Pre-tourney Rankings
James Madison
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#64
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#30
Pace72.9#65
Improvement-0.7#215

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#56
First Shot+5.8#39
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#214
Layup/Dunks+4.1#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#50
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement+0.0#180

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#81
First Shot+3.6#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-0.3#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#77
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement-0.7#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round33.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 11 - 2
Quad 37 - 18 - 3
Quad 422 - 030 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 18   @ Michigan St. W 79-76 OT 21%     1 - 0 +20.1 +4.2 +15.4
  Nov 09, 2023 173   @ Kent St. W 113-108 2OT 74%     2 - 0 +7.0 +7.4 -1.9
  Nov 12, 2023 275   Howard W 107-86 94%     3 - 0 +12.6 +15.0 -4.9
  Nov 17, 2023 238   Radford W 76-73 91%     4 - 0 -3.4 -1.1 -2.2
  Nov 21, 2023 125   Southern Illinois W 82-76 72%     5 - 0 +8.7 +7.9 +0.7
  Nov 22, 2023 213   Fresno St. W 95-64 86%     6 - 0 +28.3 +16.9 +10.1
  Nov 29, 2023 348   Buffalo W 81-66 98%     7 - 0 -1.1 +3.8 -4.3
  Dec 09, 2023 289   @ Old Dominion W 84-69 88%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +10.9 +9.3 +1.3
  Dec 16, 2023 338   @ Hampton W 88-71 95%     9 - 0 +7.4 +8.5 -1.8
  Dec 19, 2023 360   Coppin St. W 87-48 99%     10 - 0 +19.1 +0.8 +14.5
  Dec 22, 2023 333   @ Morgan St. W 89-75 94%     11 - 0 +5.1 +5.7 -1.5
  Dec 30, 2023 187   Texas St. W 82-65 88%     12 - 0 2 - 0 +13.3 +15.8 -1.3
  Jan 04, 2024 153   @ Louisiana W 68-61 70%     13 - 0 3 - 0 +10.3 -5.5 +15.5
  Jan 06, 2024 230   @ Southern Miss L 71-81 82%     13 - 1 3 - 1 -10.9 -2.1 -8.6
  Jan 11, 2024 220   South Alabama W 89-55 90%     14 - 1 4 - 1 +28.4 +11.5 +16.2
  Jan 13, 2024 86   Appalachian St. L 55-59 68%     14 - 2 4 - 2 +0.1 -11.5 +11.4
  Jan 18, 2024 291   Louisiana Monroe W 89-70 95%     15 - 2 5 - 2 +9.4 +16.5 -6.1
  Jan 20, 2024 236   Marshall W 67-52 91%     16 - 2 6 - 2 +8.7 -6.3 +15.3
  Jan 24, 2024 289   @ Old Dominion W 78-62 88%     17 - 2 7 - 2 +11.9 +0.2 +10.8
  Jan 27, 2024 86   @ Appalachian St. L 76-82 48%     17 - 3 7 - 3 +3.3 +3.8 -0.1
  Feb 01, 2024 307   Coastal Carolina W 105-67 96%     18 - 3 8 - 3 +27.1 +18.2 +5.8
  Feb 03, 2024 289   Old Dominion W 78-63 94%     19 - 3 9 - 3 +5.7 +1.0 +4.4
  Feb 07, 2024 133   @ Arkansas St. W 77-73 65%     20 - 3 10 - 3 +8.9 +1.4 +7.4
  Feb 10, 2024 123   Akron W 73-59 79%     21 - 3 +14.3 +9.2 +6.6
  Feb 15, 2024 216   Georgia St. W 83-63 90%     22 - 3 11 - 3 +14.5 +9.8 +5.5
  Feb 17, 2024 259   Georgia Southern W 87-80 93%     23 - 3 12 - 3 -0.7 +10.4 -10.9
  Feb 21, 2024 236   @ Marshall W 84-58 82%     24 - 3 13 - 3 +24.9 +9.3 +14.8
  Feb 24, 2024 259   @ Georgia Southern W 80-74 85%     25 - 3 14 - 3 +3.5 +3.0 +0.5
  Feb 28, 2024 216   @ Georgia St. W 84-78 80%     26 - 3 15 - 3 +5.7 +12.4 -6.5
  Mar 01, 2024 307   @ Coastal Carolina W 86-76 90%     27 - 3 16 - 3 +4.3 +9.9 -5.7
  Mar 09, 2024 236   Marshall W 81-64 88%     28 - 3 +13.3 +6.6 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2024 187   Texas St. W 73-68 82%     29 - 3 +3.9 +5.9 -1.8
  Mar 11, 2024 133   Arkansas St. W 91-71 73%     30 - 3 +22.3 +21.6 +2.1
  Mar 22, 2024 19   Wisconsin L 72-77 31%    
Projected Record 30 - 4 16 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 28.9 69.6 1.4
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 28.9 69.6 1.4