Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#175
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#181
Pace69.9#132
Improvement+4.4#30

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#136
First Shot+2.5#108
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks-1.0#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#67
Freethrows+0.4#145
Improvement+4.2#24

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#244
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#281
Layups/Dunks-2.5#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement+0.2#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 20 - 21 - 2
Quad 34 - 45 - 6
Quad 416 - 621 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 74   @ Boston College L 70-89 16%     0 - 1 -9.1 -3.7 -4.1
  Nov 09, 2023 210   @ Rhode Island L 80-93 47%     0 - 2 -13.0 -3.4 -8.2
  Nov 17, 2023 136   @ Drexel L 47-65 30%     0 - 3 -13.5 -21.0 +6.4
  Nov 18, 2023 258   Queens L 63-69 66%     0 - 4 -11.0 -13.4 +2.3
  Nov 24, 2023 262   New Hampshire L 80-83 75%     0 - 5 -10.8 +4.2 -14.9
  Dec 01, 2023 239   Iona L 67-78 71%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -17.4 -6.4 -11.4
  Dec 03, 2023 221   @ Rider W 88-81 49%     1 - 6 1 - 1 +6.6 +12.1 -5.8
  Dec 06, 2023 95   @ Yale W 75-71 19%     2 - 6 +12.6 +6.7 +5.9
  Dec 09, 2023 298   @ Sacred Heart W 67-57 66%     3 - 6 +5.1 -4.4 +10.2
  Dec 17, 2023 300   Wagner W 63-51 81%     4 - 6 +1.7 -4.1 +7.3
  Dec 21, 2023 326   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 92-69 77%     5 - 6 +14.6 +9.2 +3.8
  Dec 30, 2023 308   Le Moyne W 78-72 83%     6 - 6 -4.9 -4.1 -1.2
  Jan 05, 2024 354   @ Siena W 93-69 86%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +11.5 +16.7 -5.2
  Jan 07, 2024 233   Marist W 82-61 70%     8 - 6 3 - 1 +14.8 +11.8 +3.2
  Jan 12, 2024 272   @ Niagara L 72-96 59%     8 - 7 3 - 2 -27.2 -0.5 -27.5
  Jan 15, 2024 284   @ Canisius W 88-63 61%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +21.3 +12.1 +8.5
  Jan 19, 2024 201   St. Peter's W 76-67 65%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +4.2 +7.4 -3.0
  Jan 21, 2024 339   @ Manhattan W 82-75 80%     11 - 7 6 - 2 -2.7 +6.5 -9.1
  Jan 28, 2024 172   Quinnipiac L 64-66 59%     11 - 8 6 - 3 -5.2 -10.6 +5.4
  Feb 02, 2024 239   @ Iona L 82-91 52%     11 - 9 6 - 4 -10.2 +7.2 -17.2
  Feb 04, 2024 339   Manhattan W 77-68 90%     12 - 9 7 - 4 -5.9 +2.5 -7.9
  Feb 08, 2024 221   Rider W 84-67 68%     13 - 9 8 - 4 +11.4 +22.7 -8.6
  Feb 10, 2024 201   @ St. Peter's W 64-62 45%     14 - 9 9 - 4 +2.4 +1.1 +1.4
  Feb 16, 2024 272   Niagara L 63-65 77%     14 - 10 9 - 5 -10.4 -13.0 +2.5
  Feb 18, 2024 251   Mount St. Mary's W 94-80 73%     15 - 10 10 - 5 +6.8 +17.4 -10.7
  Feb 23, 2024 172   @ Quinnipiac W 85-81 39%     16 - 10 11 - 5 +6.0 +9.9 -4.1
  Feb 25, 2024 354   Siena W 88-64 93%     17 - 10 12 - 5 +6.3 +11.0 -4.2
  Mar 01, 2024 233   @ Marist L 55-58 51%     17 - 11 12 - 6 -4.0 -9.2 +4.9
  Mar 07, 2024 284   Canisius W 74-62 78%     18 - 11 13 - 6 +3.1 +1.9 +1.9
  Mar 09, 2024 251   @ Mount St. Mary's W 96-92 55%     19 - 11 14 - 6 +2.0 +14.8 -13.1
  Mar 13, 2024 239   Iona W 68-63 62%     20 - 11 +1.2 -3.9 +5.3
  Mar 15, 2024 233   Marist W 65-61 61%     21 - 11 +0.4 +1.6 -0.8
  Mar 16, 2024 201   St. Peter's L 63-68 56%     21 - 12 -7.2 +6.2 -14.5
Projected Record 21 - 12 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%