Pre-tourney Rankings
Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#59
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#44
Pace69.5#138
Improvement+0.2#172

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#63
First Shot+4.1#69
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#117
Layup/Dunks+0.5#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
Freethrows+4.5#5
Improvement-0.8#228

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#57
First Shot+2.2#109
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#36
Layups/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#47
Freethrows-0.5#222
Improvement+1.0#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round36.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 22 - 23 - 2
Quad 311 - 214 - 4
Quad 414 - 028 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-67 98%     1 - 0 +4.0 +2.6 -0.3
  Nov 12, 2023 311   Northern Arizona W 89-55 96%     2 - 0 +22.9 +9.1 +13.0
  Nov 17, 2023 72   San Francisco W 76-72 57%     3 - 0 +11.5 +5.7 +5.7
  Nov 19, 2023 51   South Carolina L 68-75 47%     3 - 1 +3.2 +5.3 -2.7
  Nov 25, 2023 266   North Dakota St. W 86-71 94%     4 - 1 +6.9 +9.8 -2.6
  Nov 29, 2023 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-69 94%     5 - 1 +1.3 +0.2 +0.6
  Dec 02, 2023 112   Texas Arlington W 76-69 79%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +8.0 +2.6 +5.4
  Dec 05, 2023 28   San Diego St. W 79-73 47%     7 - 1 +16.3 +16.8 -0.2
  Dec 09, 2023 148   @ Liberty W 69-64 71%     8 - 1 +8.8 +2.3 +6.9
  Dec 16, 2023 286   Portland W 91-63 92%     9 - 1 +21.5 +14.3 +7.6
  Dec 20, 2023 138   Sam Houston St. W 76-64 83%     10 - 1 +11.2 +2.3 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2023 103   Louisiana Tech W 73-70 75%     11 - 1 +5.5 +10.8 -5.0
  Jan 04, 2024 246   @ Southern Utah W 96-75 85%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +19.4 +17.2 +1.4
  Jan 06, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech W 75-65 89%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +6.3 +1.7 +4.5
  Jan 11, 2024 204   Abilene Christian W 74-64 90%     14 - 1 4 - 0 +5.1 +0.2 +4.9
  Jan 13, 2024 134   Tarleton St. W 74-48 82%     15 - 1 5 - 0 +25.7 +10.2 +19.1
  Jan 18, 2024 169   Utah Valley W 78-65 87%     16 - 1 6 - 0 +10.2 +2.2 +7.1
  Jan 20, 2024 119   @ Seattle L 79-86 64%     16 - 2 6 - 1 -1.3 +3.0 -3.5
  Jan 25, 2024 170   @ Stephen F. Austin W 53-51 76%     17 - 2 7 - 1 +4.2 -9.4 +13.8
  Jan 27, 2024 112   @ Texas Arlington W 67-61 62%     18 - 2 8 - 1 +12.2 -8.4 +20.2
  Feb 01, 2024 119   Seattle W 95-88 OT 80%     19 - 2 9 - 1 +7.5 +15.9 -9.0
  Feb 03, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley W 86-67 75%     20 - 2 10 - 1 +21.4 +12.1 +7.9
  Feb 10, 2024 246   Southern Utah W 94-65 93%     21 - 2 11 - 1 +22.2 +8.4 +11.5
  Feb 15, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 73-61 95%     22 - 2 12 - 1 +3.1 +4.3 -0.1
  Feb 17, 2024 195   California Baptist W 79-76 90%     23 - 2 13 - 1 -1.4 +9.3 -10.5
  Feb 22, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. L 74-77 67%     23 - 3 13 - 2 +1.9 +2.5 -0.6
  Feb 24, 2024 204   @ Abilene Christian L 73-79 81%     23 - 4 13 - 3 -5.7 +4.5 -10.4
  Feb 29, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-43 97%     24 - 4 14 - 3 +15.1 +6.0 +14.0
  Mar 02, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin W 80-58 87%     25 - 4 15 - 3 +19.0 +18.4 +3.4
  Mar 09, 2024 195   @ California Baptist W 68-47 79%     26 - 4 16 - 3 +21.8 +7.9 +17.3
  Mar 15, 2024 119   Seattle W 80-72 73%     27 - 4 +11.1 +12.1 -0.9
  Mar 16, 2024 112   Texas Arlington W 89-74 71%     28 - 4 +18.6 +6.6 +10.2
  Mar 22, 2024 21   St. Mary's L 65-69 35%    
Projected Record 28 - 5 16 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 62.3 36.9 0.2
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 62.3 36.9 0.2