Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#113
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#117
Pace70.3#119
Improvement+0.2#170

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#128
First Shot+1.9#127
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks+1.9#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#74
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement-3.0#322

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#123
First Shot+2.3#107
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#232
Layups/Dunks+3.2#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
Freethrows-0.2#208
Improvement+3.3#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 8
Quad 24 - 46 - 12
Quad 35 - 511 - 17
Quad 42 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 157   St. Thomas W 71-66 72%     1 - 0 +2.7 +7.6 -4.1
  Nov 10, 2023 353   Pacific L 79-87 96%     1 - 1 -25.6 -4.2 -21.2
  Nov 13, 2023 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 83-63 82%     2 - 1 +14.1 +11.7 +3.1
  Nov 16, 2023 214   Montana St. L 60-63 80%     2 - 2 -8.4 -9.0 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2023 171   UTEP L 72-75 66%     2 - 3 -3.6 +5.3 -9.0
  Nov 22, 2023 132   Tulane L 81-84 55%     2 - 4 -0.7 -1.7 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2023 28   San Diego St. L 67-76 OT 19%     2 - 5 +3.9 -0.2 +4.5
  Dec 02, 2023 107   Santa Clara W 84-69 56%     3 - 5 +17.0 +14.9 +2.7
  Dec 09, 2023 63   @ Butler L 90-97 2OT 22%     3 - 6 +4.6 +6.3 -0.4
  Dec 16, 2023 83   Mississippi L 78-88 38%     3 - 7 -3.2 +6.3 -9.4
  Dec 20, 2023 120   UC San Diego W 71-67 62%     4 - 7 +4.5 -1.6 +6.2
  Dec 29, 2023 5   Arizona L 81-100 11%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -2.1 +3.0 -2.2
  Dec 31, 2023 118   Arizona St. L 69-71 62%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -1.4 -7.2 +6.0
  Jan 03, 2024 76   @ USC L 74-82 28%     4 - 10 0 - 3 +1.8 +5.2 -3.2
  Jan 06, 2024 93   @ UCLA W 66-57 31%     5 - 10 1 - 3 +17.8 +5.2 +13.4
  Jan 10, 2024 29   Colorado W 82-78 26%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +14.2 +17.8 -3.4
  Jan 13, 2024 54   @ Oregon L 73-80 20%     6 - 11 2 - 4 +5.3 +4.9 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2024 65   Washington L 75-77 40%     6 - 12 2 - 5 +4.2 +3.6 +0.6
  Jan 20, 2024 39   Washington St. W 81-75 OT 31%     7 - 12 3 - 5 +14.8 +10.1 +4.4
  Jan 26, 2024 98   Stanford W 73-71 53%     8 - 12 4 - 5 +4.8 -5.0 +9.6
  Feb 01, 2024 5   @ Arizona L 65-91 5%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -3.9 -5.0 +3.9
  Feb 03, 2024 118   @ Arizona St. W 81-66 42%     9 - 13 5 - 6 +20.8 +17.1 +4.4
  Feb 07, 2024 76   USC W 83-77 OT 46%     10 - 13 6 - 6 +10.7 +7.9 +2.4
  Feb 10, 2024 93   UCLA L 60-61 50%     10 - 14 6 - 7 +2.6 -2.6 +5.0
  Feb 15, 2024 39   @ Washington St. L 65-84 17%     10 - 15 6 - 8 -5.0 +2.3 -8.1
  Feb 17, 2024 65   @ Washington W 82-80 23%     11 - 15 7 - 8 +13.4 +7.2 +6.0
  Feb 22, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 81-73 66%     12 - 15 8 - 8 +7.3 +12.3 -4.5
  Feb 24, 2024 54   Oregon W 69-64 37%     13 - 15 9 - 8 +12.1 +0.3 +12.0
  Feb 28, 2024 29   @ Colorado L 78-88 14%     13 - 16 9 - 9 +5.4 +4.6 +1.7
  Mar 02, 2024 47   @ Utah L 59-88 18%     13 - 17 9 - 10 -15.7 -7.5 -8.0
  Mar 07, 2024 98   @ Stanford L 58-80 34%     13 - 18 9 - 11 -14.0 -14.4 +1.6
  Mar 13, 2024 98   Stanford L 76-87 OT 43%     13 - 19 -5.6 -1.4 -3.2
Projected Record 13 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%