Pre-tourney Rankings
Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.3 205
Results Rating -3.4 226
Consistency 0.18 305
Pace 65.8 253
Improvement -4.5 329

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 333 D+ D+ C- D D
Defense B 67 B- C+ B C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 C- 56% 252 -2.7 284
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 99 C+ 40% 105 +3.5 37
Three Pointers 36% 279 D- 30% 322 -4.3 320
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.2 323 D+ -2.4 262
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 292
Second Chance D 26.0% 299 C- 1.00 226 D+ 0.26 289
Opponents' Steals C- 10.0% 254
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 217
Turnovers C- 17.5% 238
Freethrows F+ 0.24 353 B+ 78% 19 D 0.18 320
Total Offense D -6.7 333

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 61% 24 D 13.2% 307
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 103 B+ 2.6% 30
Three Pointers C 84% 180 C+ 0.8% 160
Total B- 59% 101 C 5.7% 199


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 194 C- 59% 215 +0.3 187
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 44 C+ 37% 115 +1.4 301
Three Pointers 36% 304 A- 29% 18 -4.7 15
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 70 B- -2.4 87
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 77
Second Chance C 29.9% 170 B- 0.96 68 C+ 0.29 106
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 140
Other Turnovers B+ 8.7% 29
Turnovers B 18.7% 65
Freethrows D 0.35 306 A- 68% 15 C- 0.24 256
Total Defense B +4.4 67

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 157 D+ 8.1% 295
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 90 C- 4.4% 199
Three Pointers C+ 82% 130 B- 1.4% 70
Total B- 50% 77 D+ 4.7% 247

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 191 17.7 250
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 282 0.12 38
Consistency 0.12 193 0.15 333
Improvement -0.7 227 -3.8 333

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 205 205 204
Results Rating Rank 226 226 226
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 80 - 9
Quad 418 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 88 @Xavier L 62 - 66 14% -4  37% 0 - 1 B- +5 F+ -9 B- D+ F A+ +15 A+ C A
 Sun, Nov 9 277 @Dartmouth W 75 - 56 56% +8  99% 1 - 1 A- +15 D -5 C- C F A+ +20 A+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 149 Harvard L 54 - 56 51% -1  33% 1 - 2 C- -4 F -14 D- F F A +9 A+ C A
 Fri, Nov 21 340 Army W 76 - 65 89% +4  69% 2 - 2 C- -5 D+ -3 D- B B- C -1 D+ A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 284 Lehigh W 78 - 55 78% +13  85% 3 - 2 B+ +13 C +1 B D- B A+ +13 A+ D F
 Fri, Dec 5 274 Mount St. Mary's W 64 - 56 75% +2  46% 4 - 2 1 - 0 C -1 F -14 D+ C+ F A+ +12 A C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 7 329 Manhattan W 80 - 68 86% +3  71% 5 - 2 2 - 0 C- -2 F+ -10 F D+ C- A- +7 C A+ B
 Sat, Dec 13 354 @Bryant W 82 - 74 82% +6  72% 6 - 2 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D+ D- D -6 F A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 139 @Georgia Tech L 76 - 87 27% -8  19% 6 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 C+ A+ B- F -13 F D A-
 Sun, Dec 21 228 Stony Brook W 70 - 51 67% +13  90% 7 - 3 B+ +12 D+ -4 D- C+ A- A+ +17 A+ A B
 Mon, Dec 29 220 @Quinnipiac L 58 - 64 42% -3  11% 7 - 4 2 - 1 D+ -6 F -14 F C F A- +8 A F A+
