Pre-tourney Rankings
Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#302
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#310
Pace61.9#337
Improvement+4.4#32

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#298
First Shot-4.8#304
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks-4.1#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#132
Freethrows+0.6#130
Improvement+1.0#128

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#257
First Shot-2.8#274
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#192
Layups/Dunks+0.4#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#271
Freethrows-1.0#258
Improvement+3.4#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 104 - 12
Quad 44 - 128 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 41   @ Nevada L 63-77 3%     0 - 1 -0.1 -1.8 +1.3
  Nov 10, 2023 98   @ Stanford L 73-91 8%     0 - 2 -10.0 +3.5 -13.5
  Nov 17, 2023 132   @ Tulane L 57-92 12%     0 - 3 -30.1 -18.0 -10.6
  Nov 20, 2023 227   Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-75 33%     0 - 4 -7.3 +2.0 -9.6
  Nov 22, 2023 222   Austin Peay L 71-74 32%     0 - 5 -6.1 -7.6 +1.6
  Nov 26, 2023 165   @ UC Davis W 69-63 17%     1 - 5 +8.5 -0.9 +9.3
  Dec 02, 2023 160   @ Long Beach St. L 73-83 16%     1 - 6 -7.1 -1.7 -5.1
  Dec 09, 2023 225   Cal St. Fullerton L 60-62 42%     1 - 7 -7.9 -9.1 +1.1
  Dec 18, 2023 120   UC San Diego L 52-83 21%     1 - 8 -30.5 -21.1 -10.8
  Dec 28, 2023 320   @ Idaho L 58-61 45%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -9.7 -10.4 +0.4
  Dec 30, 2023 152   @ Eastern Washington L 61-87 15%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -22.5 -12.9 -10.1
  Jan 03, 2024 217   UMKC W 67-64 41%     2 - 10 -2.5 -2.4 +0.0
  Jan 06, 2024 157   @ St. Thomas L 50-63 16%     2 - 11 -10.1 -12.4 -0.3
  Jan 11, 2024 162   Weber St. W 71-69 30%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -0.4 +5.6 -5.7
  Jan 13, 2024 254   Idaho St. W 66-64 49%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -5.6 +4.7 -9.8
  Jan 18, 2024 206   @ Northern Colorado L 75-77 22%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -1.8 +9.5 -11.5
  Jan 20, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona L 61-70 42%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -14.9 -11.8 -3.4
  Jan 25, 2024 214   Montana St. L 62-70 40%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -13.4 -6.1 -8.2
  Jan 27, 2024 158   Montana L 67-70 30%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -5.3 -0.7 -5.1
  Feb 03, 2024 253   @ Portland St. L 51-58 29%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -9.2 -6.2 -5.0
  Feb 05, 2024 320   Idaho L 45-61 65%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -27.9 -20.8 -11.5
  Feb 08, 2024 254   @ Idaho St. L 40-68 30%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -30.4 -26.7 -9.1
  Feb 10, 2024 162   @ Weber St. L 53-58 16%     4 - 19 2 - 10 -2.2 -7.4 +4.0
  Feb 15, 2024 311   Northern Arizona L 58-73 62%     4 - 20 2 - 11 -26.1 -7.0 -22.4
  Feb 17, 2024 206   Northern Colorado L 75-80 39%     4 - 21 2 - 12 -10.0 +2.5 -12.9
  Feb 22, 2024 158   @ Montana L 61-68 16%     4 - 22 2 - 13 -4.1 -1.3 -4.4
  Feb 24, 2024 214   @ Montana St. W 66-63 23%     5 - 22 3 - 13 +2.8 -6.8 +9.6
  Mar 02, 2024 253   Portland St. W 73-61 48%     6 - 22 4 - 13 +4.6 -4.9 +8.8
  Mar 04, 2024 152   Eastern Washington L 88-91 28%     6 - 23 4 - 14 -4.7 +7.3 -11.9
  Mar 09, 2024 320   Idaho W 72-64 56%     7 - 23 -1.3 -0.4 -0.4
  Mar 10, 2024 152   Eastern Washington W 74-69 20%     8 - 23 +5.9 -0.8 +6.8
  Mar 12, 2024 214   Montana St. L 71-74 31%     8 - 24 -5.8 -0.4 -5.5
Projected Record 8 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%