Pre-tourney Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.5 275
Results Rating -7.0 278
Consistency 0.11 11
Pace 77.1 14
Improvement +0.6 158

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 233 D- C- B- B+ D
Defense D+ 295 D+ D- C C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 278 D 53% 297 -3.5 307
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 83 D- 32% 335 +0.6 145
Three Pointers 38% 229 C- 32% 252 -2.2 252
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 302 D -4.2 320
1st FG Attempt D- 0.92 328
Second Chance D 26.0% 300 B- 1.09 90 C- 0.28 239
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 275
Other Turnovers A 4.8% 4
Turnovers B- 15.2% 89
Freethrows B 0.34 73 B+ 77% 24 B+ 0.26 37
Total Offense C- -2.3 233

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 168 D 13.3% 319
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 134 C 5.2% 205
Three Pointers C- 81% 251 C- 1.1% 264
Total C 54% 198 D+ 6.5% 291


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 110 C- 60% 222 +2.4 259
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 360 F+ 44% 345 -2.1 30
Three Pointers 45% 51 C+ 33% 141 +1.8 280
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.2 353 C- +0.9 217
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 257
Second Chance D 33.9% 315 D 1.12 306 D- 0.38 332
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 143
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 252
Turnovers C 16.7% 176
Freethrows C- 0.32 237 C 72% 177 C- 0.23 235
Total Defense D+ -4.2 295

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 59% 351 C- 9.2% 237
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 304 F+ 0.7% 359
Three Pointers C- 85% 216 C- 0.8% 184
Total D- 64% 344 D+ 4.2% 289

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 72 16.4 29
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 92 0.19 255
Consistency 0.13 238 0.11 71
Improvement +1.1 136 -0.4 208

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 275 275 275
Results Rating Rank 278 278 278
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 132 - 19
Quad 45 - 27 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 11 144 UC Santa Barbara L 87 - 92 34% -6  10% 0 - 1 D+ -7 B- +5 B+ C+ C- F -12 D+ C- F
 Fri, Nov 14 174 @UC Davis L 73 - 77 21% +2  54% 0 - 2 C- -2 D+ -2 D- C+ C C+ +1 B+ F+ C
 Sun, Nov 16 266 Presbyterian W 64 - 62 59% -4  11% 1 - 2 D+ -7 F -11 F A F B +5 A B+ D-
 Tue, Nov 18 26 @UCLA L 48 - 79 2% -19  0% 1 - 3 D- -12 F -21 F C- C+ A +9 A- F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 74 @California L 67 - 91 6% -18  4% 1 - 4 D- -13 D- -7 F B- B D+ -4 F B- B-
 Sat, Nov 29 118 @Pacific L 54 - 68 12% -6  7% 1 - 5 D+ -8 F -18 F C- C- A +10 B- B+ B+
 Tue, Dec 2 46 @Baylor L 88 - 110 3% -7  33% 1 - 6 D+ -7 B+ +10 F A+ C F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Dec 20 112 @California Baptist L 67 - 74 12% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -1 C +0 F A+ C- C -1 A F B
 Mon, Dec 22 178 @Cal St. Northridge L 88 - 100 21% -4  18% 1 - 8 D -10 C +1 D- D- A+ F+ -10 F A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 1 265 @Idaho St. L 84 - 97 35% -10  3% 1 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -16 D -6 F B C- D- -8 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 210 @Weber St. L 82 - 95 26% -10  1% 1 - 10 0 - 2 D- -13 D+ -3 C D F+ D- -8 D F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 159 @Portland St. L 69 - 96 18% -14  13% 1 - 11 0 - 3 F -24 D+ -3 F F A+ F -20 F B+ D-