 Fri, Jan 2 240 @St. Peter's L 59 - 69 48% -3  27% 7 - 5 2 - 2 D- -12 F -15 F F C+ B- +3 A+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 4 254 Iona W 83 - 38 72% +21  87% 8 - 5 3 - 2 A+ +37 B- +4 D- A+ A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 289 @Sacred Heart W 76 - 72 59% -2  34% 9 - 5 4 - 2 C -0 C+ +3 C A C- D+ -4 D+ F A-
 Sun, Jan 11 357 @Rider W 71 - 49 84% +12  93% 10 - 5 5 - 2 B +9 D -6 D+ F C+ A+ +17 A- B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 258 Fairfield W 82 - 67 72% +13  99% 11 - 5 6 - 2 B- +7 B +7 B+ A+ F+ C+ +1 A+ F+ C-
 Mon, Jan 19 176 Merrimack L 55 - 68 57% -6  5% 11 - 6 6 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F D- C- C- -2 D A B+
 Thu, Jan 22 194 @Siena L 50 - 69 37% -4  25% 11 - 7 6 - 4 F+ -18 F -17 F F B+ D+ -4 B+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 24 220 Quinnipiac W 71 - 64 65% +8  92% 12 - 7 7 - 4 C +1 C- -1 B D- D+ B- +2 B- A+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 339 @Canisius W 88 - 86 OT 76% -1  49% 13 - 7 8 - 4 D+ -8 B +6 A F+ D- F -14 F F D+
 Sun, Feb 1 334 @Niagara W 58 - 46 74% +5  86% 14 - 7 9 - 4 C+ +3 F -13 F F B A+ +18 A+ B- A
 Thu, Feb 5 357 Rider W 81 - 52 93% +18  91% 15 - 7 10 - 4 B +10 A +12 A+ C- C- B +4 B+ D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 258 @Fairfield L 60 - 63 51% -4  10% 15 - 8 10 - 5 D+ -5 D- -8 F C F+ B- +2 C- B+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 176 @Merrimack L 56 - 81 34% -6  42% 15 - 9 10 - 6 F -23 F -14 F B- C F -11 F A+ D
 Sun, Feb 15 194 Siena L 63 - 67 60% -8  4% 15 - 10 10 - 7 D -9 F+ -10 F D A C+ +1 F A B+
 Fri, Feb 20 329 @Manhattan W 84 - 70 71% +7  65% 16 - 10 11 - 7 B- +6 A- +10 B+ A B- C- -3 C+ F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 289 Sacred Heart W 65 - 63 78% -3  17% 17 - 10 12 - 7 D -8 F -16 F F A+ A- +8 B- A D
 Sun, Mar 1 240 St. Peter's L 56 - 63 70% -1  42% 17 - 11 12 - 8 D- -15 F -16 D- F C+ C+ +1 F+ B A+
 Sat, Mar 7 220 Quinnipiac W 77 - 75 54% +2  56% 18 - 11 C -1 C- -1 C- D B+ C -0 B- B- B-
 Sun, Mar 8 176 Merrimack L 57 - 58 45% -3  8% 18 - 12 C- -2 F -12 B- F F A +10 B+ A- D+
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 8 -2 D -7 D- D+ D B +4 D- B+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C+ D- D+ 35% 45% 36% D D+ D C- D+ C- F+ B+ D B C- C+ A- B- 38% 25% 36% B- B- C B- C+ B D A- C-
0.99 56% 40% 30% -2 -1 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 17% .24 78% .18 1.02 59% 37% 29% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.0 .29 19% .35 68% .16
Nov
3		 Xavier F+ A+ A- D- A- 31% 44% 26% F B- D+ D- D+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 16% 29% 56% A A+ D B C A F B- F
0.92 75% 47% 30% +8 -3 1.10 24% 0.8 .20 27% .50 68% .34 0.98 71% 23% 24% -11 -3 0.76 31% 0.9 .28 16% .57 72% .41
Nov
9		 Dartmouth D B B+ D- C 33% 27% 40% F+ C- D+ B C F F A+ F A+ A- C+ A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% F+ A+ D+ B C A+ F A F
1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07 0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36
Nov
16		 Harvard F F B C- D- 42% 19% 40% C D- D+ F F F A- F+ B- A A+ A+ F+ A+ 49% 13% 38% F A+ C+ D C A F B F
0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21 0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37
Nov
21		 Army D+ C+ A- F D- 40% 24% 36% C- D- A- D B B- F A+ F C F D- A- D- 30% 17% 53% B+ D+ F+ A+ A+ C F F F
