Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#184
Pace63.5#314
Improvement-1.7#264

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#203
First Shot-0.5#188
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#197
Layup/Dunks+1.4#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#242
Freethrows+1.0#101
Improvement-2.4#305

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#174
First Shot-0.7#190
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#125
Layups/Dunks-2.6#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#246
Freethrows+0.4#165
Improvement+0.7#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 70 - 10
Quad 36 - 46 - 14
Quad 48 - 414 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 309   Campbell W 77-63 83%     1 - 0 +3.1 +0.4 +3.1
  Nov 15, 2023 290   South Carolina Upstate L 81-83 79%     1 - 1 -11.4 +5.6 -17.1
  Nov 19, 2023 250   Northeastern L 76-82 72%     1 - 2 -13.1 +5.7 -19.3
  Nov 20, 2023 259   Georgia Southern W 82-64 74%     2 - 2 +10.3 +4.6 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2023 264   Kennesaw St. W 85-84 75%     3 - 2 -7.0 -0.2 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2023 101   @ George Mason L 59-81 21%     3 - 3 -14.3 +1.6 -20.0
  Nov 30, 2023 130   UNC Wilmington W 74-66 47%     4 - 3 +7.9 +4.3 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2023 346   Maryland Eastern Shore W 63-52 91%     5 - 3 -5.0 -7.5 +3.5
  Dec 09, 2023 51   South Carolina L 62-68 21%     5 - 4 +1.6 -0.8 +1.7
  Dec 14, 2023 22   Florida L 65-70 10%     5 - 5 +8.4 -4.5 +12.9
  Dec 20, 2023 295   Delaware St. W 79-50 80%     6 - 5 +19.2 +10.7 +10.5
  Dec 29, 2023 186   East Tennessee St. L 70-86 61%     6 - 6 -19.7 -4.0 -15.4
  Jan 02, 2024 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-79 9%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -1.2 +3.4 -6.6
  Jan 07, 2024 190   Tulsa W 62-57 62%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +0.9 -6.5 +7.8
  Jan 10, 2024 178   @ Temple W 73-62 40%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +12.7 +11.4 +2.6
  Jan 13, 2024 71   SMU L 64-75 28%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -6.0 -3.7 -2.7
  Jan 17, 2024 78   North Texas L 59-60 30%     8 - 9 2 - 3 +3.5 +0.3 +2.9
  Jan 20, 2024 99   @ UAB L 61-69 20%     8 - 10 2 - 4 -0.2 -8.6 +8.1
  Jan 24, 2024 145   @ Wichita St. W 54-52 32%     9 - 10 3 - 4 +6.0 -10.2 +16.3
  Jan 28, 2024 178   Temple W 70-64 OT 60%     10 - 10 4 - 4 +2.5 -3.9 +6.3
  Jan 31, 2024 89   South Florida L 60-71 33%     10 - 11 4 - 5 -7.2 -9.1 +1.7
  Feb 03, 2024 116   @ Charlotte L 52-67 26%     10 - 12 4 - 6 -9.1 -10.4 -0.9
  Feb 10, 2024 241   @ Texas San Antonio W 84-73 52%     11 - 12 5 - 6 +9.6 +14.1 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2024 145   Wichita St. W 68-55 51%     12 - 12 6 - 6 +11.8 +0.6 +12.1
  Feb 18, 2024 132   Tulane W 81-67 48%     13 - 12 7 - 6 +13.7 +12.3 +2.6
  Feb 24, 2024 218   @ Rice L 52-70 48%     13 - 13 7 - 7 -18.3 -16.3 -4.4
  Feb 29, 2024 70   Memphis L 58-82 28%     13 - 14 7 - 8 -18.9 -16.7 -1.0
  Mar 03, 2024 78   @ North Texas L 69-84 16%     13 - 15 7 - 9 -5.3 +16.3 -24.6
  Mar 06, 2024 71   @ SMU L 77-80 OT 15%     13 - 16 7 - 10 +7.2 +4.1 +3.3
  Mar 09, 2024 116   Charlotte L 72-82 44%     13 - 17 7 - 11 -9.3 +5.5 -15.6
  Mar 14, 2024 190   Tulsa W 84-79 52%     14 - 17 +3.5 +12.8 -9.2
  Mar 15, 2024 89   South Florida L 59-81 24%     14 - 18 -15.6 -7.4 -9.3
Projected Record 14 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%