 Thu, Jan 15 316 Northern Arizona W 83 - 69 72% +1  43% 2 - 11 1 - 3 C +1 C+ +3 D- A+ A+ C -1 D B- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 154 Northern Colorado W 93 - 89 OT 35% -7  7% 3 - 11 2 - 3 C +1 C+ +3 C B- B C- -2 D+ B C+
 Thu, Jan 22 160 @Idaho L 76 - 86 18% -7  3% 3 - 12 2 - 4 D+ -7 C +1 F A B D- -7 F B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 175 @Eastern Washington L 67 - 75 21% -7  1% 3 - 13 2 - 5 D+ -6 D -5 F C- D C- -2 A- F D-
 Thu, Jan 29 140 Montana St. W 83 - 80 33% +3  68% 4 - 13 3 - 5 C +1 B- +4 A+ F C D+ -3 C+ D B
 Sat, Jan 31 199 Montana W 86 - 79 44% +8  86% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C+ +2 B +7 A+ F C+ D -5 B+ F B
 Mon, Feb 2 210 Weber St. W 104 - 90 47% +12  88% 6 - 13 5 - 5 B +8 A +13 A+ F+ D D -6 C F D
 Sat, Feb 7 159 Portland St. L 73 - 74 36% +1  53% 6 - 14 5 - 6 C- -4 C+ +2 D D- A+ D -6 A+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 12 154 @Northern Colorado L 79 - 95 18% -10  0% 6 - 15 5 - 7 D- -13 D -5 F+ F+ B D -5 F B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 316 @Northern Arizona L 74 - 79 51% -10  0% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D- -12 F+ -8 F+ D+ D D+ -3 F A C
 Thu, Feb 19 175 Eastern Washington L 94 - 102 41% -13  0% 6 - 17 5 - 9 D- -12 A- +10 B B+ A+ F -22 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 160 Idaho L 80 - 86 36% -3  6% 6 - 18 5 - 10 D -9 C +0 C- F A- F+ -9 D+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 26 199 @Montana L 73 - 81 24% -8  0% 6 - 19 5 - 11 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C A- D+ -4 D C- D
 Sat, Feb 28 140 @Montana St. L 61 - 82 16% -9  0% 6 - 20 5 - 12 F+ -17 F+ -9 F F A+ F+ -9 F+ F A-
 Mon, Mar 2 265 Idaho St. W 83 - 65 58% +13  90% 7 - 20 6 - 12 B +9 C +1 A- F B- A- +8 A B+ C
 Sat, Mar 7 160 Idaho L 45 - 68 26% -13  1% 7 - 21 F -23 F -29 F F B- B+ +6 A+ F B-
Totals 7 - 21 6 - 12 -6 C- -2 F D D D+ -4 C- B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D D- C- D 35% 47% 38% D D- D B- C- B- B B+ B+ D+ C- F+ C+ C- 41% 13% 45% D- D+ D D D- C C- C C-
1.05 53% 32% 32% -4 -1 0.92 26% 1.1 .28 15% .34 77% .26 1.15 60% 44% 33% +1 +1 1.06 34% 1.1 .38 17% .32 72% .24
Nov
11		 UC Santa Barbara B- C- A+ A+ A- 40% 27% 33% D+ B+ D+ A+ C+ C- B- F C- F B B F D+ 44% 17% 39% D D+ B- F+ C- F F C+ F+
1.19 57% 57% 41% +8 -1 1.17 24% 1.4 .32 16% .37 65% .24 1.25 54% 33% 48% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.2 .34 11% .38 76% .29
Nov
14		 UC Davis D+ D- C- D- F+ 52% 22% 26% C D- C B C+ C B- A B+ C+ C- F A+ A 41% 8% 51% F B+ C F F+ C F D+ F
1.01 50% 36% 31% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.1 .34 19% .36 81% .29 1.06 60% 50% 24% -6 +2 0.94 26% 1.3 .34 18% .45 78% .35
Nov
16		 Presbyterian F D A+ F F 61% 16% 23% B+ F B- A+ A F A+ B A+ B C A A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A D A+ B+ D- D- A- C-
0.96 52% 57% 10% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.3 .43 26% .51 72% .36 0.93 57% 29% 16% -13 +1 0.80 35% 0.7 .25 17% .38 62% .23