1.14 64% 46% 25% -1 0 1.00 39% 1.1 .42 14% .21 92% .19 0.98 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.3 .11 18% .33 78% .26
Nov
25		 Lehigh C C+ A+ B- B+ 33% 25% 42% D- B D D- D- B C- B- C- A+ B+ C A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% B- A+ B- F D F D+ A+ C+
1.15 59% 54% 36% +6 -1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 13% .29 76% .22 0.81 50% 38% 6% -17 -1 0.66 20% 1.4 .27 13% .31 61% .19
Dec
5		 Mount St. Mary's F C D- D+ C- 34% 32% 34% D- D+ D- A+ C+ F F A+ D A+ A+ A+ A A+ 47% 11% 42% D A D- A C+ A+ F A+ D
0.89 56% 33% 31% -4 -2 0.91 23% 1.4 .32 27% .25 85% .21 0.78 43% 20% 26% -14 +2 0.78 34% 0.9 .29 29% .42 57% .24
Dec
7		 Manhattan F+ C+ B F F 35% 15% 50% C+ F C- C- D+ C- C- F D+ A- B- B- D+ C- 35% 33% 33% A- C A A+ A+ B F B+ F
1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16 0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29
Dec
13		 Bryant C+ A- D C+ B- 52% 25% 23% D+ C+ D+ C D+ D- B+ A+ A+ D F F F F 33% 12% 55% C F A- A+ A+ B- D A C
1.19 68% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 16% .36 95% .35 1.08 69% 50% 41% +11 +1 1.24 21% 0.3 .07 23% .30 69% .21
Dec
16		 Georgia Tech B F+ C A+ B 24% 35% 41% F C+ B- A+ A+ B- D- F F F F F F F 34% 44% 22% A+ F F B+ D A- C- D- D+
1.11 46% 37% 41% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.5 .49 15% .24 50% .12 1.27 71% 45% 73% +20 -3 1.36 42% 1.0 .42 22% .32 76% .24
Dec
21		 Stony Brook D+ D+ D+ D D- 35% 23% 42% D+ D- D A+ C+ A- F+ A- D A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% A+ A+ A- A+ A B F A+ D+
1.06 56% 33% 32% -3 -1 0.94 27% 1.2 .32 12% .24 79% .19 0.77 45% 27% 26% -12 -2 0.73 22% 0.7 .15 20% .34 61% .21
Dec
29		 Quinnipiac F D+ F F F 50% 23% 27% C+ F C- C+ C F F A- F A- A+ B- B+ A 31% 33% 35% A A F D+ F A+ F B D
0.85 54% 25% 14% -13 +1 0.77 32% 1.1 .34 22% .17 78% .13 0.94 40% 31% 29% -10 -2 0.77 40% 1.1 .43 22% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Peter's F F B F F 42% 24% 34% D+ F F F F C+ C A+ A- B- B- A+ A+ A+ 36% 22% 42% C A+ C F F C- F D- F
0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36 1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39
Jan
4		 Iona B- D A+ F D- 39% 18% 43% C+ D- D A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ B- A- A+ A+ 43% 25% 33% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
1.18 54% 55% 23% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 8% .23 87% .20 0.54 53% 30% 8% -17 0 0.68 14% 0.6 .08 34% .36 53% .19
Jan
9		 Sacred Heart C+ A A+ F C 40% 21% 38% D+ C C A+ A C- C C C D+ C- A+ D C- 37% 11% 52% F+ D+ F D+ F A- F F F
1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18 1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38
Jan
11		 Rider D D+ D+ A+ C- 48% 20% 32% D+ D+ F F F C+ F A+ F A+ F A A+ B 31% 58% 11% A+ A- A+ F B+ C+ F A+ D
1.07 56% 36% 44% +3 +1 1.11 23% 0.5 .11 14% .10 83% .09 0.74 64% 27% 0% -10 -5 0.71 9% 2.3 .20 18% .39 57% .22
Jan
17		 Fairfield B A+ B A+ A+ 27% 38% 36% F B+ B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A A+ C+ C C+ A+ A+ 30% 32% 38% A A+ C F F+ C- F C- F
1.23 75% 41% 44% +11 -3 1.18 37% 1.4 .52 20% .39 81% .32 1.01 53% 38% 16% -12 -2 0.74 33% 1.2 .40 15% .48 70% .34
Jan
19		 Merrimack F D D- F F 41% 27% 32% D+ F F+ C D- C- A A+ A+ C- F F A+ F+ 39% 24% 37% A D A+ C- A B+ F D+ F
0.85 50% 33% 14% -14 -1 0.73 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 86% .37 1.05 69% 60% 20% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.0 .13 19% .51 81% .42
