Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#41
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#23
Pace66.8#234
Improvement+0.3#168

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#37
First Shot+6.2#36
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#142
Layup/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#318
Freethrows+5.4#2
Improvement+3.0#44

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#45
First Shot+2.0#112
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#15
Layups/Dunks+1.6#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#280
Freethrows+1.3#91
Improvement-2.7#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 38.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round91.8% n/a n/a
Second Round47.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 23 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 46 - 6
Quad 22 - 08 - 6
Quad 38 - 116 - 7
Quad 49 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 302   Sacramento St. W 77-63 97%     1 - 0 +3.5 +2.5 +1.5
  Nov 12, 2023 65   @ Washington W 83-76 50%     2 - 0 +18.4 +9.5 +8.4
  Nov 15, 2023 353   Pacific W 88-39 99%     3 - 0 +31.4 +3.2 +26.5
  Nov 18, 2023 286   Portland W 108-83 96%     4 - 0 +15.9 +21.8 -7.5
  Nov 29, 2023 158   Montana W 77-66 89%     5 - 0 +8.7 -3.3 +11.6
  Dec 02, 2023 180   Loyola Marymount W 73-59 91%     6 - 0 +10.5 +0.9 +10.5
  Dec 06, 2023 165   UC Davis W 80-68 90%     7 - 0 +9.3 +7.2 +1.9
  Dec 09, 2023 53   Drake L 53-72 55%     7 - 1 -9.0 -17.5 +8.9
  Dec 13, 2023 162   Weber St. W 72-55 89%     8 - 1 +14.6 +1.9 +13.9
  Dec 17, 2023 159   @ Hawaii W 72-66 79%     9 - 1 +8.9 +3.5 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2023 178   Temple W 80-56 87%     10 - 1 +23.1 +8.7 +14.4
  Dec 22, 2023 31   TCU W 88-75 44%     11 - 1 +25.7 +24.7 +1.6
  Dec 24, 2023 115   Georgia Tech W 72-64 78%     12 - 1 +11.3 +4.3 +7.5
  Jan 06, 2024 213   @ Fresno St. W 72-57 86%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +14.9 +8.8 +8.1
  Jan 09, 2024 244   Air Force W 67-54 94%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +6.3 +1.5 +7.4
  Jan 12, 2024 45   Boise St. L 56-64 62%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +0.2 -11.1 +11.2
  Jan 17, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 59-71 34%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +3.5 +1.8 +0.5
  Jan 20, 2024 151   @ Wyoming L 93-98 77%     14 - 4 2 - 3 -1.3 +19.8 -21.1
  Jan 24, 2024 48   Colorado St. W 77-64 63%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +21.0 +15.5 +6.8
  Jan 28, 2024 24   @ New Mexico L 55-89 33%     15 - 5 3 - 4 -18.3 -8.5 -10.7
  Feb 02, 2024 231   San Jose St. W 90-60 94%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +23.9 +22.0 +5.3
  Feb 06, 2024 52   @ Utah St. W 77-63 45%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +26.7 +10.7 +16.3
  Feb 09, 2024 28   San Diego St. W 70-66 OT 54%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +14.3 +2.4 +11.8
  Feb 13, 2024 24   New Mexico L 82-83 53%     18 - 6 6 - 5 +9.5 +19.0 -9.5
  Feb 17, 2024 73   @ UNLV W 69-66 55%     19 - 6 7 - 5 +13.1 +6.6 +6.7
  Feb 20, 2024 151   Wyoming W 76-58 88%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +16.5 +5.8 +11.8
  Feb 23, 2024 231   @ San Jose St. W 84-63 87%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +20.1 +14.1 +7.4
  Feb 27, 2024 48   @ Colorado St. W 77-74 43%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +16.2 +16.8 -0.3
  Mar 01, 2024 213   Fresno St. W 74-66 93%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +2.7 +5.8 -2.3
  Mar 05, 2024 45   @ Boise St. W 76-66 42%     24 - 6 12 - 5 +23.4 +12.1 +11.6
  Mar 09, 2024 73   UNLV W 75-65 73%     25 - 6 13 - 5 +14.9 +14.9 +1.4
  Mar 14, 2024 48   Colorado St. L 78-85 53%     25 - 7 +3.6 +11.0 -7.5
  Mar 21, 2024 44   Dayton W 71-70 52%    
Projected Record 26 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 91.8% 91.8% 6.8 0.1 8.8 29.9 31.2 16.6 4.9 0.4 0.0 8.2 91.8%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.8% 0.0% 91.8% 6.8 0.1 8.8 29.9 31.2 16.6 4.9 0.4 0.0 8.2 91.8%