Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#272
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#268
Pace67.7#201
Improvement+2.3#88

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#245
First Shot+1.3#146
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#350
Layup/Dunks-0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-2.0#291

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#275
First Shot-3.3#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#201
Layups/Dunks-4.4#321
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#123
Freethrows+3.0#20
Improvement+4.3#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 35 - 45 - 6
Quad 410 - 1015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 110   @ Notre Dame L 63-70 13%     0 - 1 -0.5 +2.5 -3.5
  Nov 11, 2023 269   Bucknell L 64-73 59%     0 - 2 -17.2 -5.1 -13.1
  Nov 16, 2023 159   @ Hawaii L 73-92 21%     0 - 3 -16.1 -1.3 -13.8
  Nov 25, 2023 355   @ St. Francis (PA) W 69-61 75%     1 - 3 -4.8 -1.3 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2023 201   St. Peter's L 67-72 46%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -9.8 -2.1 -7.9
  Dec 03, 2023 172   Quinnipiac L 68-75 OT 40%     1 - 5 0 - 2 -10.2 -13.7 +4.2
  Dec 06, 2023 102   St. Bonaventure L 60-94 22%     1 - 6 -31.5 -7.0 -27.7
  Dec 16, 2023 335   NJIT W 89-81 79%     2 - 6 -6.3 +12.2 -18.3
  Dec 19, 2023 285   @ Binghamton L 69-74 43%     2 - 7 -8.9 -6.3 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2023 85   @ Syracuse L 71-83 9%     2 - 8 -2.7 -1.4 -0.6
  Dec 29, 2023 348   @ Buffalo W 69-63 69%     3 - 8 -4.9 -7.8 +3.0
  Jan 05, 2024 339   @ Manhattan W 81-67 65%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +4.3 +4.7 -0.4
  Jan 07, 2024 239   @ Iona W 75-73 33%     5 - 8 2 - 2 +0.8 +3.4 -2.6
  Jan 12, 2024 175   Fairfield W 96-72 41%     6 - 8 3 - 2 +20.6 +22.8 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2024 354   Siena L 88-93 87%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -22.7 +1.4 -23.6
  Jan 19, 2024 221   @ Rider W 78-74 30%     7 - 9 4 - 3 +3.6 +6.1 -2.5
  Jan 21, 2024 251   @ Mount St. Mary's W 82-71 36%     8 - 9 5 - 3 +9.0 +16.2 -6.1
  Jan 26, 2024 233   Marist W 67-62 52%     9 - 9 6 - 3 -1.2 +0.1 -1.0
  Jan 28, 2024 339   Manhattan L 78-84 OT 80%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -20.9 -11.5 -8.6
  Feb 02, 2024 201   @ St. Peter's W 68-59 OT 28%     10 - 10 7 - 4 +9.4 -0.4 +9.7
  Feb 06, 2024 284   Canisius W 69-64 62%     11 - 10 8 - 4 -3.9 -3.3 -0.3
  Feb 08, 2024 239   Iona L 71-74 52%     11 - 11 8 - 5 -9.4 -7.0 -2.4
  Feb 16, 2024 175   @ Fairfield W 65-63 23%     12 - 11 9 - 5 +3.8 -7.3 +11.1
  Feb 18, 2024 172   @ Quinnipiac W 80-66 23%     13 - 11 10 - 5 +16.0 +5.8 +9.8
  Feb 23, 2024 284   @ Canisius L 59-69 42%     13 - 12 10 - 6 -13.7 -9.2 -5.4
  Mar 01, 2024 221   Rider L 61-71 49%     13 - 13 10 - 7 -15.6 -12.2 -3.8
  Mar 03, 2024 251   Mount St. Mary's L 72-91 55%     13 - 14 10 - 8 -26.2 -8.0 -17.1
  Mar 07, 2024 354   @ Siena W 66-59 74%     14 - 14 11 - 8 -5.5 -0.2 -4.2
  Mar 09, 2024 233   @ Marist L 62-63 32%     14 - 15 11 - 9 -2.0 +7.3 -9.6
  Mar 12, 2024 354   Siena W 67-65 81%     15 - 15 -13.1 -3.9 -9.0
  Mar 14, 2024 233   Marist L 59-65 42%     15 - 16 -9.6 -6.2 -3.9
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%