Nov
18		 UCLA F F F F F 26% 28% 47% D- F C C- C- C+ A+ F A+ A C- C- A A 42% 24% 34% D- A- C F F A+ F A+ D-
0.68 42% 23% 9% -26 -2 0.47 28% 0.9 .26 18% .52 63% .33 1.12 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 21% .43 67% .29
Nov
21		 California D- F F F+ F 35% 24% 41% D+ F A- D B- B A+ A+ A+ D+ D F D- F 32% 11% 58% F+ F C- A- B- B- B- A+ A+
0.89 26% 23% 27% -19 -1 0.63 36% 0.9 .32 15% .47 80% .37 1.21 67% 83% 39% +12 +1 1.28 29% 0.9 .26 16% .30 53% .16
Nov
29		 Pacific F D+ F F F 34% 29% 38% C F D- A C- C- F A+ D- A A- B- D B- 36% 15% 49% D+ B- C A B+ B+ A+ C A+
0.76 53% 13% 19% -18 -1 0.64 18% 1.3 .23 16% .20 92% .18 0.96 47% 38% 38% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .27 23% .15 75% .11
Dec
2		 Baylor B+ A+ F D- F+ 8% 45% 47% F F A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 33% 35% 33% B- F F F F B- F C- F
1.16 75% 30% 29% -6 -5 0.80 45% 1.4 .62 17% .48 87% .41 1.45 100% 65% 25% +19 -2 1.35 61% 1.4 .82 16% .58 76% .44
Dec
20		 California Baptist C F A+ F F 22% 35% 44% F F A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ F C A+ F B A+ 61% 9% 30% F A F+ F F B F C+ F
0.99 17% 58% 21% -11 -3 0.75 38% 1.4 .51 16% .11 83% .09 1.10 33% 50% 31% -16 +3 0.77 43% 1.3 .55 19% .55 70% .38
Dec
22		 Cal St. Northridge C F B D D 32% 32% 35% F D- F A+ D- A+ A- A+ A+ F+ D+ F D- F 50% 9% 41% F+ F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.08 48% 43% 30% -4 -2 0.91 15% 1.5 .23 10% .37 89% .33 1.23 62% 80% 38% +8 +2 1.22 25% 0.7 .17 13% .43 77% .33
Jan
1		 Idaho St. D F A D- F 37% 31% 31% F F D+ A+ B C- A+ D A+ D- A- D F F 37% 12% 51% C- F A- F C F F B- D-
1.04 35% 53% 29% -6 -1 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .54 73% .39 1.20 48% 43% 48% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.2 .32 12% .38 70% .27
Jan
3		 Weber St. D+ A+ F B+ B 21% 37% 42% F C C F D F+ A- F C D- A- C- F D- 49% 16% 35% D+ D D F F C- F D F
1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24 1.23 48% 38% 50% +3 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40
Jan
10		 Portland St. D+ C C+ F F+ 29% 38% 33% F F F F F A+ B+ B+ A F F F F F 50% 9% 41% F F F A+ B+ D- C- F D-
0.95 56% 38% 17% -9 -3 0.78 17% 0.6 .10 7% .42 79% .33 1.33 70% 60% 45% +15 +2 1.37 42% 0.5 .23 15% .33 80% .26
Jan
15		 Northern Arizona C+ F C- A+ D- 37% 21% 42% D D- D- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ C B F C- D+ 48% 17% 35% F D F A+ B- B+ C+ F C-
1.25 37% 36% 45% -1 0 1.00 27% 2.0 .55 11% .34 90% .30 1.04 52% 63% 35% +2 +1 1.08 32% 0.6 .21 20% .24 77% .19
Jan
17		 Northern Colorado C+ A D C- B- 26% 27% 47% F C B- C+ B- B A+ D+ A+ C- F C- A- D+ 41% 16% 43% C- D+ B B- B C+ B F C+
1.16 69% 35% 31% 0 -2 0.98 30% 1.2 .34 10% .47 74% .35 1.11 77% 40% 30% +5 +1 1.14 24% 1.0 .24 17% .20 85% .17
Jan
22		 Idaho C D+ F F F 52% 31% 17% C+ F A B+ A B F A+ B- D- F A+ F F 37% 8% 56% F+ F B- A- B C+ B- F D+
1.06 53% 28% 10% -12 0 0.78 35% 1.2 .42 13% .27 100% .27 1.20 68% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 26% 0.9 .23 17% .27 88% .23
Jan
24		 Eastern Washington D D+ F D+ F 41% 18% 41% C F F A+ C- D A+ A+ A+ C- C- A+ A A 44% 14% 42% F+ A- D+ F F D- D+ F D-
1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45 1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27
Jan
