Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#225
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#222
Pace65.9#257
Improvement+1.8#111

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#276
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#337
Layup/Dunks-0.7#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#299
Freethrows+1.9#60
Improvement+2.6#54

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#154
First Shot+1.1#137
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#245
Layups/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#266
Freethrows+0.7#143
Improvement-0.8#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 34 - 54 - 12
Quad 48 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 28   @ San Diego St. L 57-83 5%     0 - 1 -10.5 -10.9 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2023 55   @ Central Florida L 44-72 8%     0 - 2 -15.8 -18.2 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2023 108   Cornell L 70-88 23%     0 - 3 -13.6 -9.8 -2.0
  Nov 20, 2023 230   Southern Miss W 74-67 51%     1 - 3 +3.5 +8.7 -4.5
  Nov 26, 2023 27   @ Nebraska L 72-85 5%     1 - 4 +2.6 +9.8 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2023 232   North Dakota W 64-54 61%     2 - 4 +3.9 -4.3 +9.6
  Dec 06, 2023 196   @ Pepperdine W 60-55 35%     3 - 4 +5.6 -8.5 +14.5
  Dec 09, 2023 302   @ Sacramento St. W 62-60 58%     4 - 4 -3.3 -7.8 +4.7
  Dec 17, 2023 45   @ Boise St. L 65-88 7%     4 - 5 -9.6 +2.3 -13.0
  Dec 20, 2023 353   Pacific W 67-56 90%     5 - 5 -6.6 -9.1 +3.4
  Dec 28, 2023 160   Long Beach St. L 71-81 46%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -12.3 -8.0 -3.8
  Dec 30, 2023 159   @ Hawaii W 63-61 OT 28%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +4.9 -6.2 +11.1
  Jan 04, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 67-75 12%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +1.7 +4.2 -2.9
  Jan 06, 2024 120   UC San Diego L 58-76 36%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -17.5 -10.3 -9.4
  Jan 13, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge L 71-76 41%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -5.8 -3.6 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2024 165   UC Davis L 65-67 48%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -4.7 -3.8 -1.0
  Jan 20, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara W 73-69 36%     7 - 10 2 - 5 +4.5 +4.1 +0.7
  Jan 25, 2024 329   @ Cal Poly W 54-51 70%     8 - 10 3 - 5 -5.7 -12.8 +7.6
  Jan 27, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-50 60%     9 - 10 4 - 5 +12.1 -2.8 +15.8
  Feb 01, 2024 159   Hawaii L 68-76 46%     9 - 11 4 - 6 -10.3 -2.1 -8.6
  Feb 08, 2024 165   @ UC Davis L 58-71 29%     9 - 12 4 - 7 -10.5 -12.3 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-73 40%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -2.7 +2.0 -4.8
  Feb 15, 2024 202   UC Riverside L 73-81 56%     9 - 14 4 - 9 -12.8 -3.6 -9.1
  Feb 17, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego L 69-76 20%     9 - 15 4 - 10 -1.3 +3.9 -6.0
  Feb 22, 2024 329   Cal Poly W 68-50 84%     10 - 15 5 - 10 +4.1 +1.3 +5.6
  Feb 24, 2024 229   Cal St. Northridge L 60-65 61%     10 - 16 5 - 11 -11.0 -10.8 -0.5
  Feb 29, 2024 160   @ Long Beach St. W 76-71 28%     11 - 16 6 - 11 +7.9 +4.9 +3.0
  Mar 02, 2024 198   UC Santa Barbara W 79-70 56%     12 - 16 7 - 11 +4.3 +2.6 +1.7
  Mar 07, 2024 202   @ UC Riverside L 74-84 36%     12 - 17 7 - 12 -9.6 -4.0 -5.0
  Mar 09, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 71-81 23%     12 - 18 7 - 13 -5.5 +4.6 -10.5
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%