Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.3#15
Expected Predictive Rating+13.2#24
Pace72.2#76
Improvement+2.1#101

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#10
First Shot+5.5#45
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#5
Layup/Dunks+10.6#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#301
Freethrows+1.4#73
Improvement+3.7#31

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#41
First Shot+4.0#51
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#102
Layups/Dunks+2.2#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement-1.6#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 3.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 52.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.9% n/a n/a
First Round94.3% n/a n/a
Second Round64.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen28.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.0% n/a n/a
Final Four5.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 33 - 6
Quad 25 - 18 - 7
Quad 34 - 012 - 7
Quad 412 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 95   Yale W 86-71 86%     1 - 0 +18.4 +15.2 +3.2
  Nov 20, 2023 4   Purdue L 63-73 31%     1 - 1 +10.2 -5.4 +16.1
  Nov 21, 2023 85   Syracuse W 76-57 79%     2 - 1 +25.7 +4.9 +20.4
  Nov 22, 2023 93   UCLA W 69-65 81%     3 - 1 +10.2 +6.1 +4.4
  Nov 28, 2023 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-65 96%     4 - 1 +10.1 +9.9 +0.8
  Dec 02, 2023 76   USC W 89-76 78%     5 - 1 +20.2 +20.4 -0.1
  Dec 05, 2023 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 111-71 99%     6 - 1 +24.6 +9.4 +8.6
  Dec 09, 2023 65   @ Washington L 73-78 65%     6 - 2 +6.4 +0.1 +6.6
  Dec 11, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 78-40 99.8%    7 - 2 +14.5 +3.3 +14.5
  Dec 15, 2023 1   Connecticut L 63-76 24%     7 - 3 +9.7 +3.3 +5.3
  Dec 20, 2023 317   Jackson St. W 100-76 99%     8 - 3 +12.3 +11.2 -1.2
  Dec 29, 2023 28   San Diego St. L 74-84 68%     8 - 4 +0.3 +4.6 -3.7
  Jan 04, 2024 196   Pepperdine W 86-60 96%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +21.4 +9.8 +11.7
  Jan 06, 2024 257   San Diego W 101-74 97%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +19.4 +15.8 +1.0
  Jan 11, 2024 107   @ Santa Clara L 76-77 78%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +6.2 +0.5 +5.8
  Jan 18, 2024 196   @ Pepperdine W 86-61 91%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +25.6 +15.7 +11.0
  Jan 20, 2024 257   @ San Diego W 105-63 94%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +39.6 +22.9 +12.9
  Jan 25, 2024 72   San Francisco W 77-72 83%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +9.9 +6.6 +3.3
  Jan 27, 2024 353   @ Pacific W 82-73 99%     14 - 5 6 - 1 -3.4 +4.2 -7.4
  Jan 30, 2024 180   Loyola Marymount W 92-58 95%     15 - 5 7 - 1 +30.5 +15.8 +14.9
  Feb 03, 2024 21   St. Mary's L 62-64 66%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +8.9 +7.3 +1.2
  Feb 07, 2024 286   Portland W 96-64 98%     16 - 6 8 - 2 +22.9 +15.6 +6.9
  Feb 10, 2024 16   @ Kentucky W 89-85 42%     17 - 6 +21.4 +18.9 +2.4
  Feb 15, 2024 180   @ Loyola Marymount W 91-74 89%     18 - 6 9 - 2 +18.7 +29.7 -8.6
  Feb 17, 2024 353   Pacific W 102-76 99%     19 - 6 10 - 2 +8.4 +17.9 -10.1
  Feb 22, 2024 286   @ Portland W 86-65 95%     20 - 6 11 - 2 +17.1 +15.4 +3.2
  Feb 24, 2024 107   Santa Clara W 94-81 89%     21 - 6 12 - 2 +15.0 +20.3 -5.5
  Feb 29, 2024 72   @ San Francisco W 86-68 69%     22 - 6 13 - 2 +28.1 +14.5 +12.6
  Mar 02, 2024 21   @ St. Mary's W 70-57 47%     23 - 6 14 - 2 +29.1 +18.9 +12.6
  Mar 11, 2024 72   San Francisco W 89-77 77%     24 - 6 +19.5 +26.9 -6.5
  Mar 12, 2024 21   St. Mary's L 60-69 57%     24 - 7 +4.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 21, 2024 75   McNeese St. W 79-71 78%    
Projected Record 25 - 7 14 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 95.0% 95.0% 6.6 0.2 2.9 22.5 26.8 18.8 10.8 8.0 4.3 0.7 5.0 95.0%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 95.0% 0.0% 95.0% 6.6 0.2 2.9 22.5 26.8 18.8 10.8 8.0 4.3 0.7 5.0 95.0%