29		 Montana St. B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 30% 30% D- A+ F F F C D+ B- C- D+ A+ F F C+ 26% 20% 54% C- C+ F+ B- D B F B+ D-
1.16 59% 63% 50% +15 -1 1.30 11% 0.7 .07 15% .23 79% .18 1.11 29% 55% 41% +2 -1 1.04 34% 1.0 .34 18% .32 68% .22
Jan
31		 Montana B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C A+ D- F F C+ A C- A- D A+ F D- A+ 59% 4% 37% F B+ F F F B F C F+
1.19 79% 9% 48% +10 0 1.23 24% 0.5 .12 14% .39 71% .27 1.09 45% 50% 39% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.6 .56 22% .37 76% .28
Feb
2		 Weber St. A A F+ A+ A+ 42% 21% 38% C- A+ D F F+ D A+ B+ A+ D D+ F+ A C+ 47% 12% 42% D C C+ F F D C+ D C
1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44 1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24
Feb
7		 Portland St. C+ F F A+ D 33% 26% 41% D D F+ C- D- A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ C- A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ F F F F+ F F F
1.07 40% 17% 42% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.0 .21 12% .50 83% .41 1.08 42% 38% 21% -15 +1 0.75 44% 1.2 .51 15% .45 77% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Northern Colorado D F C F+ F 39% 17% 44% C- F+ F C F+ B A+ A A+ D F F D+ F 45% 6% 48% F F B- A B+ C+ B D+ B-
0.99 43% 40% 27% -10 +1 0.83 17% 1.1 .20 10% .43 84% .36 1.20 79% 50% 37% +12 +2 1.31 24% 0.9 .21 18% .20 77% .15
Feb
14		 Northern Arizona F+ A- B F F 45% 14% 41% C+ F+ D+ C- D+ D A+ B+ A+ D+ F F A- F 39% 9% 52% F F D+ A+ A C F B- F
1.04 68% 43% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.1 .34 18% .45 77% .34 1.11 72% 100% 29% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.5 .13 17% .56 64% .36
Feb
19		 Eastern Washington A- A A+ F B+ 44% 27% 29% D B C+ A B+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F F F F 43% 8% 49% F F F F F D+ F A+ D
1.29 70% 57% 27% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.4 .45 10% .47 74% .35 1.40 68% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.4 .62 16% .44 59% .26
Feb
21		 Idaho C A+ F D+ C 29% 33% 37% D- C- F F F A- A+ A+ A+ F+ A- A+ F D+ 35% 10% 54% D D+ F C- F A+ F D+ F
1.09 73% 29% 32% 0 -2 0.98 14% 0.4 .06 11% .51 85% .43 1.17 47% 20% 42% +1 +1 1.06 44% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35
Feb
26		 Montana D+ D F F F 48% 19% 33% B F D A- C A- C- A- C D+ F B+ D+ D- 33% 12% 55% D+ D A F C- D D D D-
1.01 54% 9% 26% -11 +1 0.81 26% 1.2 .30 11% .28 78% .22 1.12 75% 33% 37% +7 +1 1.18 14% 1.8 .24 18% .34 80% .27
Feb
28		 Montana St. F+ F D- B- F 42% 22% 36% C- F F A+ F A+ C+ F D+ F+ F A- D+ D- 28% 12% 60% F F+ F F F A- B- A+ A+
0.92 30% 33% 35% -12 0 0.78 10% 1.8 .18 5% .27 65% .17 1.24 79% 33% 37% +8 0 1.18 45% 1.4 .61 20% .22 42% .09
Mar
2		 Idaho St. C A+ D- A A 46% 21% 33% C A- F F F B- B C+ B+ A- C- F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% D A A C B+ C D- B- D
1.19 75% 36% 41% +11 +1 1.25 15% 0.8 .12 13% .38 78% .30 0.93 58% 50% 21% -10 +2 0.85 26% 1.0 .26 17% .36 71% .26
Mar
7		 Idaho F F F F F 38% 34% 28% D F F F F B- D+ C D+ B+ A- A A+ A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ F+ D- F B- D- D F+
0.65 32% 24% 21% -20 -2 0.58 16% 0.3 .05 13% .32 74% .23 0.98 47% 25% 25% -13 0 0.77 34% 1.1 .39 17% .35 75% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%