Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#30
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#40
Pace67.7#205
Improvement+0.7#144

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#49
First Shot+4.8#55
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#120
Layup/Dunks+2.5#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#187
Freethrows+2.2#51
Improvement+2.8#47

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#21
First Shot+3.3#71
After Offensive Rebounds+3.8#3
Layups/Dunks+4.0#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#56
Freethrows-0.5#228
Improvement-2.2#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four30.3% n/a n/a
First Round61.2% n/a n/a
Second Round32.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.9% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 37 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 121 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 118   Arizona St. W 71-56 82%     1 - 0 +18.2 +3.5 +14.9
  Nov 11, 2023 215   Tennessee Martin W 87-63 95%     2 - 0 +18.5 +6.1 +11.4
  Nov 14, 2023 247   North Alabama W 81-54 96%     3 - 0 +20.2 -5.2 +22.7
  Nov 18, 2023 39   Washington St. W 76-64 56%     4 - 0 +23.4 +9.9 +13.5
  Nov 19, 2023 40   Northwestern W 66-57 56%     5 - 0 +20.3 +2.0 +19.0
  Nov 24, 2023 248   Nicholls St. W 74-61 96%     6 - 0 +6.1 -4.3 +10.2
  Nov 28, 2023 115   @ Georgia Tech L 59-67 74%     6 - 1 -2.1 -13.0 +11.1
  Dec 03, 2023 288   Southern L 59-60 97%     6 - 2 -10.2 -9.6 -0.8
  Dec 09, 2023 132   Tulane W 106-76 84%     7 - 2 +32.3 +20.8 +8.3
  Dec 13, 2023 161   Murray St. W 85-81 91%     8 - 2 +1.6 +15.5 -13.7
  Dec 17, 2023 78   North Texas W 72-54 71%     9 - 2 +25.1 +17.6 +10.9
  Dec 23, 2023 96   Rutgers W 70-60 74%     10 - 2 +15.9 +9.6 +6.7
  Dec 31, 2023 315   Bethune-Cookman W 85-62 98%     11 - 2 +11.5 +5.2 +5.5
  Jan 06, 2024 51   @ South Carolina L 62-68 50%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +6.8 +1.4 +4.7
  Jan 10, 2024 6   Tennessee W 77-72 38%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +20.9 +10.7 +10.0
  Jan 13, 2024 13   Alabama L 74-82 47%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +5.5 -0.1 +5.9
  Jan 17, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 77-90 33%     12 - 5 1 - 3 +4.4 +8.8 -4.5
  Jan 20, 2024 167   Vanderbilt W 68-55 92%     13 - 5 2 - 3 +10.2 -3.3 +14.1
  Jan 24, 2024 22   @ Florida L 70-79 38%     13 - 6 2 - 4 +7.0 +6.1 +0.4
  Jan 27, 2024 3   Auburn W 64-58 30%     14 - 6 3 - 4 +24.4 +3.2 +21.5
  Jan 30, 2024 83   @ Mississippi L 82-86 63%     14 - 7 3 - 5 +5.4 +15.6 -10.4
  Feb 03, 2024 13   @ Alabama L 67-99 28%     14 - 8 3 - 6 -13.3 -8.7 -1.3
  Feb 07, 2024 84   Georgia W 75-62 79%     15 - 8 4 - 6 +17.1 +6.6 +10.8
  Feb 10, 2024 135   @ Missouri W 75-51 78%     16 - 8 5 - 6 +28.7 +1.6 +26.4
  Feb 17, 2024 104   Arkansas W 71-67 83%     17 - 8 6 - 6 +6.4 +6.4 +0.4
  Feb 21, 2024 83   Mississippi W 83-71 79%     18 - 8 7 - 6 +16.2 +12.3 +4.2
  Feb 24, 2024 87   @ LSU W 87-67 64%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +29.2 +17.4 +11.4
  Feb 27, 2024 16   Kentucky L 89-91 52%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +10.2 +13.7 -3.4
  Mar 02, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 63-78 16%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +8.6 +6.5 +1.0
  Mar 06, 2024 42   @ Texas A&M L 69-75 46%     19 - 11 8 - 9 +7.9 +9.7 -2.5
  Mar 09, 2024 51   South Carolina L 89-93 OT 69%     19 - 12 8 - 10 +3.6 +18.1 -14.4
  Mar 14, 2024 87   LSU W 70-60 72%     20 - 12 +16.6 -0.5 +16.9
  Mar 15, 2024 6   Tennessee W 73-56 29%     21 - 12 +35.5 +13.5 +22.6
  Mar 16, 2024 3   Auburn L 66-73 22%     21 - 13 +14.0 +7.0 +6.6
  Mar 21, 2024 18   Michigan St. L 66-68 43%    
Projected Record 21 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 74.8% 74.8% 9.7 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.9 16.2 36.4 14.8 0.0 25.2 74.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 74.8% 0.0% 74.8% 9.7 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.9 16.2 36.4 14.8 0.0 25.2 74.8%