Jan
22		 Siena F F C+ D- F+ 31% 29% 39% D- F F F F B+ F A F D+ B+ B F C+ 26% 53% 21% A+ B+ C+ F F D- B- F D-
0.83 44% 40% 30% -6 -2 0.86 9% 0.7 .06 13% .10 80% .08 1.14 50% 36% 40% -1 -5 0.89 28% 2.0 .55 13% .27 100% .27
Jan
24		 Quinnipiac C- A- A D- B+ 45% 28% 28% D+ B F A+ D- D+ C B- C+ B- B B B+ B+ 51% 18% 31% F B- B- A+ A+ F C D C-
1.07 67% 46% 31% +5 0 1.11 15% 1.8 .27 18% .30 75% .22 0.97 50% 30% 29% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .20 11% .30 72% .22
Jan
30		 Canisius B A+ A C- A+ 44% 25% 31% C- A D+ F F+ D- A+ A+ A+ F F D- D F 38% 13% 48% F F F F+ F D+ F A+ F
1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38 1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Niagara F D+ C F F 31% 44% 24% F F F A+ F B C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 44% 24% 31% B+ A+ F A+ B- A C A+ B-
0.95 57% 40% 18% -5 -4 0.84 13% 1.8 .23 13% .28 87% .24 0.75 30% 9% 43% -15 0 0.71 30% 0.5 .16 25% .24 64% .15
Feb
5		 Rider A B B A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% D+ A+ B- F+ C- C- F A+ D- B A- D A+ B+ 35% 37% 28% B- B+ F B+ D+ B- A A+ A+
1.37 65% 44% 63% +19 +1 1.42 36% 0.9 .32 15% .16 100% .16 0.88 44% 41% 15% -12 -2 0.74 41% 0.8 .32 19% .19 44% .08
Feb
7		 Fairfield D- F A+ F+ F 48% 17% 35% C F B F+ C F+ D+ A+ B B- F C- A+ C- 27% 21% 52% B- C- A C+ B+ D- C F C-
0.98 43% 50% 29% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.9 .32 20% .26 92% .24 1.03 77% 40% 24% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 13% .24 77% .19
Feb
12		 Merrimack F F F F F 47% 23% 30% C+ F F+ A+ B- C F C- F+ F F F F F 40% 14% 46% C+ F A+ A+ A+ D F A+ D+
0.85 36% 27% 21% -18 0 0.66 33% 1.4 .45 20% .26 71% .19 1.22 75% 57% 39% +13 +1 1.30 14% 0.5 .07 14% .44 64% .28
Feb
15		 Siena F+ D+ F F F 34% 28% 38% D F C- F D A A+ C+ A+ C+ F F A+ F 42% 36% 22% B- F A+ A- A B+ D+ A+ C+
0.97 53% 29% 21% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.8 .23 11% .38 73% .27 1.03 68% 63% 20% +8 -2 1.16 19% 0.8 .15 20% .33 65% .21
Feb
20		 Manhattan A- B- A+ A+ A 36% 30% 34% F+ B+ C+ A+ A B- B A A- C- C- F A+ C 35% 26% 39% B- C+ F F F B- F B- F
1.31 65% 57% 44% +13 -1 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 14% .29 81% .24 1.09 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.91 35% 1.5 .55 17% .41 77% .32
Feb
22		 Sacred Heart F F F+ C F 23% 21% 56% F+ F F F F A+ F D F A- A+ F C+ B 33% 20% 47% C B- D+ A+ A D D A+ B-
0.96 43% 31% 34% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.7 .11 6% .09 67% .06 0.93 35% 60% 33% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.5 .15 16% .32 61% .19
Mar
1		 St. Peter's F F A+ F D+ 32% 36% 32% F D- C+ F F C+ F F F C+ F B B+ F+ 42% 27% 31% C F+ C- A B A+ C A+ B+
0.88 44% 50% 25% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.3 .12 19% .23 67% .15 0.99 68% 33% 29% +1 0 1.02 36% 0.8 .29 27% .32 60% .19
Mar
7		 Quinnipiac C- F D A+ C 35% 31% 33% F C- C+ F D B+ B F+ C+ C B A+ F B- 35% 27% 38% B- B- D- A+ B- B- F B F
1.05 39% 31% 53% +1 -2 1.00 35% 0.8 .28 14% .33 67% .22 1.03 50% 14% 40% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.8 .28 18% .53 66% .35
Mar
8		 Merrimack F A F A B+ 37% 40% 23% F B- B- F F F F D F A C+ A+ A+ A 51% 15% 34% D+ B+ D+ A+ A- D+ B- B- B-
0.89 69% 29% 40% +3 -2 1.02 43% 0.5 .20 31% .23 70% .16 0.91 54% 14% 25% -10 +2 0.85 26% 0.6 .15 14% .31 76% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%