31% C D D- A+ C+ B+ A+ F A F F A- F F 46% 28% 26% B F F+ F F D+ F F+ F
1.14 52% 50% 31% -2 +1 1.00 25% 1.6 .41 10% .42 62% .26 1.28 67% 31% 50% +8 0 1.17 38% 1.6 .62 17% .54 71% .38
Feb
14		 Binghamton D+ C- D- B+ C- 42% 13% 44% C+ C- C D- D+ F A+ B+ A+ D- C+ C+ D- D+ 32% 28% 40% B+ C- B F D- F F D- F
1.12 58% 33% 40% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 19% .54 77% .41 1.08 53% 38% 37% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.4 .22 16% .50 79% .40
Feb
19		 NJIT A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C+ A+ A+ C A+ C C+ A- B D C- A- A+ B 50% 20% 30% F B- F F+ F F C A B-
1.36 55% 33% 62% +9 +1 1.23 50% 1.1 .53 15% .36 78% .28 1.06 56% 30% 20% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.0 .39 12% .30 63% .19
Feb
21		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C- C- A+ A+ A- 53% 13% 34% A- A F+ D+ F+ F F B+ F C B A+ F B- 44% 17% 38% F+ C+ F B+ D+ F+ B- C B-
1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06 1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19
Feb
26		 Maine F+ A+ C+ F D+ 40% 13% 48% B C- C+ A- B F D+ D+ D F F+ F F F 43% 13% 43% F+ F A- A+ A F A B+ A
0.98 75% 40% 21% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.2 .46 28% .28 67% .19 1.16 65% 67% 45% +14 +1 1.33 12% 0.7 .08 13% .23 58% .13
Feb
28		 New Hampshire B A- A+ B+ A 44% 15% 40% B- A A+ C+ A F F F F C+ B+ A A- B+ 39% 8% 53% D B F B+ D+ C+ F A+ F
1.25 70% 63% 38% +11 +1 1.27 43% 1.1 .46 19% .20 64% .13 0.91 47% 25% 27% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.7 .26 19% .46 52% .24
Mar
3		 Vermont F A+ F D C- 24% 28% 48% D- D+ C+ F+ D+ F F D+ F D+ A- F C C+ 33% 17% 50% C C+ C- F D- D- F C F
0.92 82% 23% 32% 0 -2 0.98 28% 0.9 .24 21% .15 71% .10 1.13 50% 57% 33% 0 0 1.02 25% 1.3 .31 13% .47 72% .34
Mar
7		 Umass Lowell C F+ D- B- D- 44% 16% 40% C D A C A D F F F F B+ A+ F C+ 54% 10% 36% F C- F+ F F D- D+ F F+
1.13 50% 33% 36% -3 +1 0.98 43% 1.2 .50 15% .09 40% .03 1.20 48% 20% 39% -5 +2 0.98 38% 1.5 .56 16% .32 78% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%