Pre-tourney Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#160
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#139
Pace77.1#19
Improvement+2.1#102

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#146
First Shot-0.8#200
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#61
Layup/Dunks+3.9#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#346
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+1.9#82

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#204
First Shot-1.1#207
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#169
Layups/Dunks-0.2#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#343
Freethrows+1.2#96
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round3.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 22 - 3
Quad 38 - 510 - 8
Quad 49 - 619 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 286   @ Portland L 73-78 66%     0 - 1 -8.9 -11.0 +2.6
  Nov 11, 2023 294   @ DePaul W 77-73 68%     1 - 1 -0.6 -1.7 +1.0
  Nov 14, 2023 28   @ San Diego St. L 76-88 8%     1 - 2 +3.5 +4.8 +0.0
  Nov 17, 2023 117   @ Michigan W 94-86 29%     2 - 2 +13.9 +14.4 -1.3
  Nov 20, 2023 182   Illinois St. L 52-61 55%     2 - 3 -10.0 -20.5 +10.7
  Nov 21, 2023 239   Iona W 80-76 65%     3 - 3 +0.2 -3.1 +2.8
  Nov 22, 2023 153   Louisiana L 82-92 48%     3 - 4 -9.3 +12.9 -22.5
  Nov 26, 2023 214   @ Montana St. W 75-69 52%     4 - 4 +5.8 +5.1 +0.9
  Dec 02, 2023 302   Sacramento St. W 83-73 84%     5 - 4 -0.5 +3.5 -4.3
  Dec 10, 2023 76   @ USC W 84-79 OT 18%     6 - 4 +14.8 +3.3 +10.7
  Dec 28, 2023 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 81-71 54%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +9.3 +5.5 +3.2
  Dec 30, 2023 229   Cal St. Northridge L 68-84 73%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -22.0 -14.3 -5.6
  Jan 04, 2024 329   @ Cal Poly W 89-82 80%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -1.7 +6.1 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2024 202   UC Riverside W 83-75 69%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +3.2 -0.4 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego L 74-88 30%     9 - 6 3 - 2 -8.3 -0.8 -7.1
  Jan 13, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara L 76-85 49%     9 - 7 3 - 3 -8.5 +4.5 -13.3
  Jan 18, 2024 159   Hawaii W 79-71 60%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +5.7 +16.2 -9.5
  Jan 25, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 61-72 34%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -6.5 -13.0 +7.3
  Jan 27, 2024 202   @ UC Riverside W 65-53 50%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +12.4 -3.5 +16.7
  Feb 01, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 76-82 OT 54%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -6.7 +0.4 -6.8
  Feb 03, 2024 120   UC San Diego W 85-76 49%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +9.5 +18.9 -8.5
  Feb 10, 2024 329   Cal Poly W 77-68 90%     13 - 9 7 - 5 -4.9 -6.8 +1.1
  Feb 15, 2024 165   @ UC Davis W 78-74 41%     14 - 9 8 - 5 +6.5 +7.6 -1.2
  Feb 17, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge W 87-73 54%     15 - 9 9 - 5 +13.2 +8.7 +3.3
  Feb 22, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 79-66 72%     16 - 9 10 - 5 +7.1 +4.3 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2024 159   @ Hawaii L 65-73 40%     16 - 10 10 - 6 -5.1 -8.4 +3.6
  Feb 29, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton L 71-76 72%     16 - 11 10 - 7 -10.9 -1.3 -9.7
  Mar 02, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 61-82 19%     16 - 12 10 - 8 -11.3 -6.9 -4.0
  Mar 07, 2024 198   UC Santa Barbara L 74-76 68%     16 - 13 10 - 9 -6.7 -4.7 -1.9
  Mar 09, 2024 165   UC Davis L 78-88 61%     16 - 14 10 - 10 -12.7 +5.7 -18.4
  Mar 14, 2024 202   UC Riverside W 86-67 60%     17 - 14 +16.8 +14.3 +3.0
  Mar 15, 2024 77   UC Irvine W 83-79 26%     18 - 14 +11.1 +16.3 -5.1
  Mar 16, 2024 165   UC Davis W 74-70 51%     19 - 14 +3.9 +4.6 -0.7
  Mar 21, 2024 5   Arizona L 75-94 5%    
Projected Record 19 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.0 0.0 6.7 91.2 2.1
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 6.7 91.2 2.1